The Orthogonality Thesis (by Nick Bostrom) says that intelligence and ultimate goals are independent. Those non-instrumental goals can’t be stupid nor right or wrong. Increasing intelligence will not change the goals only the capability to reach them.
> And this time around, it seems like only a minority that are billionaires will be able to move forward, and we all will be left behind.
I don't think this is true. Of course, rich people will always benefit the most from any technological advances. But there is no indication that the average Joe will be worse off in say, 20 years, compared to today. Medical advances alone coming down the pipeline will likely tip the scales towards future average Joe being better off compared to today. If I have to make a choice, for example: do I want to cut the deaths from diseases by half and fill the sky with Starlink satellites, or do nothing? I am picking the better medicice and Starlink-filled sky.
Anything up there needs to reflect as much as possible to avoid building up heat. That which it can’t reflect is absorbed and needs to be emitted as efficiently as possible. Vantablack would likely make it absorb heat readily and glow in the near-IR.
For war it is. Drones and other unmanned aircraft are the future of warfare. That's the whole reason why every country now heavily invests in low orbit sats.
It's not about consumers. Also not for spacex. Defence contracts are zillion times more worth. Once you are in you reach the end level as a business.
I've spent tons of time in NYC, Barcelona and Paris and never ever encountered petty crime even as an observer. It certainly exists to some extent but this whole issue is a hype the kind of which villagers on the net like to argue about.
Companies take cultural cues from leadership. When you have a puffed-up sociopath who has never accomplished anything but lying his way to the top, this is what you get.
I'm both infuriated and worried that such a flim-flam man has put himself at the center of the U.S. stock market.
Their brightness is a mixture of a lot of things, including the huge PV arrays and the angle they have with the sun when they cross the terminator between night and day.
Starlink have already put a lot of effort into their satellites being much less bright than most satellites, including tilting their PV away from earth during the terminator crossing, so from what I've read you'll mainly see them while they're being deployed and while de-orbiting.
(Part of my still-expanding draft blog post about space data centres is to work out how bright a million much larger objects would look. If they were in the orbit with the most sun, that's a terminator-following sun-synchronous orbit, which is maximum brightness).
> LLMs... impedes the ordinary process of theory-building
As I have said on here before, I actually really enjoy LLMs for code understanding precisely because they are imperfect.
They're good enough to point you in the right direction, they might even see something you miss, but you can't trust anything they say.
This forces you to deeply understand what you're looking at, and to constantly re-evaluate your mental model against the code you're reading.
This works the same way as "writing forces clarity".
I could get to the same place on my own - I did this for many years before LLMs existed - but I feel when an LLM works well it gets you to the same place (or better) quicker.
(as idiomatic code generators I have mostly found LLMs to be poor, even Opus, but this comment isn't about new code generation)
Yes. I'm moving the goal post a bit here, but I was actually thinking about design mistakes and dangerous constructs - the kind of thing you do when you write in a "hacky" way - either deliberately or because you don't know better. Although these are not directly under the scope of type checking, a more restrictive language can have a positive influence.
Most bots on reddit are too cheap to use LLMs, from when I moderated most seemed to just have harvested a bunch of old comments and links that they reposted.
Russia and China are coming as well. Expect all big countries have hundreds of thousands of low orbit sats. It required in order to be a powerful military nation. Without it a country is doomed.
> Can you source a citation referring to people that had "no proper grounding in multi day off road adventuring"
Sure - West Australian newspaper pretty much any week of the year - tourists come from all over the globe to visit the vast untamed outback, rent a 4x4, head out, and get into life threatening (sometimes life ending) trouble despite having a phone connection via either mobile towers or starlink. You know, no charge, no backup, no paper maps, no experience, etc.
Whether you like it or not, ePiRBs being an easily accesible service has actually saved dozens of noobs and experienced personal from certain death by offering emergency service alerting - Fact! (and no internet required)
I wouldn't be surprised if the EU and ISPs are funding fibre to remote locations _because_ of Starlink competition.
Taxis and minicabs all over the world were unreliable, expensive, and unsafe before Uber came along with some healthy competition. The same dynamic is happening here between Starlink and rural fibre.
It's nuts how well "Superintelligence: The Idea That Eats Smart People"[0] aged. That talk is a decade old by now and still hits just as hard as it did back then, despite the incredible advances made in AI in the meantime.
I think all of these mitigations are unfortunate. They hurt one of the things that makes the web cool: it's a stable, stateless, idempotent way to access data.
This makes it a prime target for aggressive scraping by LLM companies, but it also makes it accessible and fast, and a prime target for benign use (like archive.org or "read later" services).
For my own sites, I'll eat the cost of the crawlers (mitigated by making the sites as efficient as possible) and keep them available to everyone.
It’s easy to see that is true given media reports of civilians deaths (lately has been ranging from a few to a dozen per day) compared to estimated military deaths (all sides seem to agree it’s in the thousands per day).
Cookies also don't work on mobile, so you inevitably have to maintain 2 different login flows.
But they're still the superior choice for authN on the web, because if you want to, you CAN configure cookies to be secure. Yes, attackers can ride the session, but it's dependent on the user being on the tab and you being able to consistently execute JS. Client-side compromise (ie attacker controls the entire browser) is not feasible to defend against anyway.
The main issue with JWT+localStorage is you can actually execute one-off JS, exfiltrate the token and come back later. I've _never_ seen a well-executed JWT+localStorage implementation in 10 or so years, because teams inevitably realise they can't reliably revoke sessions (another advantage of cookies) and then start giving out long-lived access tokens but adding them to the database. Or some variation of that.
Decimal time isn't great because it doesn't divide into thirds. Although I like Swatch Internet Time as a retro thing, I consider NET a more practical take on the same idea: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/New_Earth_Time. It's UTC and divides the day into 360 degrees.