How I lost 1000€ betting on CS:GO1 points·by tabacof·vor 2 Jahren·0 commentsI wrote two blog posts based on my experience betting on CS:GO in 2019.The first post covers the following topics:* What is your edge?* Financial decision-making with ML* One bet: Expected profits and decision rule* Multiple bets: The Kelly criterion* Probability calibration* Winner’s curseLink: https://tabacof.github.io/posts/csgo_betting_with_ml_part_1/csgo_betting_with_ml_part_1.htmlThe second post covers the following topics:* CS:GO basics* Data scraping* Feature engineering* TrueSkill* Dataset* Modelling* Evaluation* Backtesting* Why I lost 1000 eurosLink: https://tabacof.github.io/posts/csgo_betting_with_ml_part_2/csgo_betting_with_ml_part_2.htmlI hope they can be useful. All the code and datasets are freely available on Github. Let me know if you have any feedback!0 commentsPost comment—
The first post covers the following topics:
* What is your edge?
* Financial decision-making with ML
* One bet: Expected profits and decision rule
* Multiple bets: The Kelly criterion
* Probability calibration
* Winner’s curse
Link: https://tabacof.github.io/posts/csgo_betting_with_ml_part_1/csgo_betting_with_ml_part_1.html
The second post covers the following topics:
* CS:GO basics
* Data scraping
* Feature engineering
* TrueSkill
* Dataset
* Modelling
* Evaluation
* Backtesting
* Why I lost 1000 euros
Link: https://tabacof.github.io/posts/csgo_betting_with_ml_part_2/csgo_betting_with_ml_part_2.html
I hope they can be useful. All the code and datasets are freely available on Github. Let me know if you have any feedback!