For me Bitcoin has enough reasons to fail (hopefully fast).
If it will not, your future will come true anyway after BTC consumes a lot more resources. After BTC consumes a lot of renewable demand and supply for the downside of us all.
Quick note on GPU: I did say that gaming is beneficial for us. It's a cheap idle process.
Quick note on dribbling down effect: catching those gases needs jobs, new or updated cheaper technology or a gas network. Something which does not circumvent many in-between jobs like Bitcoin does.
> Yes. Because alternative to that is releasing it into the atmosphere which is way worse.
That was not my point i made. We don't need BTC to change methan to co2.
>> Just that BTC consumes the energy and probably need AC
> Just fans. But that's just decreases the amount of bitcoins mined per kWh
'Not just'. In Texas summer weather there is probably AC running.
>> so even more energy and consumed additional CO2 through making the ASIC.
> Yes. We need to build more equipment to turn useless gas into something profitable. No matter how we do that.
Not profitable. Beneficial. Feel free to see ith through a pure economy standpoint but we are not in a 100% free market. There are plenty of examples how our markets are controlled to be more than just profitable. Its absolutely feasible to do this through politics. Easiest thing would be a proper co2 tax.
>> And we are not in a isolated world. The miners will search and find a cheaper energy source anyway. Either by buying a gas power plant or by moving to cheaper country.
> Or renewables where the price of electricity on the market is lower than what can be earned by mining bitcoin with it.
Lets talk about this after we fixed climate change. After we increased grid 'movecapacity' and after we increased storage.
>> No one is forcing a miner to use 'excess' energy.
> Only market will force a miner to use excess energy from renewables. Cheapest energy sources are renewables. Even now in some countries, at times energy price on the market drops below zero because renewables produce more than necessary at that time.
> And we are nowhere near the amount of renewable sources that will allow us to phase out fossil fuels.
> We need to overbuild renewables to the point that at times 90% of energy they'll produce will be the excess. Even transferring it away from the power stations would burn our energy grid to a crisp. We need to work on distributed energy sinks that can be collocated with renewable power stations that will be able to turn that excess energy into money. It might be bitcoins miners, it might be aluminum smelters. For our energy transformation to succeed it doesn't matter what it is as long as it incentivizes building renewable sources like mad.
It is clear what it should be. Its clear what it should not be. It should not be bitcoin. For bitcoin to be okay, we will have to transform a lot. We can't afford bitcoin right now at all.
>> 'excess' energy is energy we need to make viable and work together for finding solutions. Bitcoin destroys this motivation.
> I have no idea what do you even have in mind. This is a problem that is unsolvable by coming together and political action. It was proven conclusively by 50 years of attempts. Bitcoin along with technological progress in solar and wind are the first thing that points us to a solution to energy transformation that could happen even if people of the world were all against solving climate change.
> Economy, not politics is what shapes the world at such large scales.
You see, its easy: IPCC tells us what the issue is. Politics only need to enforce what economy is allowed to ignore: To pay the right price. We do not enforce that producing co2 costs us things like our health, our living space etc. We ignore it. We accept it as given. You don't need to pay a third world country money for the destruction of their living space. You and i and everyone else who can fathom this, has to push for this. Those countries need to push for this (and they start to do).
If you don't believe in this and economy wins without paying the right price, a lot of people are fucked.
>> Thanks to Bitcoin a global market can not only strip poor people from normal resources like oil, ors, metals but also from energy in any usable form.
>> Whatever it is doing it will find the cheapest energy possible and will consume it as long as the Bitcoin price allows it, totally independent of they type of energy.
>> Earning money through Bitcoin also not only incentive to eat up all cheap energy, it strips our society from a beneficial dripping effect.
> Yes. And that's why energy price will eventually rise to a point where mining bitcoins will be barely profitable and even that not at all times.
> Energy will be more expensive and smart governments at this point should work tirelessly on creating solutions offsetting rising energy prices for poor people. Some form of Universal Basic Income will be required.
Energy prices will increase the cost of living for people who can't play the same game as bitcoin on a global gambling market does. Do you really think this is okay? You write yourself 'creating solutions offsetting rising energy prices for poor people'. Why is the only solution for you to accept bitcoin as something which is here and can't be regularted? You do understand that we regulate everything else right? Have you tried building a nuclear plant? Coal plant without a filter? A car without any security standards and driving it on public roads?
Why is it, that everything you counter, only assumes that we have to live with shitcoin?
>> Earning money through Bitcoin also not only incentive to eat up all cheap energy, it strips our society from a beneficial dripping effect.
>What is a dripping effect?
Sry dribbling effect.
>> Asics consume chip production capacity.
> Yes. Another area where we have way too little manufacturing than we need. Which current chip shortages clearly indicate. Demand for ASICs can incentivize overbuilding fabs same way mining will incentivize renewable energy generation. And bticoin is not the only game in town. Mining ETC requires fairly complex chips. Like GPUs. It is already sending price signals to GPU manufacturers making manufacturing GPUs way more profitable than it would be without it. And GPUs power ton of scientific computation and our early ventures into AI.
> I've seen presentation by a scientist who, for his research, which was the point of presentation, used cluster of basically gaming hardware. And in an off hand note thanked the gamers for creating so much demand for such powerful hardware which made it a cheap commodity, so cheap that his research was possible.
> Overbuilding GPUs and fabs in general for crypto will power our future of scientific computing.
I'm fully aware for a long time, that GPUs and CPU advances have also beeing payed by consumers. But this is a beneficial ecosystem: We get creativity, entertainmen or lets say a cheap idle function for a lot of people. And this is a good thing. Its still discussable to which extend this is good, but the benefit of this exists while it doesn't for bitcoin.
We do not need bitcoin demand to cross finance the rest. Its a negative play we do. The ASIC calculating a hash is only good for bitcoin. My gpu, i can use for ML, Image and Video rendering, 3D Rendering and yes of course also for gaming but also for cancer research. Do you know what i can do with a BTC Asic? Searching for Bitcoins.
>> And of course let's be realistic: we have already a PoS system (our currencies) which is highly optimized. BTC doesn't even solve anything.
> Bitcoin solves nothing about money beside minor things in niche applications. It solves some problems that gold has which makes it attractive for investors. And BTC being attractive vessel for investment is what will finance global energy transformation. With zero political action required.
Are you ignoring all the negative effects bitcoin already has? A uncontrolled btc system already hurts people. There is a reason why Iran blocked/banned bitcoin mining for a while. There is a reason besides political ones why China doesn't allow it anymore. Its always the same issue: overloading the power grid and consuming too much power. We can't afford to play out a future without intervention were we accept that BTC will consume more and more without direct benefit UNTIL it is getting 'outleveled'.
>> There is no positive thing we as a society gain from Bitcoin.
>> 99,999999% of all humans are getting hurt by it.
>> We all pay for Bitcoin.
> We'll see. Bitcoin is still decades from equilibrium. It turns money of greedy people who seek investments into energy production. I don't see how this won't make us move to renewables since they are already cheapest way to generate energy.
> If we got bitcoin when cheapest energy came from coal it could end us. But with technologies we have it can save us.
We don't need Bitcoin. We need to advocate against bitcoin and for real solutions which will help us to do the right thing in a 'free' market for the whole planet.
Just that BTC consumes the energy and probably need AC so even more energy and consumed additional CO2 through making the ASIC.
And we are not in a isolated world. The miners will search and find a cheaper energy source anyway. Either by buying a gas power plant or by moving to cheaper country. No one is forcing a miner to use 'excess' energy.
'excess' energy is energy we need to make viable and work together for finding solutions. Bitcoin destroys this motivation.
Thanks to Bitcoin a global market can not only strip poor people from normal resources like oil, ors, metals but also from energy in any usable form.
Whatever it is doing it will find the cheapest energy possible and will consume it as long as the Bitcoin price allows it, totally independent of they type of energy.
Earning money through Bitcoin also not only incentive to eat up all cheap energy, it strips our society from a beneficial dripping effect.
The supply chain of Bitcoin is minimal with little to negative effects.
Asics consume chip production capacity. Talking about Bitcoin creates mental load.
And of course let's be realistic: we have already a PoS system (our currencies) which is highly optimized. BTC doesn't even solve anything.
There is no positive thing we as a society gain from Bitcoin.
Why do people think it is better to make Bitcoin out of that gas and consume more energy due to hardware and required ac instead of catching it and actually using it.
Nothing was Gaines by this. Nothing for you, nothing for me.
We even got owned by this dick. Guess who will feel the effects of clima change? All of us
Always a good idea to build and consume renewable energy and then making heat out of it.
Texas power grid sounds very good: cheap and reliable.
Ah wait wait we talk about searching for arbitrary hashes which can't be recycled or actually used in a state which probably needs AC in summer and an independent unstable power grid in a time were every additional CO2 generated creates even more pressure for our society.
Perhaps not such a good idea?
Perhaps we should not let BTC consume solar panels and renewable energy and use it for things we actually need?
For me Bitcoin has enough reasons to fail (hopefully fast).
If it will not, your future will come true anyway after BTC consumes a lot more resources. After BTC consumes a lot of renewable demand and supply for the downside of us all.
Quick note on GPU: I did say that gaming is beneficial for us. It's a cheap idle process.
Quick note on dribbling down effect: catching those gases needs jobs, new or updated cheaper technology or a gas network. Something which does not circumvent many in-between jobs like Bitcoin does.