Rolivaw · HackerTrans

vor 7 Jahrendiscuss

I agree more with this type or reasoning. He or his administration knows full well that they are holding all the aces. So the Chinese can pretend to play tsun tzu all they want, US just needs to hold. Currently it’s looking much worse for china, but hey things can change and very very quickly.

Rolivaw

vor 7 Jahrendiscuss

The short answer is china doesn’t have a lot of options. It’s not clear what leverage they can find, I’m guessing they just don’t want to seem weak and give in. Trade is so unfair the US has practically nothing to lose.

China is actually keeping its currency from devaluating right now(trump is playing the media) If all controls are lifted the currency will plummet. Many friends in china have expressed their desire to get out a portion of their cash, and surely nobody is thinking about investing.

Rolivaw

vor 7 Jahrendiscuss

I guess we do disagree. The way I think about it is what gets us to from point A to point B in the least amount of time is best. All other solutions aren’t real not the least because china and India aren’t going to play ball. Also because they aren’t 10x better than the rest (only solar is, just not enough to supply whole world) So we have to be develop something worthwhile and long lasting. Even more nuclear reactors in the meanwhile are a better solution. Predictions of gloom/doom have been around since the 1600s. Everybody in every generation says it’s different this time and it’s really over. I don’t mean to come across as this not being an important issue. I just don’t like the defense of if we don’t do something now we are screwed forever, forcing us to make bad decisions. I’ll take the other side of that bet any day. Predictions in complex systems are mostly wrong Because they don’t take into account future developments and see the world as static which it isn’t.

One more thing. The only reason fusion is 10-20 years away is because we are still focusing on failed technologies (wind and gas) and not throwing enough resources at fusion. If the government took a Los Alamos approach to fusion and nuclear energy in general we could be up and running in 5 years.

Rolivaw

vor 7 Jahrendiscuss

Most of what you mention are sustainability propositions, which are not useful long term, probably not even short term. We can’t create sustainability, it’s a fad we’ve all been fed, based on anthropometric views of the world which aren’t going to improve it. They will cause stagnation and that will cause collapse faster than climate change ever could.

Electric cars still cost to produce what non electrics do, we have to take into account the backend (mining ect) as well. Gas is most likely as bad according to many reports. Countries which have made the switch like Brazil in cars haven’t produced the results expected, again the production is still not clean.

Wind is unreliable in most cases and non scalable. Solar is ok, but expensive and we can’t deploy it for everything(think maritime transport).

The way to solve our problem is with innovation that can really replace our main source of consumption. Think population bomb/explosion in the 50-60s. Whaling shift to electricity and vegetable oils late 1800s. All was replaced by new tech, which has decayed into bad tech, and the new tech we develop will probably also decay into bad tech again in 100years. That’s the way it works. Only realistic current solution is fusion.

Fusion, carbon-sequestering tech, geo-engineering, betavoltaics(One can dream) and new innovations are always the way forward. The rest are bandaids on the dam + have cost us a lot of money/time at subpar results.

Sorry for the quick type, but you can see more here: https://link.medium.com/4p3O0AuImZ

Rolivaw

vor 7 Jahrendiscuss

There aren’t good solutions yet. That’s a cold hard fact. Reducing emission isn’t going to help and it’s not a start. It’s a losers battle. We need carbon sequestering tech, fusion, and new tech to solve this.

Rolivaw

vor 7 Jahrendiscuss

High output management. Andy grove. Not a page turner as the mainstream airport management books but useful, unlike those fluffy pastries.

Rolivaw

vor 7 Jahrendiscuss

I NEED one of this for Richard Feynman! Every time I read something of his I try hard to imagine his accent and style.

Rolivaw

vor 7 Jahrendiscuss

I’ve hired quite a few people and networked through upwork.com

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