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WalterSear

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WalterSear
·vor 5 Monaten·discuss
Anthropic has stated that their inference process is cash positive. It would be very surprising if this wasn't the case for everyone.

It's certainly an open question whether the providers can recoup the investments being made with growth alone, but it's not out of the question.
WalterSear
·vor 7 Monaten·discuss
Does your significant other know about your car collection? You may have a car hoarding problem.
WalterSear
·vor 7 Monaten·discuss
You would have to make sure your search footprint supported that. IE - fully private, non-publicly-visible profiles everywhere.
WalterSear
·vor 7 Monaten·discuss
Inference is cash positive: it's research that takes up all the money. So, if you can get ahold of enough users, the volume eventually works in your favour.
WalterSear
·vor 7 Monaten·discuss
> starting to be demonstrably harmful

Starting?
WalterSear
·vor 8 Monaten·discuss
This isn't that.

This is VCs FOMOing as global-economy-threatening levels of leverage are being bet on an AI transformation that, by even the most optimistic estimates, cannot achieve a tiny portion of the required ROI in the required time.
WalterSear
·vor 8 Monaten·discuss
What it's transformational but takes a decade or so, instead of a year or so?

It's not like this isn't following exactly the same hype cycle as every other technological transformation.
WalterSear
·vor 8 Monaten·discuss
VC isn't "getting back to it's roots", though it is certainly displaying one of it's fundamental drives: FOMO.
WalterSear
·vor 8 Monaten·discuss
That too, is easier than ever.

It's just work, there's no secrets to it.
WalterSear
·vor 8 Monaten·discuss
IMHO, there's never been a better time to build your own product and learn to sell it. The effort that AI implementation requires is clearly exponential to complexity of the organization.

You can build faster now that you ever have: I am building faster than I have in 25 years of engineering. You have more capable support for all the unfamiliar processes of building a business imaginable.

And almost everyone larger than you is finding it harder to achieve similar productivity gains from implementing AI, if not outright struggling with it. This is a golden moment and won't last long.
WalterSear
·vor 8 Monaten·discuss
That was my first assumption, quite a while ago now.
WalterSear
·vor 8 Monaten·discuss
I've claimed neither. I actually prefer restarting or rolling back quickly rather than trying to re-work suboptimal outputs - less chance of being rabbit holed. Just add what I've learned to the original ticket/prompt.

'Git gud' isn't much of a truism.
WalterSear
·vor 8 Monaten·discuss
And I'm arguing that if the output wasn't sufficient, neither was your input.

You could also be asking for too much in one go, though that's becoming less and less of a problem as LLMs improve.
WalterSear
·vor 8 Monaten·discuss
I think maybe there's another step too - breaking the design up into small enough peices that the LLM can follow it, and you can understand the output.
WalterSear
·vor 8 Monaten·discuss
My point is that, if I can do it right, others can too. If someone's LLM is outputing slop, they are obviously doing something different: I'm using the same LLMs.

All the LLM hate here isn't observation, it's sour grapes. Complaining about slop and poor code quality outputs is confessing that you haven't taken the time to understand what is reasonable to ask for, aren't educating your junior engineers how to interact with LLMs.
WalterSear
·vor 8 Monaten·discuss
9000-line PRs were never a good idea, have only been sufficiently plausible because we were forced to accept bad PR review practices. Coding was expensive and management beat us into LGTMing them into the codebase to keep the features churning.

Those days are gone. Coding is cheap. The same LLMs that enable people to submit 9000 line PRs of chaos can be used to quickly turn them into more sensible work. If they genuinely can't do a better job, rejecting the PR is still the right response. Just push back.
WalterSear
·vor 8 Monaten·discuss
If you are getting garbage out, you are asking it for too much at once. Don't ask for solutions - ask for implementations.
WalterSear
·vor 8 Monaten·discuss
And if you are doing something fabulously unique, the LLM can still write all the code around it, likely help with many of the components, give you at least a first pass at tests, and enable rapid, meaningful refactors after each feature PR.
WalterSear
·vor 8 Monaten·discuss
Our intelligence, yes. But that doesn't establish it as essential for thought.
WalterSear
·vor 8 Monaten·discuss
They do, for many people. Perhaps you need to change your approach.