Becoming increasingly convinced that the pattern that will stick is not AI "integrated" into everything but personal agents. As in I will have one personal assistant that helps me in all of my tasks instead of using the little ones bolted on to every product.
Similar - had an HVAC tech out to diagnose mine (some intermittent electrical problem was killing thermostats randomly) and since it was intermittent they couldn't figure it out. I ended up using Gemini to narrow down a list of potential problem components and just replacing them all which fixed the issue.
Kind of a superpower to turn anyone with a bit of tech inclination and problem solving skills into an HVAC tech - not a very good one, but one with enough motivation to get the results you need
I think a lot of usage will move to the cheap open weight Chinese models once there is an incentive to do that. Everything below the highest end frontier models are becoming commoditized and I suspect the commodity segment will pass the "good enough" bar for most applications.
This seems true for our moment in time but looking forward I'm not sure how much it will stay that way. The LLMs will inevitably need to find a sustainable business model so I can very much see them becoming enshittified similar to google eventually making 2) and 3) more similar to each other.
It's a forcing function that ensures the middle layers of a vertically integrated stack remain market competitive and don't stagnate because they are the default/only option
This is the right take - there is a huge variation in "value per dollar" across AWS services. The base ones that solve hard problems like durable persistent state can be very much worth it. They tend to be the older ones.
I'm willing to believe it will make high-judgement autonomous people more productive, I'm less sure it will scale to everyone. The author is one of the senior-most technical staff at AWS.
I just wish the Gemini app would stop inserting and auto playing a YouTube video into nearly every response when I'm on a mobile connection. There appears to be no way to stop it.