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jameskoop

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jameskoop
·vor 2 Jahren·discuss
its funny how people basically find it unacceptable or bad if AGI gets here in five years but there isnt much commotion about the idea of AGI arriving a hundred years from now. is it a coincidence that this is roughly the amount of time that people use to reason about their own mortality? it seems to be the amount of time past which we are programmed to become cognitively dissonant about extremely bad things.

yann is, of course, as always, fundamentally wrong. please dont forget that he is basically a mouthpiece of corporate AI. it wouldnt even be possible for him to take a reasonable stance in that environment.

you only need to understand two things. the latest surge in progress was a surprise to everyone, contradicting experts around the world. both then and now, there isnt any evidence behind what the experts are claiming. secondly, ai research is now being fed with industry capital, more than ever before, an ocean of money concentrating every ounce of its pressure onto the single point of AGI. as these companies openly, publicly and brazenly pursue the goal of creating AGI, every conceivable approach will be tried. ideas that were seen as too unlikely or expensive in academia will be tried again. we havent even begun to run out of ideas.

besides industry, it will become a top priority for the nations of the world, if it hasnt already, and the resulting arms race will make current progress look like a trickle. what exactly does yann propose to do about the AI arms race?

that ocean of money will crack the problem unless it really is uncrackable. dont fool yourself. big changes are coming and they might be really unpleasant.