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jonas21

14,312 karmajoined vor 14 Jahren

Submissions

A Mutation Gave Humans the Gift of Speech. These Mice Have It, Too

nytimes.com
5 points·by jonas21·vor 2 Monaten·0 comments

No One at Waffle House Remembers FEMA Official Who Says He Teleported In

nytimes.com
14 points·by jonas21·vor 3 Monaten·4 comments

60 Minutes Havana Syndrome report finds U.S. government tested energy weapon

cbsnews.com
101 points·by jonas21·vor 4 Monaten·45 comments

AGI is here (and I feel fine)

robinsloan.com
3 points·by jonas21·vor 6 Monaten·1 comments

The Thinking Game

youtu.be
3 points·by jonas21·vor 8 Monaten·0 comments

'Peak SF' on a Friday Night Is a Robot Fight

nytimes.com
2 points·by jonas21·vor 10 Monaten·0 comments

comments

jonas21
·vor 10 Tagen·discuss
Have a look at slide 53 of the summary pdf. It's specifically about Virginia, and it says the same thing I wrote above (minus my personal opinion about 100% renewables being a good thing). Just to be clear, it doesn't say that VCEA is the only contributing factor to price increases: they attribute ~70% to VCEA, with higher natural gas prices accounting for the rest. There's a chart in the upper-right of the slide showing how these two factors have contributed over time.

I'm not an expert, but my understanding is that solar has a much larger up-front cost than, say, a natural gas plant -- but because there are no ongoing fuel costs, it is expected to be cheaper per kWh over the lifetime of the plant. So this is a great investment in the long term, but there are significant costs that must be absorbed in the short term -- and that's what is impacting prices right now.
jonas21
·vor 11 Tagen·discuss
This is in Virgina, which passed the Virginia Clean Economy Act in 2020. This mandated that Dominion (the power company) transition to 100% renewable energy by 2045. Personally, I think this is a good thing in the long run, but in the short run, it means that Dominion has had to invest a lot in building out renewable projects that haven't come online yet.

Lawrence Berkeley National Lab recently did an analysis on electricity prices in the US [1] and found that most of the rate increase in Virginia was attributable to the VCEA, and that load growth had a mitigating effect on price increases.

If you look at the overall report (not just Virginia), the places where electricty costs are rising the fastest are generally not the same places where lots of new datacenters are being built. It's easy to blame datacenters, but there are many factors at play here.

[1] https://emp.lbl.gov/publications/factors-influencing-recent-...
jonas21
·vor 17 Tagen·discuss
> Nice you could choose if you would like your gasoline with or without service :-) (4:00).

Yeah. Too bad you weren't able to choose if you would like your gasoline with or without lead yet.
jonas21
·vor 21 Tagen·discuss
$325M for 9.65% implies a valuation of around $3.4 billion, so it's more like 18x.

Regardless, Boston Dynamics has been burning cash for 35 years and all they have to show for it are some fancy demos and trial deployments. Eventually you have to wonder what their future prospects are.
jonas21
·vor 24 Tagen·discuss
Yeah, it's been a hot mess since everyone started using it all the time. Which is not all that surprising. It's really hard to scale fast, and even more so when the resources you depend on (GPUs) are extremely hard to acquire.
jonas21
·letzten Monat·discuss
What did your AI-assisted workflow look like 1 year ago? I can only speak for myself, but I would carefully specify a class or module in great detail and then hand it off to the model to implement, then carefully review the result.

How about 2 years ago? Back then, I wouldn't even trust it to write a 5-line function without making some sort of silly mistake.

Today, I can leave an agent running by itself for 20 or 30 minutes and most of the time, it comes back with a result that's either flawless or can be refined to be good with a few back and forth messages. Maybe I still have to make some high-level decisions ahead of time, but all of the details, including exploring the codebase and figuring out what to do based on that, can be left to the agent. The amount of improvement just in the last 2 years has been staggering.

Now extrapolate how things will look if the trend continues for another 2 or 3 years.

Is this guaranteed to happen? No. But people have been predicting that we're going to hit a wall for a long time now, and we haven't yet. Maybe there's a wall just ahead of us. But maybe there's not -- and the "not" case seems likely enough that we should at least be planning for it.
jonas21
·letzten Monat·discuss
Why would you want to own your own giant datacenter? What would you do with it? Of course it's expensive to operate a datacenter that serves millions of people.
jonas21
·letzten Monat·discuss
Ah, thanks for the clarification. :)
jonas21
·letzten Monat·discuss
Well, it looks this post has already been flagged down onto page 7.

And IIRC, the same thing happened to the "oh shit" moment thread you linked to. Did the mods have to intervene to get it back on the front page?

HN might not be anti-AI, but I feel like the way flags are weighted by the ranking allows some users that are extremely anti-AI to create the impression that it is.

EDIT: And now it's back.
jonas21
·letzten Monat·discuss
Glad to see that the "high thinking" level adds a helmet. Always a smart choice.
jonas21
·letzten Monat·discuss
How is it strange? The "exceeds $5B" quote was from December 2025. Anthropic has seen tremendous growth since then, ever since Claude Code with Opus 4.5 got really good at coding.

If you've ever been at a startup, this is exactly what it looks like when you go from not having product-market fit to having it (though with a few extra zeros on the end compared to most).
jonas21
·vor 2 Monaten·discuss
Isn't the Pope like the canonical high-status non-profit worker?
jonas21
·vor 2 Monaten·discuss
The author labels COVID and the launch of ChatGPT on the graph, but fails to mention that Stack Overflow was acquired in June 2021 by Prosus, a Dutch private equity firm. That looks to me like it matches pretty well with the entire downward trend.
jonas21
·vor 2 Monaten·discuss
The 22:20 timestamp from the body of the post is wrong. The timeline section (where the 22:10 timestamp came from) is consistent with itself, and also contains:

> May 19, 22:19 UTC - Root cause identified: Google Cloud Platform has suspended Railway's production account.

They couldn't have identified the root cause before it happened.
jonas21
·vor 2 Monaten·discuss
This is an engineering choice: do you merge first and then fix the remaining issues or do you get everything perfectly clean first and then merge?

I've seen large rewrites and migrations take both approaches -- in my experience, the former usually works out better.
jonas21
·vor 2 Monaten·discuss
Yes, but the title of this page is literally "Keep OSS alive on company time".
jonas21
·vor 2 Monaten·discuss
Is your negativity a knee-jerk reaction to TikTok and AI, or do you have a substantive criticism of the idea?

There are so many papers being written these days that it's difficult to find all the ones that are relevant to your work and interests. Likewise, there's a discoverability problem for authors who are not already well-known. Andrej Karpathy's arXiv Sanity site used to be a decent way of sifting through papers in some areas, but sadly it's been down for a while now.
jonas21
·vor 2 Monaten·discuss
CAPTCHAs were designed as a type of Turing Test, not a reverse Turing Test. It’s not surprising that the effectiveness of these weaker variants has collapsed, given that AI can now pass the real Turing Test.
jonas21
·vor 2 Monaten·discuss
That's what they did. They migrated to Better Auth, which stores everything in your DB. It's the equivalent of Django auth for the Typescript ecosystem.
jonas21
·vor 2 Monaten·discuss
> I’ve been mourning the old Internet over the past year or two... As a kid on the Web from the early 2000s through the mid-2010s, we knew we were living through something special.

It's funny because I knew lots of people in the early 2000s who were mourning the loss of the "old Internet" then. Kind of like how everyone thinks the music they listened to as a teenager is the best and it's all been downhill since.