95% of human farmers lost their jobs because of industrial revolution. What happened then? No jobs were created and we still have 95% unemployment, right?
You generate 20k LOC in a few hours. How long will it take you to read it? One week? You just keep going instead. I don't think this works great at large scale production codebases yet, but it's an approach that will have more and more applications going forward. It doesn't have to fit every use case.
If an AI system autonomously built a rocket and went to the moon, would you call it unimpressive because it's already been done? The moving of goalposts is shocking.
The issue you're overlooking is the scarcity of experts. You're comparing the current situation to an alternative universe where every person can ask a doctor their questions 10 times a day and instantly get an accurate response.
That is not the reality we're living in. Doctors barely give you 5 minutes even if you get an appointment days or weeks in advance. There is just nobody to ask. The alternatives today are
1) Don't ask, rely on yourself, definitely worse than asking a doctor
2) Ask an LLM, which gets you 80-90% of the way there.
3) Google it and spend hours sifting through sponsored posts and scams, often worse than relying on yourself.
The hallucinations that happen are massively outweighed by the benefits people get by asking them. Perfect is the enemy of good enough, and LLMs are good enough.
Much more important also is that LLMs don't try to scam you, don't try to fool you, don't look out for their own interests. Their mistakes are not intentional. They're fiduciaries in the best sense, just like doctors are, probably even more so.
How does this add to the discussion? Is the goal to make HN as toxic as everywhere else online? If you have something to say, say it. Otherwise this performative negativity and cynicism is boring honestly.
Who declared it? Who cares what anyone declares? What do you think will actually happen? If software can be fully automated, then sure SWEs will need to find a new job. But why wouldn't it increase productivity instead and there still are developer jobs, just different.
The reason housing is extremely expensive in the US is the current old NIMBY home owners. The country has 66% home ownership rate thanks to the long term policy of US government to promote homeownership. But this has the undesirable side effect that for most Americans, their house represents all their wealth and they will fight to the bitter end to protect that from anyone else, especially newcomers.
It's nice to think of newcomers as Airbnbs, investment firms, and Chinese immigrants to justify this NIMBY stance to themselves and sleep well at night. But in fact the newcomers are their own children. Left likes environment as a reason to block construction and right neighborhood character (racism). This ensures that nothing gets built and the home prices stay high, exactly what the electorate, majority homeowner and majority old desires.
From the voter's perspective it's not a housing problem. It's a housing bonanza where it's old people complaining about a problem supposedly others created while wiping their tears with dollars. There's so many red herrings in the housing debate that they can sleep sound that it will never change thanks to the next guy blaming Airbnbs for why housing is expensive.
Humans are risk averse and loss averse. You see the downsides and are fearful but can't yet see the upsides or underestimate them. Why not make the same argument for internet and computers? We would've been better off without them? If AI makes doctors more efficient would you have your child die to make the doctor's life more fulfilling?
Which tech leader said the rewards will be distributed evenly? That sounds more like a rhetorical strawman for you to dunk on to make a point. It would be similar to saying "Most HN commenters argue that all the benefits of AI will go to the billionaires, but actually they're all wrong because some of it will in fact go to average people"