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Ask HN: Where are all the disruptive software that AI promised?

23 points·by p-o·vor 3 Monaten·22 comments

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p-o
·vor 27 Tagen·discuss
Wayland uses UNIX socket for message passing, but then offload most of the work to shared memory when the real work begins (GPU rendering). I just wanted to add some nuances that it's not as black and white as this comment made it seem.
p-o
·letzten Monat·discuss
It's interesting how you elect to name two presidents in an era that were democrats while conveniently omitting the republican president in between. With all his baggages, I find this quite convenient.
p-o
·letzten Monat·discuss
Not always, and in this case, the study is very light on details on how the selection process was done. The burden of the RCT is on the research team and the quality of the randomization varies between studies.

If a study is going to draw debatable conclusion after 10 years on high dose Vitamin D during pregnancy, I'd expect at least some comment in the study on the general socio economic landscape and grouping.

Regardless, this study looks like a sham to me.
p-o
·letzten Monat·discuss
I don't know, the study seems pretty mild in findings and the research doesn't mention anything about the socioeconomic environment in which each of the children grew in.

Maybe it's the high dose vitamin, maybe it's because one cohort was skewed one way on the socioeconomic spectrum, maybe it's something else entirely. More evidence would be needed imo to confirm Vitamin D3 has a direct contributor to cognitive performance as the research portrayed.
p-o
·vor 2 Monaten·discuss
What's wrong with voicing opinion on the Internet? It's a personal blog, you don't have to read it if you don't like it.

There are plenty of strange things that gets publish every day, I don't see why you get hung up on this post.
p-o
·vor 2 Monaten·discuss
Yes, absolutely. The Cybertruck was indeed the first of its kind to have 4 wheels attached to its structure. No car company before Tesla had ever done this before and as such, it was impossible to gauge what kind of material was best suited to handle stress over long period of time.

It's just ridiculous.
p-o
·vor 2 Monaten·discuss
> Geeks who didn't even stand near professional sports should really shut up about anything sport related, lol.

Reggie Dunlop is ready for duty, he'll get the job done.
p-o
·vor 3 Monaten·discuss
I'm sure it's a preventive measure and no one placed bets to enrich themselves in the last 12 months...
p-o
·vor 3 Monaten·discuss
It's undeniable that it has improved the productivity in _some_ areas of development. But my point stand nonetheless, if development is improved, it seems to be difficult to surface that to end user.

The premise, originally, was that AI would empower workers to do more with less. Granted this is anecdotal, but most of the stuff I use today is much the same as it was 5 years ago. It seems the world is improving at the same rate as it did before, generally speaking.
p-o
·vor 4 Monaten·discuss
This is a neat experiment, and I read the story before joining the conversation here and realizing it was written the way it was.

Many people here already chimed in on the emotion of being caught reading something that might not have felt AI so I will offer another angle. Akin to many The New Yorker article in the past, I felt disconnected with the article for a good portion at the beginning. So much so that I had to skip most of it.

The piece that got me very hooked was when he drove to Carol Lindgren’s farm. I read the remainder of the text and thought the content was engaging and thought provoking, in some sense. I loved the idea of manual override that logged into the system and changed the system behaviour over time. That's something that got me thinking about AI, actually.

Now, I would be curious which part of the author's genesis made it into the final text and how much of that couples with what I found to be intellectually engaging.
p-o
·vor 4 Monaten·discuss
Thank you so much for sharing this video, it's just amazing to see a bunch of young amateurs getting so excited about things that would have been virtually inaccessible 20 years ago.
p-o
·vor 4 Monaten·discuss
> Why not? Why can't faster typing help us understand the problem faster?

Why can't you understand the problem faster by talking faster?
p-o
·vor 4 Monaten·discuss
I could give the benefit of the doubt to any other administration doing it.

This one? I really have a hard time thinking it's nothing else then another grifting scheme.
p-o
·vor 4 Monaten·discuss
I am not delusional about those power-hungry people, but I somehow thought that with better access to information, society would have been able to better regulate them.

Maybe in hindsight, "flooding the zone" will be considered a much bigger threat than it is today. Most of what's going on in the last 12 months have happened in plain sight and would have never worked 30 years ago. Today, it just flies, attention span be damned.
p-o
·vor 4 Monaten·discuss
Why did we have to go through all this pain. Was that really necessary? And given we mostly talk about technology here, let me put this through that lens:

With all the technology advancement and improvement with access to information in the last 30 years, why does it feel that all of this culminates to more disinformation, more pain, and less understanding?
p-o
·vor 4 Monaten·discuss
>For many years we had to rely on our own internally developed fork of FFmpeg to provide features that have only recently been added to FFmpeg

I really wonder if they couldn't have run the fork as an open source project. They present their options as binary when it fact they had many different options from the get go. They could have run the fork in an open-source fashion for developers of FFmpeg to see what their work was and be able to understand what the features they were working on was.

Keeping everything close source and then contributing back X amount of years later feels a little bit disingenuous.
p-o
·vor 4 Monaten·discuss
Yes, I think you're right that it is not the end of the road for LLM and the application of LLM might be adopted over time across a variety of industries.

I guess what I failed to convey in my original comment was that, like the Internet 20 years ago, the current advancement made by AI might stall at a foundational level, while the landscape evolves.

Essentially, I believe what you're saying is really close in spirit to what I'm saying.
p-o
·vor 4 Monaten·discuss
I think the brunt of the disruption regarding AI is already behind us for LLMs at least. It's possible we'll see improvements over the following months/years, but government will inevitably start to catchup to the level of disinformation and confusion that AI has brought to this world.

Laws & regulations that needs to be created to reign in AI will undoubtedly increase the opportunity cost of training LLMs.

For some, it might be similar to the early 2000s, but I think it's just a healthy rebalance of what AI is, and how the society needs to implement this new, hardly controllable, paradigm. With this perspective, OpenAI has a lot to lose as it hasn't been able to create a moat for itself compared to, let's say, Anthropic.
p-o
·vor 4 Monaten·discuss
Interesting adjacent theory is how much are datacenters becoming military target to strike as part of disrupting initial defenses. It doesn't seem it was the case in this instance, but I could see this becoming a more important target in future.

Seems like it should be somewhat easier to bomb 50 datacenters than it would be to hack and disrupt 1000s of different services.

Again, this is just me thinking out loud on a tangent and this doesn't have much to do with this story, but I felt it was an interesting thought to share nonetheless.
p-o
·vor 4 Monaten·discuss
The messaging is not normal, the intent is absolutely abhorrent. With every passing week, the rhetoric coming from him gets more violent: I'm worried.