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prolly97

37 karmajoined vor 3 Jahren
DS/statistics, or whatever we are calling it currently. DS could stand for data science or discount software. I know some of my engineering colleagues thinks that.

https://askhviid.com/

Submissions

Show HN: Search 67K .AI domains by AI-extracted tags and descriptions

ratemyaisite.com
4 points·by prolly97·vor 2 Monaten·0 comments

Show HN: hot or not for .ai websites

ratemyaisite.com
1 points·by prolly97·vor 3 Monaten·0 comments

Beating the House for the Love of Math

advantage-player.com
11 points·by prolly97·vor 6 Monaten·6 comments

comments

prolly97
·vor 4 Tagen·discuss
I mean... yes discrimination doesn't feel nice... but it's not as if people who come to Germany where forced to do so by the germans. I'm not from Germany, but the vibes in some of the high-muslim density parts of Germany I've been to have likewise felt unwelcome, unsafe and hostile (towards me as a scandinavian).

So it feel a bit more complicated than "germans are racist, BAD". Anecdotally I've heard that it's hard for any other nationality to do business in germany, simply because they prefer to do business with other germans. It's their country, we just need to accept those cultural differences, and their right to do as they please in their own country.

There's plenty of countries whose laws or attitudes I don't agree with, and that I just don't visit or have any ambition of staying in. China, Burkina Faso, Somalia and Chad are a few examples.
prolly97
·vor 4 Tagen·discuss
Anecdotally I've noticed that among the coworkers I've had from other countries, the ones who manage to learn danish and stay, have generally been in areas with lower density of foreign workers.

My theory is that in areas with lower densities of foreign nationals, you'd benefit more socially form learning the local language.
prolly97
·vor 29 Tagen·discuss
With the way you're framing your opposition, I agree with you. But I'd like to add some nuance. Parts of building a product or a set of features is about search, rather than great engineering. Sometimes it's better to build two good-enough features to figure out which one is valuable to the user, rather than building one solid* one. I've always been in the "let's fuck around and find out" camp. I appreciate that someone with a different attitude built git! Just saying that there's a balance here, which will depend on the degree to which you're in the middle of a search problem.

*solid in a pure engineering sense - availability, maintainability, chance of leaking the users' nudes etc.
prolly97
·letzten Monat·discuss
I hear you. And I believe disagreement is good. The markets were right back in 2018 - Tesla did manage to overcome their manufacturing struggles, and they did become profitable (now having retained earnings equal to ~65% of their then market cap).

The markets may well be wrong now. But they weren't back then, and the arguments haven't changed drastically.

Currently I'm sitting in Palo Alto. So I get to see a lot of Waymos and Cybercabs. I struggle to see how Waymo can compete on price if Tesla can keep production prices in the same realm as M3. And making a car is a pretty steep barrier to entry. So that edge may take some time to compete away.
prolly97
·letzten Monat·discuss
All that. But also he makes products so compelling that people who dislike him drives in them. "Fuck Elon" gotta be an all time top seller among bumper stickers.

> few could have anticipated that Tesla and Musk would be unaffected by valid scrutiny and criticism.

This almost implies that the scrutiny itself, and not the economic reality, should be the reason of Teslas demise or otherwise lesser financial outcome. Which seems a little self referential. If Elon doesn't wash his hands after peeing, and we pointed it out, that would be valid criticism. Ewww pee-hands. But the economic reality and aggregate outcome wouldn't change.

Like not even if the frontpage of WSJ, The Times or FT said "eww Elon pee-hands".

And that the thing - with enterprises of this scale, you could always nitpick and find some things that are suboptimal. But we gotta see it in proportion. 100mm accounting error in Tesla is not the same as a 100mm accounting error in the local McDonalds franchise. For one the error is magnitudes larger than their real economic footprint. For the other it's a rounding error.

TL;DR: I hear you - yes there is valid criticism. We just gotta see it in proportion. I like Teslas cars. But I don't like pee-hands.
prolly97
·letzten Monat·discuss
When I followed TeslaQ, the valuation was around 60b. Today Tesla has 39b in accumulated retained earning (pr latest 10k, not q).

If the thesis was that Tesla would be unable to create a system that would churn out cars that could be sold at scale with an economic surplus, then we have to reject it.
prolly97
·letzten Monat·discuss
So this guy was pretty active in the TeslaQ community. They believed Tesla to be (extremely) overvalued in 2017-2019 on the grounds that they would never become profitable.. or something. They lost a lot of money shorting Tesla. https://www.reddit.com/r/teslamotors/comments/91aha1/montana...

Anyways, seems like he's keeping the grudge alive.

They were right about a couple of things back then. But majorly wrong in aggregate and with respect to the outcome.
prolly97
·letzten Monat·discuss
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prolly97
·letzten Monat·discuss
At least half of the people in this thread survived growing up with access to social without age verification.

And I'm pretty sure we've all had an encounter with some creep in some random chat room too.

We talked about these things at school and at home. Don't share things with people you don't know etc. Idk if it's illegal to tell kids what to do these days. But when I grew up, we were occasionally also told to get off the computers and touch grass.

I hope I'll get to raise my future kids myself. I think I can do a better job than the government :)
prolly97
·vor 2 Monaten·discuss
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prolly97
·vor 2 Monaten·discuss
Are you getting any sales on Lobsterpack? Just curious :)
prolly97
·vor 6 Monaten·discuss
Also added HACKERNEWS95 as a coupon code in Stripe :)
prolly97
·vor 6 Monaten·discuss
ofc, if you don't want the Excel sheet, you can find my contact details in my profile. Otherwise you get free access to the web version (which is far better), just by signing in with Google (you don't actually have to sign up to anything through the affiliate link, you can just wait out the timer).
prolly97
·vor 6 Monaten·discuss
I made an app to calculate exact EV and optimal strategy for Black Jack.

Originally I made it in a Google Sheet/Excel. The calculations are much clearer in Excel, so DM me if you want a copy :)
prolly97
·vor 8 Monaten·discuss
I don't want an internet designed by lawyers and politicians. And I'm afraid that's what this level of regulation and enforcement would create.