This was my exact thought when I hit that point in the article. How am I supposed to know the probability to make these calculations? And if I make up numbers that "seem" reasonable, how is that better than buying insurance to sleep better?
Except it's not anywhere near as complex because you need to manage far far less using the AWS services than if you ran all of your own inside a k8s cluster. And even if you use k8s, you're probably already using most of those anyway. Who bothers building their own container hosting and file hosting at a startup?
Certainly seems that way, and it's written by a guy who promoted ivermectin as a "wonder drug" and had his certification revoked by the American Board of Internal Medicine. WTF is this doing on HN?