“I thought that as a casual investor, I could engage and help pump my bags about the project, as I normally do on here
(especially with my apes; and other people who own heavy bags of other projects). But doing that caused my followers to buy more into the project.”
This is the market that OpenSea is serving. Their revenue, valuation is all a product of “pumping bags”. Maybe that has long term viability… maybe that’s worth 10s of billions. Maybe.
I’d love to believe that but I’ve never seen it in practice. The misses always outweigh the hits and it creates a frustrating team dynamic. You end up with seniors steam-rolling through estimates (hah! I did a large in a day! Applaud me!) and juniors stuck on a small for a week.
External stakeholders may see that over time you end up with performance and estimates averaging out to match up, but that’s very vulnerable to turnover in a team (a few juniors join and the team is underperforming and it’s all the juniors fault) and the internal team dynamic does not mirror the external.
Tasks and engineers are not fungible, allocating the right developer to the right task and giving it a developer-specific estimate will have much greater results.
I agree that scrum is dumb but abstract size estimates are dumb too for the same reason. All that matters is time, and if time is variable per person then… record the time it would take per person. I have never worked in a team where sizing ever worked, because junior says large, senior says small, the facilitator settles on medium… and then the junior ends up doing it and takes twice as long as expected.
Your anology assumes everyone knows where the building is, that they know how to run etc etc
“I thought that as a casual investor, I could engage and help pump my bags about the project, as I normally do on here (especially with my apes; and other people who own heavy bags of other projects). But doing that caused my followers to buy more into the project.”
This is the market that OpenSea is serving. Their revenue, valuation is all a product of “pumping bags”. Maybe that has long term viability… maybe that’s worth 10s of billions. Maybe.