> What if it’s not a catastrophic event, but technological progress just asymptotically approaches 0? What if there is a limit to layers upon layers of abstraction and at some point it just becomes too complicated to keep going?
Looking at history, there is not really an argument for progress to stop in the long term.
I think I get what you mean, that further advancement gets more and more complicated and the human mind gets to a limit what it can comprehend and reason about. But lots of research and progress have been augmented by technology in the past 70 years or so, and I don't see a reason why it wont continue along that path.
I agree that there is a limit to everything. But it is almost impossible to forsee when and where that is going to happen.
I always found arguments for or against such technological advancements meaningless, if we don't specify what timeframes we are talking about. Sometimes I have the impression that people who disagree are simply thinking in different timeframes.
For me, only short- and sometimes mid-term timeframes are practical in such deabtes. Long-term is interesting, but more in the realm of science fiction.
In the context of AGI, is it inevitable eventually?
Sure, I would agree, unless some catastrophic event puts back our technological advancement.
IMO, don't see the path to AGI with the current tech, though. All current SOTA agents are still LLM based with all their flaws (limited reasoning, generalization, incomplete world model, hallucinations, ...). At their core, they are still next token predictors with a limited context.
Most of the advances in AI in the past 2 years are in post-training and harnesses.
I'd expect a different core technology than just an LLM in order to get to AGI.
Actually VSCode Copilot does support (almost?) same plugin definition as claude code, https://code.visualstudio.com/docs/copilot/customization/age... .
I just added my local copy of CQ's plugin directory to `chat.pluginLocations` and it seems to work just fine.
If I set the scale value (150) to roughly the ppi of my screen (4k 27"), I can see the effect.
You should see the rotating stars only in a small field of view (fov) where your eyes are focused and all other stars should seem to remain still.
Even though I drink some alcohol as well, it think kind of sad that it has such a reverse association with not having fun.
I am sure almost all people would have an awesome time regardless. It's very deeply ingrained in our culture and just the default behaviour when meeting in the evening.