Show HN: Modeling "Dragon King" wildfire events with 5-mile frontier effects(gethazardsafe.com)

3 pointsby riscii68il y a 5 mois1 comments

Show HN: Modeling "Dragon King" wildfire events with 5-mile frontier effects

https://gethazardsafe.com/dragon-king-problem

1 comments

riscii68il y a 5 mois

After tracking the recent fires in LA & Hawaii, the massive blackouts in Europe, and other recent destructive flood/wind events, I realized how unprepared we are as a population for these types of severe events (myself included). After chatting with a lot of folks, I realized people are generally aware of these issues - but aren't sure where to start, what specific steps to take, or how to finance the whole thing.

My friend and I wanted to build a tool that does three things: 1. Give an immediate, address-level risk profile for natural hazards (starting with fire/flood) and crime vulnerability. 2. Generate a practical 'improvements' checklist to "harden" that specific property. 3. Help surface rebates, credits, and other free services - to make it easier for people to afford these improvements.

Even as I’ve spent the last year researching natural hazards, one fact still haunts me: Windborne wildfire embers (firebrands) can travel up to 5 miles ahead of the main fire front.

Most homeowners look at their immediate neighborhood and think, "I’m not near the trees, I’m safe." But the data shows that's a fallacy. You aren't just at risk from your backyard; you’re potentially at risk from a 5-mile radius of backyards.

In the context of home safety, a wildfire might be a Black Swan to the average person, but a Dragon King to Didier Sornette who might see the fuel load, the wind patterns, and the 5-mile ember-throw potential.

This is an early version so your thoughts would be helpful:

- Any bugs or unclear features? - Thoughts on how to show this more clearly to users. - If you were looking for a new house (or improve an existing one), would using this tool help you feel safer?

Thanks!