bloppe

3,919 karmajoined il y a 6 ans

Submissions

Why China is winning the trade war

73 pointsby bloppeil y a 9 mois94 comments

Show HN: A better way to run Bazel in Docker

1 pointsby bloppeil y a 9 mois0 comments

comments

il y a 14 minutesdiscuss

If your fan isn't Byzantine fault tolerant, you're irrelevant

il y a 5 heuresdiscuss

Phasing out leap seconds is such a crack pot idea. Read the resolution [1]. The conclusion hinges entirely on accepting the immutability of these 2 premises:

  recalling that the CGPM at its 26th meeting (2018)
    - stated that UTC is the only recommended time scale for international reference and the basis of civil time in most countries,
    - recommended all relevant unions and organizations to work together to develop a common understanding on the realization and dissemination of reference time scales with a view to considering the present limitation on the maximum magnitude of UT1 - UTC to meet the needs of the current and future user communities,

I accept all the other premises from the resolution, but then the obvious conclusion should be to just recommend TAI instead of UTC for any application that could be disrupted by leap seconds, instead of butchering UTC and turning it into just a worse version of TAI.

[1]: https://www.bipm.org/en/cgpm-2022/resolution-4

il y a 7 heuresdiscuss

This is follows the classic AI policy influence playbook: enumerate a small handful of potential outcomes that make your preferred policy seem obviously correct, ignoring the fact that there are literally infinite more "plans" that could be reasonably predicted that would support wildly different policy prescriptions.

Sounds like they did have quorum (84% present). I'm assuming the "trick" is related to the fact that it was an expired law up for renewal instead of a brand new law, which sounds pretty dumb to me. Maybe I'm mistaken about the details tho. I'm just some guy

il y a 3 joursdiscuss

I'm constantly amazed at how far I can get in Portugal or Italy speaking only Spanish. They're different languages but you can make it work well enough in pretty much every situation I've been in.

il y a 3 joursdiscuss

I don't think there's a meaningful difference between "deterministic" and "reproducible" the way you just used them. How can something be reproducible if you can't accurately predict what it will do?

Regardless, you can make them deterministic by turning the temperature down to zero. Just nobody likes doing that for whatever reason. I guess it ruins some sort of illusion people seem to like.

il y a 3 joursdiscuss

Cannot recommend these enough. Watch the first one and you'll be hooked

il y a 4 joursdiscuss

Imagine managing a team of people with no knowledge of their craft, like a team of doctors when you know nothing about being a doctor. You might be pretty confident that you can do it really well. The doctors would probably think that your "management" is unnecessary and potentially counter-productive.

il y a 4 joursdiscuss

If this is true, then at some point we will stop committing source code to repositories, and instead commit prompts. The LLM would be a "compiler" that can reliably turn a vast collection of natural-language prompts into a complete system.

I just don't see that, not least of all because natural language is inherently ambiguous, whereas all the other rungs in your latter ("machine code -> assembly -> C/JVM -> some lang") are completely unambiguous by design. Consider "I saw the man with the binoculars". Does that mean "I used binoculars to look at the man", or "The man I looked at was holding binoculars"? This is the kind of inherent ambiguity that Lojban was invented to mitigate. Maybe some day we'll write "natural" language prompts in Lojban that can be unambiguously translated by an LLM, but that sounds a lot like just using a "some lang".

il y a 4 joursdiscuss

Hypothetically, maybe. In practice, probably not.

il y a 5 joursdiscuss

Let's assume for the sake of argument that Anthropic has a monopoly over significantly superior models. They will never be a perfect gatekeeper. The number of black hat hackers with access they shouldn't have will be highly correlated with the total number with access, so to be "conservative" Anthropic would deny access to many white hat hackers who should have access (like my company, which runs cloud infra for hundreds of other companies but is nonetheless too small to be considered). It only takes a few bad apples to ruin the bunch, and once a black hatter has access, all the white hatters without would be exposed. At that point, it would be better for everyone to have access.

Luckily, Anthropic has no such monopoly, so the point is sorta moot

il y a 5 joursdiscuss

Every single one of those sentences is highly dubious. Cyber-defenders would be pretty jazzed about having easier access to Mythos-class models. Cyber-defense is easier with better tools.

il y a 5 joursdiscuss

I'm saying I would do the same thing if I were Dario. I don't think he's evil. I just think his hero complex is annoying.

il y a 5 joursdiscuss

"if I don't do it, someone worse will"

Of course that's what Dario thinks because that's what every tech CEO thinks. Dario, Sam, Sundar, probably many Chinese CEOs as well. It's what everyone thinks. That's why they're competing so fiercely with one another. That's why they basically make all the same decisions. That's why we need properly open source AI.

il y a 5 joursdiscuss

I agree that Dario is pretty annoying, but I think the "tech villain" archetype is essentially survivorship bias. The tech leaders who don't act that way are not nearly as visible because they're not nearly as successful.

il y a 5 joursdiscuss

You could also audit the JavaScript / Wasm that's running in your browser. In fact, a security-focused e2e application might want to purposely keep all client-side code un-minified and highly readable for this very purpose, but decompilers and LLMs could provide reasonable auditability regardless

il y a 7 joursdiscuss

It takes a lot of callous and privilege to have this kind of opinion

il y a 10 joursdiscuss

If AfD, RN, Futuro Nazionale and their ilk stay on their current trajectory, the identity crisis will become much harder to ignore

il y a 10 joursdiscuss

Idk why you're perceiving silence. Feels to me like this is the main thing people talk about nowadays.

il y a 11 joursdiscuss

When you're announcing a new model, typically, nobody else has benchmarked it yet, because it hasn't been released yet. You can still run 3p benchmarks on it and publish those results. If other parties later run the same benchmarks independently, and find major discrepancies, that would be a scandal.