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ccorda

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23 points·by ccorda·il y a 3 ans·7 comments

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ccorda
·il y a 3 ans·discuss
Kenton Varda (tech lead) has some more notes in this twitter thread: https://twitter.com/KentonVarda/status/1659551757796515846
ccorda
·il y a 3 ans·discuss
I agree that payments on their own (e.g. salary, bonuses) don't seem counter to the non-profit's interest. But what if we're talking about 100B of equity -- equity that otherwise would have gone to the parent non-profit?
ccorda
·il y a 3 ans·discuss
A few comments have noted that it's common for non-profits own for-profits (Mozilla Foundation, college endowments, etc).

What seems different here is that rather than funneling profits up to the non-profit, the intent seems to be to make payouts to fellow board members and employees:

> Only a minority of board members are allowed to hold financial stakes in the partnership at one time. Furthermore, only board members without such stakes can vote on decisions where the interests of limited partners and OpenAI Nonprofit’s mission may conflict—including any decisions about making payouts to investors and employees. [1]

IANAL, but has anyone seen this sort of arrangement before?

[1] https://openai.com/blog/openai-lp
ccorda
·il y a 4 ans·discuss
The original data source of all this breaks this out into "Critical Disengagements" (CDE) and Non-Critical.

  * Critical: Safety Issue (Avoid accident, taking red light, unsafe action)
  * Non-Critical: Non-Safety Issue (Wrong lane, driver courtesy, merge issue)
That both Fred from Electrek and Taylor from Snow Bull ignore this distinction shows me their intent is less than neutral.

Looking at the original data sources [1], FSD seems to be improving over time at the metric that matters most:

  * City miles per CDE have gone from ~50 to ~120. 
  * % of drives over 5 miles with no CDE have gone from 72% to 93%.
I've been pleasantly surprised that human oversight while the software improves seems to be a viable approach. FSD doesn't appear particularly close to Waymo/Cruise at the moment, but it's not as if they are crashing left and right (you'd certainly hear about it if they were).

Personally I have it, I don't find it enjoyable to use -- but I also don't feel unsafe when using it. Highway autopilot on the other hand I find immensely reliable and valuable.

[1] https://www.teslafsdtracker.com/ https://twitter.com/eliasmrtnz1
ccorda
·il y a 4 ans·discuss
In case it goes away, or if you're international and can't see, this seems like a good usage of Community Notes for added context and is currently published:

  Regulatory Credits on account for a small percentage of Tesla Revenue.

  2020: 6.2%
  2021: 3.2%
  2022: 2.7%

  As of FY Q3 2022 Credits were only $287m against profits of $3.3b

  https://twitter.com/FonsDK/status/1591489889924976640
  TSLA Q3 2022 IR Deck: shorturl.at/mow47
ccorda
·il y a 4 ans·discuss
From Keith Coleman today, who authored the original post announcing birdwatch [1]

> The team is on a mission that has had the support of 3 CEOs. We're cranking.

> to all team members, contributors and advisors past and present — an amazing, mission-driven set of people.

https://twitter.com/kcoleman/status/1588611638655320064

Also, Elon has endorsed it: https://twitter.com/elonmusk/status/1587798343622737925

Hoping it stays, I love the bottom up nature of it.

[1] https://blog.twitter.com/en_us/topics/product/2021/introduci...
ccorda
·il y a 4 ans·discuss
Mike DelPrete has done several:

- https://www.mikedp.com/articles/2021/12/16/opendoor-vs-zillo...

- https://www.mikedp.com/articles/2021/11/3/zillow-exits-ibuyi...
ccorda
·il y a 4 ans·discuss
The actual implementation is a little more nuanced than always roll or never roll, with seven conditions required to avoid coming to a complete stop:

  1. The functionality must be enabled within the FSD Beta Profile settings; and

  2. The vehicle must be approaching an all-way stop intersection; and

  3. The vehicle must be traveling below 5.6mph; and

  4. No relevant moving cars are detected near the intersection; and

  5. No relevant pedestrians or bicyclists are detected near the intersection; and

  6. There is sufficient visibility for the vehicle while approaching the intersection; and

  7. All roads entering the intersection have a speed limit of 30 mph or less.

  If all the above conditions are met, only then will the vehicle travel through the all-way-stop intersection at a speed from 0.1 mph up to 5.6 mph without first coming to a complete stop. If any of the above conditions are not met, the functionality will not activate and the vehicle will come to a complete stop
https://static.nhtsa.gov/odi/rcl/2022/RCLRPT-22V037-4462.PDF
ccorda
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
I'd recommend this article for a deeper look at how Zillow and its competitors exhibited different behavior in Phoenix as the market cooled:

https://www.mikedp.com/articles/2021/10/19/ibuying-is-hard-z...

> As the market cooled between August and September, Opendoor and Offerpad purchased fewer houses, while Zillow purchased more.

> The iBuyers also adjusted to changing market conditions by paying less for houses. The median purchase price in Phoenix peaked in August. Opendoor and Offerpad's median purchase price also peaked in August before tracking the market and declining in September. But Zillow kept paying more and more.