Yes it can! That's the whole point of RL! it generates slightly out of distribution rollouts, and rewards good rollouts to change the distribution of the output
Anthropic is very big (the biggest AI co?) in B2B, where you don't have ads. Also, if they end up creating a datacenter full of geniuses, ads won't make sense either.
1. you can definitely tell apart an S-curve and an exponential if you look at the derivative(s). AI progress does not seem to be close to the middle of the S-curve.
2. e.g.: a slowdown hasn't shown up in moore's law yet.
It is the case that Anthropic employees have no usage limits.
Some people do experiments where they spawn up hundreds of Claude instances just to see if any of them succeed.
The reason they get a perfect score on AIME is because every question on AIME had lots of thought put into it, and it was made sure that everything was a possible. SWE-bench, and many other AI benchmarks, have lots of eval noise, where there is no clear right answer, and getting higher than a certain percentage means you are benchmaxxing.
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