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Isaac Asimov on the David Letterman Show (1980) [video]

youtube.com
2 points·by holomorphically·il y a 5 ans·0 comments

The Water Will Come (1925)

laphamsquarterly.org
1 points·by holomorphically·il y a 5 ans·0 comments

Signs of the Times (1829) [pdf]

lisahistory.net
1 points·by holomorphically·il y a 5 ans·0 comments

Why Technology Favors Tyranny (Yuval Noah Harari) [2018]

theatlantic.com
2 points·by holomorphically·il y a 5 ans·0 comments

Uncertain storage prospects create a conundrum for carbon capture and storage

nature.com
2 points·by holomorphically·il y a 5 ans·0 comments

Carbon emissions are 'too high' to curb climate change (2012)

bbc.com
1 points·by holomorphically·il y a 5 ans·0 comments

Social Media and Mimetic Desire

psychologytoday.com
1 points·by holomorphically·il y a 5 ans·0 comments

Global Warming Projections (Per Country)

berkeleyearth.org
1 points·by holomorphically·il y a 5 ans·0 comments

comments

holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
Write it down and don't share it. Come back to it a day later and see if it still makes sense. This is a very common trick in cognitive behavioral therapy for teaching people basic metacognition. The fundamental goal is to allow for reflection on your own intentions and actions by delaying actions and then leveraging those skills to close the gap between intentions and actions without getting lost in negative emotions.

There is no easy shortcut or royal road. You'll have to do the work to develop the required metacognitve skills.
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
This idea comes up all the time. Here's the unabomber [1]

> If the machines are permitted to make all their own decisions, we can’t make any conjectures as to the results, because it is impossible to guess how such machines might behave. We only point out that the fate of the human race would be at the mercy of the machines. It might be argued that the human race would never be foolish enough to hand over all power to the machines. But we are suggesting neither that the human race would voluntarily turn power over to the machines nor that the machines would willfully seize power. What we do suggest is that the human race might easily permit itself to drift into a position of such dependence on the machines that it would have no practical choice but to accept all of the machines’ decisions. As society and the problems that face it become more and more complex and as machines become more and more intelligent, people will let machines make more and more of their decisions for them, simply because machine-made decisions will bring better results than man-made ones. Eventually a stage may be reached at which the decisions necessary to keep the system running will be so complex that human beings will be incapable of making them intelligently. At that stage the machines will be in effective control. People won’t be able to just turn the machine off, because they will be so dependent on them that turning them off would amount to suicide.

Here's E. M. Forster [2]

> But there came a day when, without the slightest warning, without any previous hint of feebleness, the entire communication-system broke down, all over the world, and the world, as they understood it, ended.

And here's Yuval Noah Harari [3]

> Even if some societies remain ostensibly democratic, the increasing efficiency of algorithms will still shift more and more authority from individual humans to networked machines. We might willingly give up more and more authority over our lives because we will learn from experience to trust the algorithms more than our own feelings, eventually losing our ability to make many decisions for ourselves. Just think of the way that, within a mere two decades, billions of people have come to entrust Google’s search algorithm with one of the most important tasks of all: finding relevant and trustworthy information. As we rely more on Google for answers, our ability to locate information independently diminishes. Already today, “truth” is defined by the top results of a Google search. This process has likewise affected our physical abilities, such as navigating space. People ask Google not just to find information but also to guide them around. Self-driving cars and AI physicians would represent further erosion: While these innovations would put truckers and human doctors out of work, their larger import lies in the continuing transfer of authority and responsibility to machines.

1: https://web.cecs.pdx.edu/~harry/ethics/Unabomber.pdf

2: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=29051853

3: https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2018/10/yuval-n...
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
Try OBS Studio if you want to do screen capture.
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
It would be nice to restrict advertising but no politician would do that. All internet infrastructure is now based on ads and it's unlikely that will change any time soon.
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
If you're concerned about cost when faced with an existential crisis then you have lost the plot.
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
If the assumption is that the major world powers don't cooperate enough to tackle a global existential crisis then we're fucked even without someone bombing a nuclear power plant.

Nuclear is currently the only viable option for buying enough time to address all the other negative consequence of 2C+ of warming. All the other plans currently on the table are accelerating us towards 3C of warming and that essentially means human civilization as we now know it is over.
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
If you don't think we will have stable governments in 25 years with nuclear technology then we definitely will not have stable governments with non-nuclear tech. Even 2C degrees of warming is going to create a whole bunch of economic and political instability because of mass migrations, food and water shortages, and escalating conflicts. This is the optimistic scenario and assumes everything goes according to plan and some magical negative carbon technologies are deployed alongside green and fossil tech (which is highly unlikely).

Nuclear is the only viable option. Everything else is certain disaster.
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
Consumption habits will need to change, people will need to start eating less meat. Factory farming of cattle and other animals is a large contributor of global emissions. So less consumption is definitely part of the answer.
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
Solar and wind do not have the required energy density and will never be viable without nuclear. The alternative is to keep burning fossil fuels and blow past 3C because we are already locked into 2C+ of warming with no viable path to large scale atmospheric carbon and methane removal.
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
How is this good?
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
I'm curious to know what those solutions are that will add up to 51 gigatons of CO2 sequestration a year.
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
Most developed nations are not growing anymore in terms of population so this is essentially already happening without any government intervention.
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
Can I send a hash of some content and then get a signed response from the ntp server with a timestamp?
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
> Using the coast of Peru as a case study, the team calculate that depositing 50,000 tonnes of tephra – a bulk carrier vessel’s worth – offshore could sequester 2750 tonnes of atmospheric carbon dioxide.

Current global CO2 output is 51 gigatons. Their solution is not viable. It won't even put a dent in the current output. [1]

1: https://mobile.twitter.com/BillGates/status/1453367874848837...
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
There is nothing wrong with markets. The issue is with an economic model that assumes continued growth of GDP by ignoring all negative externalities.
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
Through a synchronization protocol but it's obviously impossible to have perfectly synchronized clocks so the safest thing to do would be to use several timestamps from several clocks.

Blockchains in a way are such clocks where the ordering of the blocks on the chain provide an implicit counter. But blockchains have too much overhead so by assuming some trust it would be possible to get rid of the proof of work mechanism and just use a signed timestamp from a trusted source.
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
An economic system whose main premise is infinite growth is unsustainable.
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
Cryptographic identity verification and trusted clocks. As in, cryptography would be built-in and everyone would have a set of keys that they could use to verify ownership of digital content by using cryptographic signatures and timestamps.
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
I wonder when AI researchers are going to learn some category theory: https://bartoszmilewski.com/2014/11/04/category-the-essence-....
holomorphically
·il y a 5 ans·discuss
> But there came a day when, without the slightest warning, without any previous hint of feebleness, the entire communication-system broke down, all over the world, and the world, as they understood it, ended.