This. For all the, "Where's my jetpack?" angst in the world of science fiction fanboys (I am one) and start-up builders, there seems to be a disconnect with the rest of humanity on this issue. If the chance of failure is > 0% and odds of death on failure is > 95%, I don't see how a product like this will ever become more than a pipe dream, or at best a prototype flown by a thrill seeker over open water for a publicity stunt.
Edit: After reflecting on this I realize that airplanes probably fall into these statistics, at least for catastrophic failure anyway. I'd be curious to examine statistics in more detail to figure out what a comfortable level of risk would be, but for now, I guess I fall into the ranks of your typical armchair critic on this one.
It's fascinating to meet people like this with the intention of learning about confirmation bias. It's amazing the delusions people will grip on to maintain social status and some semblance of personal integrity and stability of belief systems. The great lengths of logical delusions some people make up to support their claims is noticeable in extreme cases like this. Of course, we are all subject to this bias and when you are in it, you don't know you are. https://samharris.org/the-fireplace-delusion/ (Disclaimer, I'm triggered by both viewpoints in this reference, but at least I recognize where some of my own biases are. What a funny brain we have.)
To further add to your point: developers now have control over the means to production and, unlike the industrial revolution, we programmers do not need access to capital and expensive manufacturing equipment to build a product. We just need some technical skills that are essentially free to learn. And as the best of us figure out how to add the entrepreneurial talent stack into our own, existing corporations have to pay us as consultants or continue to increase pay to keep that talent. In time, I think we will see it is the corporate structure that is in a bubble. (See "Developer Hegemony" by Erik Dietrich)
After reading through some of your older, down-voted comments, I noticed a trend of rebuttals. Both your comments and their replies are valuable points of conversation in the topics. While you may think some are
> dumb, uninteresting
That is a subjective opinion, and that's okay. If I was searching Hacker News on a topic, I expect to see both sides, or multiple sides, of a topic so I can try and make an informed opinion myself. Are those old posts, "dumb" and "uninteresting" and merely because they are down-voted? I would argue that while some may share this view, I do not, and I find great value in the debate and multiple opinions, and I suspect I'm not alone in this regard.
If the down-voted comments are removed, the conversation becomes heavily one-sided and it is confusing to the reader what is being argued. Just because an opinion is down-voted or unpopular, doesn't mean it is wrong. As Max Planck said, "a new scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die, and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it." The discussion as a whole has more value than the individual contributions, and we loose that discussion with this kind of censorship, and with it a path to new ideas.
No. Don't do this. I don't want the comments here to have a chilling filter like this. We need diversity of opinions even if some of them aren't liked. That is part and parcel of healthy debate. There should be fringe opinions on the sidelines getting attention - that's how we innovate. Tools like this are chilling, sensor ideas that may be controversial but innovative, and stifle healthy dialog.
TV's, Software, and Toys are cheaper, and notably the only categories cheaper on that chart from BLS. Well, it looks like this is good at keeping rioting off the streets; everyone is too distracted consuming tech.
>"Access to developers is a bigger constraint than access to capital"
As software continues to eat the world, I am reminded of Uncle Bob's blog on a Hippocratic Oath for software developers and the gravity behind the consequences of what we produce.
It's only a matter of time before the discussion changes from "Developer Coefficient" to much more dire tone. To quote Bob Martin,
"With that great power ought to come great responsibility. And, indeed, society will hold us responsible when our actions result in disaster. And yet nothing binds us together as a profession. We share no ethics. We share no discipline. We share no standards. We are viewed, by our employers, as laborers. We are tools for others to command and use. We have no profession."
I think a healthy level of social media use is to share photos, and ask for advice and recommendations. Anything else is social engineering that you are a deliberate manipulator of or unbeknownst participator. Flame bait, click bait, emotionally charged posts of the troll-or-be-trolled should be avoided. Also, comparison is the thief of joy. Don't do it. If you find yourself feeling inadequate compared to others, just keep in mind that most people feel that way, consciously or not. Keep in mind that you should only ever compare yourself to your past self, not to other people.
As long as consumers follow along, this will not change. We've allowed the US healthcare system to become a toxic cesspool of greedy insurance companies with laughable and corrupt government oversight. IMHO, The only way this changes is if everyone stops paying.
This reason alone (the ads to other Prime shows) is why I cancelled my Prime subscription and also was the final nail in the coffin on why I stopped using amazon all together. Amazon started to piss me off when they turned my amazon kindle, and the later my amazon app on my android phone into advertisement space.
A good rant and first foray into politics for the OP, I would imagine. C'est La vie. IMHO, the next step for OP is to learn how to play the game and add "finding a paying customer" to that list of what's next. Google "persuasion reading list".
I drink coffee. Up to three cups a day when working over 12 hours. Beyond that? No. I have an occasional glass of red wine at night, but have little desire to ever try any other drug. I am curious about the effects of micro-dosing LSD for creative productivity, but would only ever consider that in a medical research setting - I am more curious about the results of such a study. I don't know anyone who used/uses illegal drugs in my profession, and I am in my 4th job as a developer. Be careful about the comments here; not everyone uses drugs and you have no idea about sample size and representation in these comments. I am sorry about your loss, and wish you the best in your research and hope it can help others in the future.
This isn't user experience. It is Marketing 101. What a user feels about content is more concerned about persuasion than it is interactive behavior with the software. Your software shouldn't get in the way between the user and conversion. That's UX. This fluff is icing on the cake--if done correctly--and not in an obnoxious in-your-face dancing bunny kind of way.
I have been without access for 4 hours now. I have been with Capital One 360 since they were formally ING Direct and this is the first major outage I have experienced with them. Other than today, I have had a wonderful experience with their web and mobile apps. They say they haven't been hacked, but there is no ETA on a fix and no information into the nature of the outage. I was able to use my debit card, so I assume the sky isn't falling - but unnerved to say the least.
This story immediately reminded me of Scott Adams. He spent some time working on financial models before writing Dilbert. If you can stomach polarizing political viewpoints from a cartoonist, I would highly recommend reading his non-Dilbert books and giving his blog a thorough reading. His reflections on life touch on the role of luck, the limitations of prediction models, and framing worldviews from multiple perspectives as a way to narrow down on success, influence, and the very meaning of life.
Edit: After reflecting on this I realize that airplanes probably fall into these statistics, at least for catastrophic failure anyway. I'd be curious to examine statistics in more detail to figure out what a comfortable level of risk would be, but for now, I guess I fall into the ranks of your typical armchair critic on this one.