The AI Superforecasters Are Here(astralcodexten.com)

9 pointsby Michelangelo1110 दिन पहले2 comments

https://www.astralcodexten.com/p/the-ai-superforecasters-are-here

2 comments

tliptay10 दिन पहले

I'm jealous that this does not refer to us: "I met an AI superforecaster startup founder who told me his AI had turned $35 into $2 million on Kalshi over seven months."

I also talked to him and 100% believe he was able to pull this off. And it was on 10,000+ trades so it wasn't luck.

ddp2610 दिन पहले

Indeed they are! It's funny, in Sept 2024 I and others wrote about how the AI Superforecasters _weren't_ here, despite several claims that they were: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/uGkRcHqatmPkvpGLq/contra-pap...