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aeternum

5,435 karmajoined 7 वर्ष पहले

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aeternum
·8 घंटे पहले·discuss
Next YC batch: "We're Mollusca and we're democratizing access to nature's strongest material"
aeternum
·3 दिन पहले·discuss
Not sure it's so clever because I completed it as "not always wrong but often wrong", which their graph in the article seems to confirm.

Mainstream predictions are easy, usually it means predicting status-quo. It's the out-of-consensus that matters (right 2 quadrants) and it looks like they are slightly worse than 50/50 on those.

Props for publishing it though.
aeternum
·3 दिन पहले·discuss
Just as there a counter-suits perhaps we need more counter-laws. When something like this is defeated, a law is instead introduced to make chat control explicitly illegal.
aeternum
·4 दिन पहले·discuss
Wikipedia's own founder can no longer stand how biased the site has become
aeternum
·8 दिन पहले·discuss
I doubt that, there really wasn't much effort put to allowing GPUs to run hotter. You can always add a heat pump to create the thermal gradient of the GPU can't handle it itself.
aeternum
·8 दिन पहले·discuss
Energy radiation scales T^4 so physics is really on your side here. If you can engineer GPUs to run a little hotter you get significant decreases in radiator size required.
aeternum
·8 दिन पहले·discuss
What law of physics do orbital data centers violate? You must have learned some strange physics.
aeternum
·9 दिन पहले·discuss
Good thing Elon's companies have a history of moving engineering impossibilities from impossible to slightly late.

Remember when globally competitive electric cars, re-usable boosters, catching a rocket with chopsticks, playing a fps game via a brain implant, and maintaining a satellite constellation at 480km LEO were also impossible?
aeternum
·10 दिन पहले·discuss
>Certainly, you should attribute a significant proportion to the people who installed the automated system and even more to those who designed it.

Indeed, but what happens if/when they choose to sell the system and someone else buys it? Now the owner is who is generating the value. Even if he hires some maintenance worker to come by once and awhile and check up on it, it is the system (aka the capital), not the worker that is generating the vast majority of the value.
aeternum
·10 दिन पहले·discuss
That is true but likely only temporarily. Why is the single worker even needed?

We tend to have a pretty human-centric worldview so if there's a single human working to keep a hotel running, our default is to attribute all the generated value to them when it really isn't the case. You can imagine that hotel at some point in the near future goes from requiring 1 worker to keep it running to zero.
aeternum
·10 दिन पहले·discuss
Marx fails to imagine a world in which labor actually has little to no value.

His worldview is primarily that capitalists 'steal' the valuable labor. However it doesn't seem that that is actually the world we are in. Instead the intrinsic value of human labor seems to be slowly trending towards zero.

And it kind of makes sense, same has happened with oxen labor, horse labor, etc.
aeternum
·11 दिन पहले·discuss
Perhaps it is the use of the dollar as an instrument of offensive diplomacy that is weakening it.

Economic sanctions used to be rare, between 2000 and 2021 they grew by 1000% and the list is something like 17,000 entities long.

Is USD still a currency or is it now more like Robux: Swiftly confiscated if you violate the TOS?
aeternum
·28 दिन पहले·discuss
Tabloids do not belong here
aeternum
·29 दिन पहले·discuss
All hail the exemplary citizen!

(does that satisfy you sir?)
aeternum
·पिछला माह·discuss
These already exist and there are very few use-cases because typically waiting a little longer for a significantly better answer is preferable.
aeternum
·पिछला माह·discuss
No because profitability is only required to enter not to stay.
aeternum
·पिछला माह·discuss
This is mostly due to human attention and how the human vision system works.
aeternum
·पिछला माह·discuss
Index investors often believe that indexes work well because they average everything out.

The reality is something like 96% of public companies underperform treasuries.

ref: https://paretoinvestor.substack.com/p/why-96-of-stocks-are-d...
aeternum
·पिछला माह·discuss
Yes, I think given that misinfo this was probably the right decision by S&P, everyone would be saying I told you so and screaming about providing exit liquidity.

My prediction is that this will overall end up costing index holders money though. They will ultimately get a worse entry price for SpaceX and the other mega IPOs. Only time will tell.
aeternum
·पिछला माह·discuss
>Learning is biologically required to be hard.

I think we all know this to not be true. We've all had a super engaging teacher or task in which we learned quickly and efficiently without it feeling hard. I've learned far more through natural interest or through pursuing a goal than I have forcing myself to engage with a subject.

>Any for-profit initiative (ed-tech) will not be incentivized to improve learning outcomes. There's no money in it.

This also seems obviously false. Suppose some company did figure out a way to make learning twice as fast/efficient and proved it with data, there would be tons of money in it. Duolingo is just one example that there is plenty of money to be had even with dubious claims and a product that doesn't actually work that well. The issue seems to be that no company has figured out how to make arbitrary knowledge interesting enough to a wide enough variety of people.

If you take the extreme, people would pay huge amounts of money for The Matrix download to your brain type learning. The problem isn't no money in it, the problem is no solution thus far.