Exactly why I love my lightweight extra large packable poncho.
It's completely water proof, but it's got a shit ton of ventilation, I can wear exactly what I need to stay warm and if it starts raining, sleeting, snowing, etc. on with the poncho, I stay dry and warm, all of me stays dry, and not just my upper body.
I've actually done trail running in my poncho, but it's a pain, frankly most people don't need all this "technology" to stay dry and warm. I use a cotton tee, a wool sweater and a cheap insulated jacket with pit zips, and a poncho. It works for anything down to about -20F, of course you still need to protect your legs for warmth, because the poncho protects them from the water.
My poncho is so old it could vote, I don't even know who made it, I do remember it was cheap, but not flimsy, it has some body so that it won't act like it's still packed. I may not meet today's standard for packable, but eh, what's an extra couple of ounces in the scheme of things.
Not everyone has the freedom to quit their job, small towns, limited skill sets, transportation issues, family issues, etc. etc. etc, otherwise the number would probably be at 75%.
I just bought a new refrigerator and it comes with an app. I installed the app out of curiosity, the first thing the app demands is that I allow it to track the location of my phone at all times.
I've worked in 4 very successful organization that were almost 100% remote work, the percentage of remote work employees by company, 98%, 99%, 92%, 98%.
These companies were no different than the 3 successful companies that didn't support remote work at all.
All 7 companies were process driven companies, with discipline. The processes were not overly complicated, nor bureaucratic in nature, but they were followed religiously. If the process wasn't working everyone still followed it, but the issues were raised and addressed quickly. Which meant everything worked and made sense.
I've worked at 4 unsuccessful companies 2 that were almost 100% remote, and 2 that were almost 100% not remote. What these 4 companies had in common was a lack of process, or discipline. Chasing the "next thing", blowing up schedules because "we need it now", zero planning. These companies need everyone in the same location because nothing is written down, everything is rumor, tribal knowledge is key and if you don't get to sit in a room and look at everyone to figure out the politics nothing works.
Bottom line is if you want to be successful you need to plan, have process and be disciplined in your approach to running the business. If you do these things managing remote employees is no different than having everyone in the same room. If however your company is a mess, trying to manage remote employees is next to impossible.
I had a pretty horrific left knee injury wrestling. I was carted off to the hospital, when the accident was described to the Orthopedic surgeon he actually recoiled and was concerned I may have totally destroyed my and that it might not be repairable, it was 1979. From the time of the accident until I was in surgery it was less than 3 hours.
Somehow I managed to only stretch all my knee ligaments, ACL PCL,MCL,LCL, a few small inline tears, but nothing severed, but he said they were like overused rubber bands all stretched out. I did however shred all the cartilage. The cartilage was a mess, so much so that when they surgically removed all the cartilage from my knee. I have the video of the surgery, all my knee cartilage was removed, they scraped the bones in order to give me the smoothest ride possible, but it doesn't do much. When you don't have cartilage in your knee it's pretty obvious.
Fast forward 22 years to mid 2001 when I start following the teachings of Linus Pauling regarding L-Ascorbic Acid and L-Lysine for heart disease prevention. I started taking high levels of both in divided doses during the day. My stress levels plummeted, and my overall health significantly improved, but after about 6 months I started to notice my knee was changing, a lot. My pain was going away and I didn't notice the bone on bone activity, after about 9 months my knee stopped hurting completely.
In fact it felt so good that I started walking for exercise, normally after 5 minutes of walking I felt like I was gun shot in the knee, but nope I was able to walk fine for as long as I wanted. I then started jogging and then running, no pain, no pain at all.
I've seen my orthopedist and while he's not willing to just give me and MRI, based on all of his examination he said my left knee is no different then my right knee and he didn't believe me that I had all my cartridge surgically removed 20 years before. I took the video, just in case, and I played the video. My knee has a unique scar from when I was a child and fell on a bottle, I had the scar when they performed the surgery and shot the video and I still have the scar, so there is no doubt that all my cartridge in my knee was surgically removed in 1979.
L-ascorbic acid and L-Lysine are basic building blocks for cartilage. I'm just a sample size of one, but I know my cartilage is back, maybe not all the way back, but more than enough back that my knee rock solid stable, it's smooth as silk, I have no pain and my orthopedist can't find a difference in my knees.
I work for a Healthcare startup and we are actually delivering health care and value to patients, care providers and insurers, and we are scrutinized 50 ways from Sunday in order to get table scraps, because most of them don't think we have a real business. But dog walking seems like the next market defining breakout.
Reducing output isn't going to happen, well it won't happen until it's too late. It's like the smoker that gets diagnosed with cancer, and then decides to quite smoking.
It's also ludicrous that think that warming will stop and hold at 1.5 or 2.0c adding less won't stop the increase in climate warming, it will just cause the increase to be slower.
The other thing that's ludicrous is that we aren't monitoring the earth's output, the warming oceans, melting glaciers and thawing permafrost are now contributing greenhouse gases due to the warming climate, they are now locked into positive feedback loops. Which means every cycle the changes get a little bit bigger as the cycles feed themselves. Unless we can start to reduce the total amount of greenhouse gases in the upper atmosphere these feedback loops are just going to keep running.
duh, whether it's true or not when their accusations are release the initial knee jerk reaction from the sheeple will be to sell which will drive down the price.
Shorting GE before making the accusations is profiteering in my book. If it turns out they were wrong they'll still be able to make money on the short, buy back in with the profits and then when the stocks rebound they cash in again.
The entire stock market is a ponzi scheme for insiders.
I believe that most of what believe about our climate has been pushed by "researchers" operating based on the attached strings, going back to the mid to late 80's, and I also believe that things are much worse than anyone thinks.
The earth and climate was operating in a very delicate balance, and humans disrupted the balance starting with the industrial revolution. Humans kept disrupting the balance until the changes we've wrought pushed the earth and climate past another tipping point, a tipping point where the earth and climate started operating independently of human greenhouse gas output. Which is where we stand today. Human output isn't helping, but we've gone past a point where eliminating our output will bring the system back into balance. The earth itself is now driving the climate changes, not humans.
The earth and climate have 3 very large and powerful positive feedback loops running, warming oceans, thawing permafrost and melting glaciers, and the resource driving all three feedback loops are greenhouse gases. The oceans, permafrost and glaciers harbor massive amounts of greenhouse gases, and typically positive feedback loops don't stop until they run out of resources, and I believe it's true for the 3 I've outlined.
Hubris got us here, "oh, how can humans disrupt the earth and climate, it's so massive, everything will be fine." Back in the day I got labeled as a tree hugging crazy hippy, basically by everyone.
Hubris still driving us, "if we reduce our output just a little bit we can completely change the direction of the earth and climate, this massive system" Today I'm labeled as climate change denier, because I don't think we can fix things, and I'm still labeled as crazy.
I'm a white male, near 1% income and I live in a small town about 30 miles outside a major U.S. city and I'm terrified of the police.
We've stopped holding the police accountable for their actions and it's out of control. Local government, state government, prosecutors and most of all the Unions are to blame. Yeah, the Union, I'm the son of a Union executive and Unions have lost their way.
The Union is supposed to protect the possibility of a loss of a job position, the individual from unacceptable working conditions and unjustified sanctions, but they should also be holding the individual up the standards of conduct, but that's been lost. The union should be wanting to oust a bad cop, the position won't go away, so there is no loss of a job position, but if the individual isn't living up the the standards of behavior it reflects badly on the rest of the organization, and harms their strength. I watched my father walk union members off jobs because of poor performance, and after repeated failures throw them out of the union.
The unions themselves have become a very dangerous criminal gang, they carry weapons, they control people's lives, and they basically have no accountability. The populace is afraid, the politicians are afraid, and the legal system is afraid. The police have become paramilitary goon squads with their own agenda.
A friend's uncle just retired from a southern police force, while he was working he was pulled over 10's of times for DUI and was never charged because he's a cop. Now that he's retired he's drunk all the time and is constantly getting pulled over and driven home, but he's never been charged. He's only had a few minor accidents that got covered up because the police threatened the other driver. He'll keep doing this until he actually kills someone, then it will be interesting to see if anything happens.
Until the police are held accountable the problem is going to keep getting worse. Career criminals who are victims aren't the only people at risk, we are all at risk.
Everyday we read a new story about how changes are accelerating, and none of these changes are accounted for in any of the traditionally accepted climate models.
I think it's time admit that the climate models that we've been relying on aren't accurately modeling the changes that are taking place.
I remember reading about models in the 80's and 90's that started showing significant change starting to take place in the early 2020's, which means we are running ahead of even those aggressive models. Sort of a hockey stick curve of changes. What I remember about those aggressive models is that things got bad real quick, like 2050 quick and real bad like stuff that the normal models didn't think would happen for a 3 or four hundred years bad.
Those more aggressive models just faded away because no one believed that things could change so quickly. Back in the day most scientists thought it was crazy to think that the permafrost would ever thaw on a large scale, let alone start burning on a massive scale.
Right now everyone is operating on the belief that we can slow the rate of climate change, but the earth and the climate are now locked in a number of positive feedback loops, warming oceans, phytoplankton population crashes, thawing permafrost, thawing glaciers, ocean salinity drops, seal level rise. These systems and feedback loops are much bigger that the fraction of change proposed by the Paris agreement, and usually feedback loops don't stop until resources are exhausted or the loop breaks. These loops have a massive amount of resources and they aren't going to stop anytime, nor be impacted but our minuscule proposed changes.
I think the learned climate scientists need to start scouring paper archives to start looking for those more aggressive models because it's clear the assumptions the current models use are badly flawed.
The generally accepted climate models are watered down versions that were acceptable to big business and politicians, it gave them the wiggle room to pass the buck. "We still have time, someone else can fix it later."
The thawing of the permafrost will release massive amounts of CO2, and methane, as well as nitrous oxide, way more than what was expected. The thawing of the permafrost will continue to drive warming, causing more permafrost the thaw, not to mention the burning of that thawed permafrost. The earth and climate are already locked into a positive feedback loop and nothing short of a super volcano or a large meteor strike will interrupt the loop.
What humans have set into motion can't be slowed or stopped by any human activity, all we can do is be witness to what's happening. Our hubris, which got us here in the first place, will continue to drive our belief that we can fix this.
No, the climate models the businesses and politicians found acceptable are watered down models that showed that we had a lot of time before we needed to make changes, thus letting the businesses and politicians pass the buck.
The more aggressive models and the scientists that supported those models lost funding and were shouted down. Some of the models that got buried fully expected the changes to be happening at the pace we are witnessing. Some of those models said that once the permafrost started to thaw that it would release so much carbon, methane and nitrious oxide withing 10-15 years that the earth it's self would surpass human generated output. If those models are correct then it means we've passed a climate tipping point and nothing humans can do will reverse what's been set in motion. Event if human greenhouse gas output is reduced to zero overnight, the earth itself is now driving the changes to the climate.
Subaru is warning dealers about making modifications to their cars, listing simple items like changing tires and wheels, they also mention adding larger tires and wheels and lifting the vehicles, but they specifically mention changing tires and wheels.
Subaru is requiring that dealers must identify and document any changes they detect because it could impact warranty coverage. If a dealer does make non-standard modifications they must indemnify Subaru.
I think I'm going to have a discussion with my Subaru dealer and get a copy of their warranty support and manufacturer indemnification letter when they replaced my tires with non OEM tires. I replaced the OEM tires with the same size tires, but they aren't OEM and they could impact vehicle performance and I need to know that my dealer will stand behind the change.
With all the technology on cars it's looking like the car industry is going down the Apple/John Deer business model. You don't really "own" the car, you just pay to use it, and maintain it, but you don't own it.
I know the pharma industry has been trying to destroy his reputation regarding his vitamin C (l-ascorbic acid) L-lysine protocol as a way to prevent and revers heart disease. But so far it seem that everything Dr. Pauling proposed has been panning out. Frankly I'd blindly trust Dr. Pauling over basically anyone else, especial if the anyone else has a financial stake in their position, which is everyone, except Dr. Pauling.
It's too bad he was prevented from traveling due to his protesting the Vietnam War, because if he hadn't be prevented from traveling he would have stayed ahead of Watson and Crick and Dr. Pauling would have "discovered" the double-helix, and won his 3rd solo Nobel Prize.
I saw this nonsense start 20 years ago. Using "cool" jargon in the job descriptions and having automated keyword matching. HR was scored on how well the resumes matched the job description, HR needed to score above 75% so they set the matching bar at 80%, <BOOM> problem solved HR was scoring off the charts. It didn't matter that HR wasn't delivering any resumes to hiring managers, but that wasn't their fault, the wrong people were applying, according to HR.
Now finding a job is like playing a video game but every company has the same game, except the rules are different for each company, and they aren't published. I'm so glad I'm near the end of my career, and I'm senior enough that my jobs are all handled by recruiters, so I have an expert at playing the game working on my behalf.
It's completely water proof, but it's got a shit ton of ventilation, I can wear exactly what I need to stay warm and if it starts raining, sleeting, snowing, etc. on with the poncho, I stay dry and warm, all of me stays dry, and not just my upper body.
I've actually done trail running in my poncho, but it's a pain, frankly most people don't need all this "technology" to stay dry and warm. I use a cotton tee, a wool sweater and a cheap insulated jacket with pit zips, and a poncho. It works for anything down to about -20F, of course you still need to protect your legs for warmth, because the poncho protects them from the water.
My poncho is so old it could vote, I don't even know who made it, I do remember it was cheap, but not flimsy, it has some body so that it won't act like it's still packed. I may not meet today's standard for packable, but eh, what's an extra couple of ounces in the scheme of things.