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kuhewa

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kuhewa
·3 वर्ष पहले·discuss
No, it's a specific phenomenon about lack of raw cognitive competence, like for general tasks in life, not lack of experience in a given domain. The point of the DK effect was even with experience, the disparity between ones competence and awareness of ones relative competence doesn't improve. The original paper opens with an anecdote about a bank robber that couldn't believe he was caught because he "wore the juice" — he was under the impression that lemon juice would make his face invisible on camera.

What you might be thinking of is the smbc Mt. Stupid diagram [1] which does relate overinflated sense of know-how to a relatively low experience level.

That is distinct from the DK effect in important ways. Of course it doesn't help that if you google images for DK effect 19/20 first results will be a bastardisation of the Mt Stupid comic.

[1] https://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/2011-12-28
kuhewa
·3 वर्ष पहले·discuss
I don't know what the maximum would be in sentencing guidelines for her, but for SBF, afaik it is life. That would be an ugly sentence, but I imagine he's going to be away for significantly longer than Holmes.
kuhewa
·3 वर्ष पहले·discuss
> but handling billions without basic risk management is basically gambling with customer funds

He actively gambled with customer funds, not just basically did because of poor institutional controls.
kuhewa
·3 वर्ष पहले·discuss
Apparently he gave some better than expected testimony on direct
kuhewa
·3 वर्ष पहले·discuss
> Stuff like that makes me think I should intentionally play-up the autism instead of trying to act normal, to clearly demonstrate to the jury that I'm far more of a social-idiot than a cold sociopath.

No you just do what your lawyer says, and perhaps that will form part of the defence. But this was Sam's problem, being so confident he was smarter than the lawyers when in this domain he was half an idiot.
kuhewa
·3 वर्ष पहले·discuss
This is what comes to mind imo. Michael Lewis describes his ability to dance around questions as dazzling, but I have to wonder if his parents would have just called him out on his bullshit a little more often if he might not have gotten himself in as much trouble later.
kuhewa
·3 वर्ष पहले·discuss
Not really. The Dunning Kruger effect was that those in the bottom quartile of competency greatly overestimated their own competency. He wasn't incompetent. Just had good old fashion hubris.
kuhewa
·3 वर्ष पहले·discuss
He wouldn't want a bunch of proper engineering because that would prevent him from betting with billions of customers' deposits that were supposed to be safe.
kuhewa
·4 वर्ष पहले·discuss
The article says that one thing differentiating these kids from acutal Tourette symptoms is that instead of symptoms waxing and waning, they only deteriorate. So that definitely squares
kuhewa
·4 वर्ष पहले·discuss
> First, all patients presented with nearly identical movements and vocalizations that not only resemble Jan Zimmermann’s symptoms, but are in part exactly the same, such as shouting the German words Pommes (English: potatoes), Bombe (English: bomb), Heil Hitler, Du bist häßlich (English: you are ugly) and Fliegende Haie (English: flying sharks) as well as bizarre and complex behaviours such as throwing pens at school and dishes at home, and crushing eggs in the kitchen. > Fourth, in some patients, a rapid and complete remission occurred after exclusion of the diagnosis of Tourette syndrome.

To a first approximation, the kids are 'faking it'. The third point I didn't quote was that symptoms appear when it will preclude then from doing a tedious task, and then disappear when they are doing something they want to do.
kuhewa
·4 वर्ष पहले·discuss
In high latitude Australia I reckon this is seems to be the norm. A lot of prison colony age houses still and not great insulation so attempting to maintain a warm temp in the entire house would be expensive, plus it typically doesn't get that much below freezing even if that. If you don't have a wood burner stove it is common to have a couple panel heaters in strategic rooms, use hot water bottles in bed, etc.
kuhewa
·4 वर्ष पहले·discuss
I lived in an Australian house on the shady side of a narrow stream valley, temperate climate. If you didn't heat in winter, dew would form on the walls inside at night as temp fell and mold would grow everywhere
kuhewa
·4 वर्ष पहले·discuss
> Arguing that nuclear is more costly than other forms is just arguing about a few pennies in the dollar.

The trouble is that cost is mostly due to the need to service considerable upfront capital investment required to build a project, starting a decade before any power is produced. No one wants to be holding the bag for that when the market can still handle some smaller cheaper renewable or natural gas projects.