Ironically, it is unbelievably damaging for individuals to believe that one needs a lot of luck, as this belief feels good, destroys resilience, and prevents one from recognizing and going after the (initially) modest opportunities that do show up.
Sure, you won’t be like Elon Musk, but you could be better than 90% of the population, since most people don’t want to try hard. Much more “fun” to believe that life is unfair, and therefore no action is required on one’s part.
Overpromising? Underpromising, if anything. I cannot understand the point of view that denies the _overwhelming_ progress that has taken place in AI. And to deny GPT-3’s mega advance — we now have a system that can achieve state of the art or near state of the art requiring a negligible number of training cases (i.e., few shot learning) — seems wrong to me.
Sure, you won’t be like Elon Musk, but you could be better than 90% of the population, since most people don’t want to try hard. Much more “fun” to believe that life is unfair, and therefore no action is required on one’s part.