Whilst I think there’s some truth to this, America’s elite would have brought us to this point anyway. Trump is a symptom of unfettered neoliberalism exporting jobs and destroying communities rather than a cause. Bin Laden drew America into forever wars and solidified their enemies in some dimensions. But America’s great downfall has been the ruthless pursuit of self-interest by its elite. They smashed the social compact and destroyed its institutions in the pursuit of profit.
I think Bin Laden will get a chapter in the book on the fall of America, but Reagan will be on the front cover.
Yep, a lot of people saw this coming. It was so obvious - new powers are always abused in the end. Same for the UK.
Perhaps the politicians knew that and didn’t care. Not sure how deep their cynicism / malice goes. More power to us, they said.
I think we’ve already seen that export controls help your competitor in the long term. First europe would turn to Chinese models, then if china was daft enough to stop that (why would they? It would bring the end of American hegemony) then europe will just develop their own.
The difference between America and europe isn’t technical ability. It’s access to funding and ambition. Export controls would fix that. In fact, I think the trump administration is already driving a boom in London.
Yep, you’re correct. I got to that bit and thought that can’t be right. It’s obviously wrong. If you rotate a semantic vector, you change the semantics of it. You don’t want that.
I want someone to resolve the contradiction you have highlighted. Why don’t we now have an AI built web browser that is much better faster than chrome?
To that mind, why hasn’t chrome itself become 1000x better?
There is a disconnect between the narrative and reality.
Newspapers are adopting it too, so soon we may see slop dominate even high brow publications.
Feels like a huge shift in human intellectual capabilities. Honestly quite worrying, I don’t think it’s a Luddite position to say that removing writing is removing thinking.
It’s controversial to say, and I may be downvoted, but I’ll share this as a pov: OSS is essentially giving away our work for free. Did that ever really make sense? If it does, why don’t graphic designers give their work away for free? Why don’t authors do that? UX designers?
It’s a very peculiar thing to us nerds.
And the strangest thing is, we may have unwittingly built the data source required to make our skills redundant, as models are trained on the work we gave away for free.
Western debt is one of those problems you look at and say “this looks extremely alarming, why is no one panicking?” And then you assume that the elite know better and it must be manageable.
And then one day the consequences finally hit and you’re left reading the news “oh, so it turned out I was right and it was just common sense. Huh.”
US economy is screwed. UK economy is screwed. Neoliberalism killed it.
The reason everyone in politics is so elated by AI is the hope that a huge boost in productivity shrinks the debt as a portion of GDP. Talk about a wing and a prayer.
Yeah, I think it’ll go up for this reason. I will not be buying any shares, the company is insanely overvalued and hides terrible businesses. Elon is better the farm on AI in space, and if that doesn’t work things will not end well. Problem is, it reads as a post-hoc rationalisation not a long term plan.
I think more you’re just at the absolute margins of engineering to get to escape velocity. Those constraints haven’t changed, so until some major material or fuel advance happens things will continue to go wrong.
Probably the mistake is to keep relying on rockets and propellants. Need to think more revolutionary. But hard for a startup to do that, usually needs gov backing.
Claude Design. It produced something that looked good for a second, then you pay attention and realise it’s a disaster. Broke most UX rules out of the gate.
I think Bin Laden will get a chapter in the book on the fall of America, but Reagan will be on the front cover.