In early December of 2019 with absolutely no indication that a new virus was being spread, the Chinese figured out that they had a) a new virus and b) they were able to identify the virus.
In this case the Chinese knew, in early December, they had a problem when they only had a handful of cases. HOW????
COVID presents like the flu, so there isn't a novel symptom to help them identify that something new is in play.
There wasn't a significant rise in cases or deaths. There couldn't be a significant rise in deaths because there weren't that many cases. A small cluster of flu cases escalating into pneumonia, and then death won't raise a red flag because it happens all the time. I've had multiple Chief Medial Officers tell me this.
With COVID presenting like the flu, and with so few cases the ONLY way they could know that a new virus was spreading was if they had prior knowledge. The only way they could get prior knowledge was because someone working at the lab got sick, and then people they came in contact with got sick.
If this really happened organically then it should have been spreading pretty damn fast, and because it presents like the flu it wouldn't have raised any eyebrows until either the case rates spiked or the death rates spiked. In the U.S. flu cases per year range from a low of 9.3M to a high of 45M and deaths of 12,000 up to 61,000.
I suspect that China sees the same fluctuations in yearly flu cases so localized spikes wouldn't have raised any eyebrows it wouldn't have gotten anyone's attention until hospitals started to get overwhelmed. But in early December they didn't have that many cases.
Legalization is the answer, it moves the money from the illegal market to the legal market. Instead of funding crime, and illegal activities, the money in the legal market creates jobs, money in the legal market is taxed, and tracked.
Another political article about how it's not possible that the Chinese were studying the virus and some underpaid lab tech screwed and and exposed himself and then did what humans always do, the tech tried to cover up the mistake.
Nobody has still explained how the Chinese knew they had a problem in early December when they only had a handful of cases, like less than 100 cases. This is the question that needs to be answered. Until this question is answered satisfactorily the lab leak is the most reasonable explanation.
The normal ways you detect a new virus is because:
a) you have novel symptoms, COVID presents as the flu and early on tests didn't exist.
b) you have a statistically significant number of cases, early on the number of cases didn't exceed the seasonal variability of the flu.
c) you have a statically significant number of deaths, early on the number of death's didn't exceed the seasonal variability of the flu.
When the Chinese knew they had a problem, there was NOTHING that would indicate anything out of the ordinary was taking place, so then how did the Chinese know they had a problem?
If the virus really jumped species in the wet market, the Chinese wouldn't have known they had a problem until either the cases or the death totals started to exceed the normal variability of the flu. If that had happened we wouldn't have know about COVID until Late Jan or early Feb, and then it would have been really, really ugly. But that's not what happened, the Chinese knew about it in early December. The only way they could have known is if they had prior knowledge.
It isn't just sugar, it's all the simple carbs that get turned into sugar, such as breads, pasta, rice, cereals, potato chips, popcorn, milk, rice milk, etc once digested.
Whole grain bread and pasta's don't have enough fiber to really change their glycemic index, even whole grain bread has a worse glycemic index than Coke.
It's no wonder that they expect that 60% of all Americans will be obese by 2030. Insulin, it's a helluva of thing.
What I find extraordinary is that none of the developers who play the game never bothered to fix this problem.
If I was a developer at Rockstar and played this game I would have have spent my own time to fix this problem just so that I didn't need to sit around and wait every time I played the game.
Publicly available software suffers from the fact that millions and millions of people can poke and prod at the software in ways that the manufacture can't due to resource and time constraints driven by the need to generate revenue.
Microsoft runs their software through multiple code scanners looking for weakneses. Developers do unit testing, and then there is acceptance testing. Microsoft conducts internal penetration tests on their software. Microsoft hires 3rd parties to conduct penetration tests on their software. Large corporations conduct internal penetration tests on Exchange, and hire 3rd party companies to conduct penetration tests on Exchange, just to be sure. Governments conduct penetration tests on Exchange.
A lot of people have been poking at Exchange for years, and years, and years, and this bug was just discovered, and it's been present in the code base for at least 7 years, I'd say that's pretty damn good, it seems like a hardened product to me, not a slipshod product as you suggest.
You are so funny. First you complain that Microsoft has no incentive to deliver quality software, then you complain that they can't delivery quality software quickly.
I guess they would have been better off not bother to conduct all the testing necessary to ensure that they didn't fix one problem and create two more.
No, that's not reasonable. I know, they should just fund the research that will eventually be proven to be ground breaking. Seems pretty straight forward. Of course they are dependent on the research at Penn for the crystal ball.
I've been saying it was an accidental release since mid December of last year.
Everyone is focused on the genetics of the virus, but honestly that doesn't really tell us anything about how it was introduced into the human population. Frankly someone could have been legitimately studying the virus which was was circulating naturally in the bat community, with zero intention of trying to weaponize the virus, but anyone with access could have easily stolen some of the virus and deliberately infected themselves or someone else.
I read an article on December 13 or 14 of 2019 about a 20 cases of a "strange new flu" circulating in Wuhan. When the Chinese publicly admitted they had a problem at the end of December, they said they only had a handful of cases.
Finding 20 cases of a 'new flu' that has the same symptoms as the regular flu is impossible, there wasn't a test available for months, so the Chinese would have had no way to identify a 'new flu' at the time of infection.
There is only 3 ways for the health officials to know they have a 'new flu' circulating based on cases:
1) There are significantly more cases of the flu circulating than during a peak year.
2) There are significantly more flu deaths relative to the number of patients.
3) The cases have significantly different symptoms than the regular flu.
None of these situation was present for Wuhan during the early days of the virus. So that means the Chinese needed some other way to identify that they had a new flu circulating, and identify it with so few cases. Even when the COVID19 was peaking in China they still didn't have enough cases that would be significantly higher than the number of flu cases they would have during the same period.
A deliberate release or an accidental lab release is the only real way to know that a 'new flu' is circulating, when there are so few cases, and symptoms that are identical to the flu.
I believe the Chinese were studying the virus, and then due to an accident, or just sloppy lab work, even in China the lab techs are overworked and underpaid, someone got infected. Knowing human nature, the person who had the accident or was sloppy tried to cover up what happened, because they didn't want to lose their job. Unfortunately the person was infected, and maybe became ill, they also spread the infection into the community. At some point the person who originally got infected was forced to admit their mistake, either because they were sick, or because people they knew were getting sick, and trying to cover what happened became impossible.
Once the Chinese government learned of the accident/sloppy lab work it would be really easy to do contact tracing and identify a handful of cases, it would also be really easy to tell the world that that virus started in the wet market, because those markets have already been idenified as a potential risk for a pandemic level virus.
If you disagree with my opinion, that's fine but please explain how the Chinese could possibly know they had a new virus/flu circulating, with almost no data, cases, deaths, or novel symptoms. They knew because it was a accidental lab release, that's how they knew.
In this case the Chinese knew, in early December, they had a problem when they only had a handful of cases. HOW????
COVID presents like the flu, so there isn't a novel symptom to help them identify that something new is in play.
There wasn't a significant rise in cases or deaths. There couldn't be a significant rise in deaths because there weren't that many cases. A small cluster of flu cases escalating into pneumonia, and then death won't raise a red flag because it happens all the time. I've had multiple Chief Medial Officers tell me this.
With COVID presenting like the flu, and with so few cases the ONLY way they could know that a new virus was spreading was if they had prior knowledge. The only way they could get prior knowledge was because someone working at the lab got sick, and then people they came in contact with got sick.
If this really happened organically then it should have been spreading pretty damn fast, and because it presents like the flu it wouldn't have raised any eyebrows until either the case rates spiked or the death rates spiked. In the U.S. flu cases per year range from a low of 9.3M to a high of 45M and deaths of 12,000 up to 61,000.
I suspect that China sees the same fluctuations in yearly flu cases so localized spikes wouldn't have raised any eyebrows it wouldn't have gotten anyone's attention until hospitals started to get overwhelmed. But in early December they didn't have that many cases.
So how did they know?