From my understanding, Taleb criticizes the native use of synthetic quantitative models with strong assumptions like VaR because they give a wrong picture of the real risks. But I don’t think that his point is that risk management is worthless.
On the other hand, employers are also barred from colluding to keep wages artificially low, which arguably would be considered a “negotiation strategy” if one follows your interpretation.
I agree though that employers have naturally more negotiation power in the vast majority of cases.
All disciplines studying complex systems like societies down to something like the human body, simply do not have the luxury of absolute truths like in mathematics or even the ability to run experiments like in physics (often for ethical reasons, e.g., in medicine or economics).
But does that mean that it is not worth doing?
For these fundamental reasons economics is “hard”, but I argue that it is still worth doing because economic policies have a big impact on people’s lives, and partial understanding is better than nothing.
I’d just keep in mind that there are no guarantees that kids will share our passions, even with the best approach. Humans are complex systems - it is very hard (and you would need need a lot of data) to make any general statement about things like this.
I’m not doubting the facts you mention and the amount of the hypothetical subsidy might be on average in the low two digit dollar range.
The overall point is however that the App Store restriction was known at the time of purchase, so demanding to remove it without compensation is unfair.
(What would you say if your employer or client demands to pay a bit less after signing a contract with you?)
My last course in competition law was a while ago, but I remember this: while there are many differences in detail between the US and the EU approach, the broad strokes are the same.
Also in the EU, having a monopoly is not illegal (as long as it was obtained fairly) - abuse of monopoly power is.
Surely being a monopolist means you are subject to additional rules, no doubt about that.
But when you bought it, you knew of those restrictions, right?
A fully unrestricted phone might have cost more (because it is not cross subsidized by App Store profit), so it is unfair to demand full functionality at the subsidized price.
Whatever the true cost is, the argument is spurious: Apple is not forced to provide this service at cost (or with a “reasonable” markup), they can charge in any case what they want.
Telegram should rather make a convincing argument why Apple should be considered a monopolist, which is not clear to me given the overall <30% market share of Apple in the phone market.
Replying to myself to correct my comment: the pension benefits funding appears to be in general - and differently from what I stated - not much different to the private sector.
The change introduced by the 2006 PAEA impacts however the funding of health care benefits of retirees, which have to be funded at 100%. This is not required of private sector companies.
Additionally, to build up this future retiree health benefits fund, a very front loaded schedule of about $5.7B yearly between 2006 and 2016 was chosen. In fact, the USPS was not able to fulfill this schedule and defaulted on multiple payments.
> If you're talking about the requirement to pre-fund their pension fund, my understanding is that UPS and FedEx (and all private corporations) were already required to do so.
> The law requires the Postal Service, which receives no taxpayer subsidies, to prefund its retirees' health benefits up to the year 2056. This is a $5 billion per year cost; it is a requirement that no other entity, private or public, has to make.
That is a comforting thought, but the “tough / law and order / war on drugs” response has already been tried extensively under president Calderón, and the result was an explosion in violence and killings, without overall reducing the power of cartels.
What you are considering a disadvantage is seen as a strength by others (myself included): you pay only for what you use. No cross-subsidization to services you don’t need!
While the topic is interesting, I don’t think the analysis presented in the article series (at least in the first two articles) is particularly compelling.
For one, it relies much on hypotheses about internal though processes, which makes it basically unfalsifiable. Then the author is in my view shooting himself in the foot with the bowling analogy, namely by describing how he noted that he didn’t improve anymore and went to ask a colleague for advice.
How would the same not be possible or even likely for the “expert beginner”?
All of this is much more easily and briefly explained by motivation - for many people in technology, technology is simply not a passion! For them it is just a tool and like also the article mentions, there are few reasons in many companies to spend more time on perfecting your craft - in fact, it might be strictly worse than building career-enhancing relationships.
This is especially true as someone not in a technical position is often not able to assess the quality of the output.
Very similar story here; I barely write any Perl nowadays but am still very fond of it.
I especially like the sigils - they serve in a way as a primitive type system and actually convey useful information when reading code. I suspect people who complain about them are the same who dislike strong typing.
Interestingly, like you, nowadays I am very fond of Scala.
Great! Now everyone who already has an NFC U2F/WebAuthn key (e.g. YubiKey with NFC) can use it for the “advanced protection” program (which increases security on your Google account by enforcing 2FA, among other things).
Before this you needed to get a separate Bluetooth dongle that at least I have not found other uses for.
Security is about trade offs. Talking about absolutes makes barely sense in this context, because any perfectly secure system is also perfectly useless.
Despite the chosen solution on SO - and from how the question is stated, it is clear that the asker only wanted confirmation -, sudo has its uses, even if is not perfectly secure (especially with the default configuration).
I suggest a more sensible approach for all security-related discussions: All systems have vulnerabilities, but some improve your security posture.
IANAL, but the difference is that in this case, QI came into being as a (very narrow) reading of federal law (§1983), which congress can amend easily. The Loving case was decided on an interpretation of the constitution, which as you say, is much harder to amend.
Nowhere, because sensible people understand that (given anonymity of participants) active moderation is necessary so low effort slogans don’t drown out interesting conversation. And the latter is why I think many of us are here.