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binarybits

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Why The New York Times might win its copyright lawsuit against OpenAI

understandingai.org
2 points·by binarybits·2 tahun yang lalu·0 comments

I ordered robot takeout on two campuses with wildly different results

fullstackeconomics.com
3 points·by binarybits·4 tahun yang lalu·0 comments

Walmart and Google's Wing jumped ahead of Amazon in drone delivery

fullstackeconomics.com
2 points·by binarybits·4 tahun yang lalu·0 comments

comments

binarybits
·2 tahun yang lalu·discuss
Defining who "really" invented something is often tricky. For example I mentioned in the article that there is some dispute about who discovered backpropagation. A

According to Wikipedia, Nvidia released its first product, the RV1, in November 1995, the same month 3dfx released its first Voodoo Graphics 3D chip. Is there reason to think the 3dfx card was more of a "true" GPU than the RV1? If not, I'd say Nvidia has as good a claim to inventing the GPU as 3dfx does.
binarybits
·3 tahun yang lalu·discuss
Author here. What do you mean? The article this thread is about has hardly any opinion in it. Or consider this piece explaining how LLMs work: https://www.understandingai.org/p/large-language-models-expl...
binarybits
·3 tahun yang lalu·discuss
What isn't really true? The passage is about a hypothetical LLM so obviously the exact steps depicted here don't correspond to any particular LLM. But LLMs undoubtedly modify hidden states to reflect context gleaned from other words, right? I don't understand what point you're making.
binarybits
·3 tahun yang lalu·discuss
I actually don't have a job! I'm a self-employed writer who made low five figures last year.
binarybits
·3 tahun yang lalu·discuss
I discussed this in the final section: "The level of employment across the economy is ultimately driven by macroeconomic factors: If consumers spend more money, then businesses will respond by hiring more workers. The last three years have illustrated how powerful this can be: In the wake of the pandemic, Congress and the Fed worked a little too hard to boost the economy, producing a super-tight labor market and rising inflation. If AI starts replacing workers in the coming years, that will put downward pressure on wages and prices while growing the economic pie. That will give the Fed more leeway to cut interest rates and give Congress more room to raise spending or cut taxes. As long as Congress and the Fed are doing their jobs, there’s no reason for the total number of jobs, economy-wide, to decrease."
binarybits
·3 tahun yang lalu·discuss
My argument that it won't cause mass unemployment is that most jobs in the economy are not jobs AI can automate because (1) they involve physical work that current robots can't do (like plumbers or any of the building trades), or (2) they involve interaction with other human beings (child care workers, nurses, baristas, waiters, etc.). To the extent jobs are eliminated in AI-adjacent sectors, people will need to shift to these other jobs that AI can't do.
binarybits
·4 tahun yang lalu·discuss
Yes exactly.
binarybits
·4 tahun yang lalu·discuss
I'm old enough to remember them too! I'm not saying that system was better. I'm just saying it's weird that the new system is so much more expensive to run.
binarybits
·4 tahun yang lalu·discuss
And then people frequently complain about these varieties—for example, that the BLS produces a "core" version that excludes food and energy even though there's also a version with that stuff included.
binarybits
·4 tahun yang lalu·discuss
OP author here. I wrote a shadowstats debunker back in November:

https://fullstackeconomics.com/no-the-real-inflation-rate-is...

tldr: they don't actually reconstruct the old methodology. They add a fudge factor based on how much they think the new methodology increases the inflation rate. And that estimate is based on a basic math error.
binarybits
·4 tahun yang lalu·discuss
There wasn’t a 2010 long form. The 2010 census had about 10 questions: sex, race, age, ethnicity, as well as your relationship to the primary homeowner and whether the home was owned or rented. Nothing about money or jobs.

There used to be a long form in 2000 and before, but this was spun off around 2005 to become a separate annual sample-based survey called the American community survey.
binarybits
·4 tahun yang lalu·discuss
Right, that was my point: the nanny does more than just keep the kid safe.
binarybits
·4 tahun yang lalu·discuss
No, this was before she became a successful author. About half of it was an inheritance on her side. The other half came from his side.