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hcmacro

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Submissions

Bertrand Russell “On History”

users.drew.edu
1 points·by hcmacro·3 tahun yang lalu·0 comments

Who Is René Girard? and Why Does Silicon Valley Care?

berfrois.com
8 points·by hcmacro·3 tahun yang lalu·0 comments

Sports Under 150 Game

austinkrance.com
1 points·by hcmacro·3 tahun yang lalu·0 comments

Shock Treatment in the Emergency Room

prospect.org
1 points·by hcmacro·3 tahun yang lalu·0 comments

BMJ: Evaluating trendsin private equity ownership and impacts on health outcomes [pdf]

bmj.com
2 points·by hcmacro·3 tahun yang lalu·0 comments

Odds of a Hard Landing Are Increasing

researchaffiliates.com
1 points·by hcmacro·3 tahun yang lalu·0 comments

How Pundits’ Inflation Myth Crushed the Working Class

levernews.com
2 points·by hcmacro·3 tahun yang lalu·0 comments

Neoliberalism's Final Stronghold

project-syndicate.org
3 points·by hcmacro·3 tahun yang lalu·0 comments

Why One Firm's 3,612% Return Is Drawing the Ire of Hedge Funds

bloomberg.com
1 points·by hcmacro·3 tahun yang lalu·0 comments

Fear and Loathing Among the Union Busters

levernews.com
4 points·by hcmacro·3 tahun yang lalu·0 comments

A Swing and a Miss: UC's Poor Breit Investment

warcap.substack.com
1 points·by hcmacro·3 tahun yang lalu·0 comments

Secular Stagnation Is Not Over

piie.com
1 points·by hcmacro·3 tahun yang lalu·0 comments

Is Easy Money an Engine of Inequality?

ourtime.substack.com
2 points·by hcmacro·3 tahun yang lalu·0 comments

We’re Haunted by the Economy of the 1970s

newrepublic.com
8 points·by hcmacro·4 tahun yang lalu·3 comments

Byju's Failure to Publish Accounts Prompts Scrutiny of Edtech Giant

ft.com
2 points·by hcmacro·4 tahun yang lalu·0 comments

A Century of Business in the Supreme Court, 1920-2020

papers.ssrn.com
2 points·by hcmacro·4 tahun yang lalu·1 comments

SEC Launches Game Show-Themed Public Service Campaign

sec.gov
1 points·by hcmacro·4 tahun yang lalu·0 comments

comments

hcmacro
·2 tahun yang lalu·discuss
Nope, the Fed cares about PCE because that’s the inflation measure it targets over time. Consequently, core PCE and core PCE services ex-housing.

CPI and PPI matter for policy setting to the extent that their components feed into PCE. But Core CPI Services-XH and Core PCE Serviced-XH have little overlap in their components. The Fed is concerned about the latter falling because real rates, in the model that the Fed uses, get tighter the longer rates remain on hold. Just look at the last quarterly SEP—it forecasts PCE not CPI.
hcmacro
·2 tahun yang lalu·discuss
CPI ain't PCE my guy. Other than suggesting a firm January print, this print has not really changed forecasts for core PCE--the Fed's preferred target---to hit 2% yoy by May.
hcmacro
·2 tahun yang lalu·discuss
Rather than repeat the "markets remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent refrain," I will give you a less common reason for caution...

If you're right, you'll likely be tempted to short again.
hcmacro
·2 tahun yang lalu·discuss
quite possibly one of the dumbest things you can do, even if you end up being right at some point.
hcmacro
·2 tahun yang lalu·discuss
same same
hcmacro
·2 tahun yang lalu·discuss
You should look up Wynne Godley and Sectoral Balances.
hcmacro
·2 tahun yang lalu·discuss
I'd say Japan (China followed Singapore in development).
hcmacro
·3 tahun yang lalu·discuss
So Stripe going to get marked down again? Tough to IPO this far below your valuation high water mark, at least judging from its closest comp.
hcmacro
·3 tahun yang lalu·discuss
And not too many years later, Northern Europe went to war with the Sun King. Longevity regression is equally likely if that happens again.
hcmacro
·3 tahun yang lalu·discuss
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/05/31/magazine/ai-start-up-acce...
hcmacro
·3 tahun yang lalu·discuss
Read Prospects for Industrial Civilization by Bertrand Russell and you'll see that the reactionary turn by the "Old Left" was inevitable.
hcmacro
·3 tahun yang lalu·discuss
Perhaps the most terrifying headline I've read in a while.
hcmacro
·3 tahun yang lalu·discuss
Hopefully the laid off employees fared better than the retail bagholders.
hcmacro
·3 tahun yang lalu·discuss
The Last of Us
hcmacro
·4 tahun yang lalu·discuss
I get the sense that cultural malaise and managerial rent-seeking afflict many legacy firms (outside of tech). In some ways, such corporations feel like they're converging with peers in Japan---a gerontocratic society with limited social mobility (not a novel observation). If corporate America is indeed undergoing a process of "Japanification," such a phenomenon would likely result in outcomes at odds with received wisdom on career success. The type of worker "unruliness" documented here then should be unsurprising.

(As an aside, I find it interesting that Japan has had pretty low levels of unemployment over the past twenty years. One might even expect this in a paternalistic society that bolsters rent-seeking incumbents. Hence, individuals can feel "stuck" even as the media superficially assesses data to fit the narrative of a "hot economy.").

(Another observation, it's funny for the article to cite an executive comparing Americans to people in a country where menial workers are paid slave wages.)
hcmacro
·4 tahun yang lalu·discuss
Check out VNM, the country ETF, for a chuckle.
hcmacro
·4 tahun yang lalu·discuss
Headline is clickbait tbf
hcmacro
·4 tahun yang lalu·discuss
OTOH probably gonna be harder for startups and VCs to "pull one over" public investors and dumb management teams.
hcmacro
·4 tahun yang lalu·discuss
For a rebuttal to the critiques of excess found here, I recommend Mandeville's The Fable of the Bees (which Keynes references in the General Theory).

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Fable_of_the_Bees

I do think it's worth contextualizing such debates about vice and virtue in the politics of the time. Court-favorites like the Duke of Marlborough (whom Mandeville defends here) using war to enrich themselves. Naturally this irked wealthy gentry who loathed the associated taxes and had rival commercial interests.
hcmacro
·4 tahun yang lalu·discuss
TINA — There is no alternative.