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noplace1ikegone

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Show HN: Web client analyzing prediction market outcomes

o-u.ai
2 points·by noplace1ikegone·2 bulan yang lalu·2 comments

Show HN: Prediction market analysis app layering LLMs with data APIs

apps.apple.com
2 points·by noplace1ikegone·3 bulan yang lalu·5 comments

comments

noplace1ikegone
·2 bulan yang lalu·discuss
If you loaded the analysis pipeline on a bot and stuck to certain contracts it might be half decent at market making low volume contracts. The quant specialists reportedly ignore them. I have been working on an idea to buy a large basket of contracts since the advantage of having quick access to all the analyses is breadth, and if your model beats the market consistently you can participate low risk/low impact.
noplace1ikegone
·3 bulan yang lalu·discuss
Did the review turn out ok? I was fortunate and didn’t end up running into any review issues, but I had advance warning. I planned the in-app copy around avoiding gambling terminology or making specific purchase recommendations.
noplace1ikegone
·3 bulan yang lalu·discuss
Thanks man! I appreciate the positive feedback.
noplace1ikegone
·3 bulan yang lalu·discuss
Good read, thanks. We’re very poor at collective decision making. I don’t know if it’s structural, cultural, or both.
noplace1ikegone
·3 bulan yang lalu·discuss
The plot of Anaconda 2025, but Friendster.
noplace1ikegone
·3 bulan yang lalu·discuss
Worldcoin was really a headscratcher. I will admit I did not fully follow how this would create universal basic income. The biometric verification seemed equivalent to trying to prevent unemployment fraud before unemployment pay exists.
noplace1ikegone
·3 bulan yang lalu·discuss
It’s also without the at least superficially well meaning goal of universal basic income. I guess it makes sense this was where it was headed.
noplace1ikegone
·3 bulan yang lalu·discuss
You can’t have a great product without proper security.
noplace1ikegone
·3 bulan yang lalu·discuss
Google responded to your post so that’s good news. We all know the nature of APIs, but a secure transaction system is non-negotiable from Google and its peers for LLM API use. Right now LLM APIs are like unencrypted credit card numbers floating around.