2025 Predictions by an Accenture Managing Director(medium.com)
medium.com
2025 Predictions by an Accenture Managing Director
https://medium.com/@jhammant/my-2025-predictions-dcf079c01270
4 comments
Great feedback - appreciate it.
I think the constant job changing is going to be really interesting one - because 1) it's already happening 2) it makes the tasks more ideally suited for eventual replacement by machines. There's a lot of people out there in regular white-collar jobs who don't want to change - it will take a lot of work to make them change their mind on that (and some simply won't).
Unless we start to manage some of these future risks I think we're going to see a number of problems. Interestingly I think the easy answer (and the one we're already seeing) will be to blame the traditional ones (immigration, other people not like us). We're already starting to see this in multiple geographies.
I think the constant job changing is going to be really interesting one - because 1) it's already happening 2) it makes the tasks more ideally suited for eventual replacement by machines. There's a lot of people out there in regular white-collar jobs who don't want to change - it will take a lot of work to make them change their mind on that (and some simply won't).
Unless we start to manage some of these future risks I think we're going to see a number of problems. Interestingly I think the easy answer (and the one we're already seeing) will be to blame the traditional ones (immigration, other people not like us). We're already starting to see this in multiple geographies.
I'm a Managing Director in Accenture - currently running DevOps for UK & Ireland. I get a pretty unique view of projects/plans from people/companies.
I've documented roughly where I see things going over the next 5-10 years based on a number of things I'm seeing at the moment. Feel free to ask questions
I've documented roughly where I see things going over the next 5-10 years based on a number of things I'm seeing at the moment. Feel free to ask questions
At a high level they are:
1) The nature and shape of work will change dramatically
2) AI will start to make a real impact to the world in both positive and negative ways
3) Algorithmic choice will become an important thing
4) Traditional large organisations will die and the rise of the “Portfolio” company
5) Personalised health
6) 5G, LEO Satellites and the changing location of computing
7) Climate Change and why paper straws don’t matter
8) Governments, Globalisation, Nationalism, the shrinking middle, basic income and the rise of disruption
Change and Stability are at odds with each other. I wonder about the rate of change and the sustainability of societal norms...example often the first question people ask to assess value today is "Where do you work?"
If there's going to be a different answer every time due to rapid job changes, I wonder if much like how today's rampant spam phone calls have made telephones nearly useless, will be some other first question we will ask as a societal norm, something like "so what's your bitcoin address?"
Another great question in your article: "We’ll need to understand what we do with the large swaths of newly unemployed people who cannot find work (and their future chances of work are decreasing). How do we manage this as a society?"
I truly wonder about societal cohesive...for example...if I can have a driver-less car drive me to Montreal for work...across the US border seamlessly then what cohesion is there for paying taxes to fix roads the roads in my home city of Boston?
Last observation from your article, "It’s going to be interesting and we’re going to need 10,000s of new people to act as CEO’s for their own mini-businesses (either individually owned or within Portfolio organizations)."
10 thousand CEOs each earning say 30k a year on short term CEO assignments (metered out by algorithms) again is going to be interesting on the change versus stability front.