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I think strong general AI is coming soon(lesswrong.com)

7 points·by cowtools·4 anni fa·3 comments
lesswrong.com
I think strong general AI is coming soon

https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/K4urTDkBbtNuLivJx/why-i-think-strong-general-ai-is-coming-soon

3 comments

mark_l_watson·4 anni fa
I think it is very difficult to predict when breakthroughs will happen.

I have been an AI practitioner since GOFAI in the 1980s to using deep learning in the last eight years. I think we will continually be amazed by the power of language models like GPT-3 and text to image models like DALLE, but that isn’t AGI.
Planktonne·4 anni fa
This isn't meaningful or insightful; it's a mess of extrapolation [1] and rose-tinted assumptions from someone who really, really wants to believe. It's exactly the same mindset that sees Jesus in a piece of toast, just with a different aesthetic.

[1] https://xkcd.com/605/
cjg·4 anni fa
https://archive.ph/kjOTw