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mxschumacher

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Aliens

whitehouse.gov
10 points·by mxschumacher·mese scorso·3 comments

Orbital Compute

taurient.com
3 points·by mxschumacher·mese scorso·0 comments

Oil 101, Second Edition

oil101.morgandowney.com
3 points·by mxschumacher·2 mesi fa·0 comments

Is it a Bubble? (Howard Marks) [pdf]

oaktreecapital.com
5 points·by mxschumacher·7 mesi fa·1 comments

[untitled]

1 points·by mxschumacher·7 mesi fa·0 comments

Cloudflare Workers Platform

workers.cloudflare.com
3 points·by mxschumacher·9 mesi fa·2 comments

Zero Trust becomes the foundation of cyber security

militaryaerospace.com
8 points·by mxschumacher·9 mesi fa·1 comments

Trump Is Getting Closer to Having an 'Infinite Money Pit'

theatlantic.com
12 points·by mxschumacher·10 mesi fa·1 comments

Accounting for AI

cernocapital.com
1 points·by mxschumacher·10 mesi fa·0 comments

comments

mxschumacher
·14 giorni fa·discuss
there's still some lock-in here: data storage (iCloud), the broader Apple ecosystem, certain apps, user habits (I'm a lifelong Android user and am having trouble using other people's iPhones)
mxschumacher
·15 giorni fa·discuss
the difference here is that switching is trivial due to standardized APIs to the underlying LLM capability.

harness <-> gateway <-> inference provider

Easy to switch any of them and (mostly) possible to combine any with any

Replacing something like Excel is crazy-hard because of network effects, replacing an Enterprise CRM is akin to a removing a metastasizing cancer
mxschumacher
·15 giorni fa·discuss
it's astounding how much of human work are tasks like the one you have described here. Dancing around messy interfaces because nobody bothered to properly standardize and automate
mxschumacher
·25 giorni fa·discuss
please stop being so mean, they also create echo chambers to kill political discourse (i.e. the foundation of democracy) and show the most inflammatory material to their users to pit them into a shouting match against each other
mxschumacher
·30 giorni fa·discuss
not if it's a fantastic book
mxschumacher
·mese scorso·discuss
i have trouble understanding these situations, e.g. the AI itself would presumably make the suggestion to write a python script for such a task. It seems to me that there two huge problems right now * understanding which category of problems an LLM is an appropriate solution for (rather than throwing LLMs at any and all problems) * matching model capability (and therefore cost) to the problem at hand. You can easily overspend massively by using a model that's too powerful
mxschumacher
·mese scorso·discuss
not sure one would expect huge revenue increases from these internal tools, but maybe dramatic cost savings? Surely a lot of corporate processes could be automated?
mxschumacher
·mese scorso·discuss
here's an article on DeepSeek's strategy that I found instructive. Cheap & good inference in order to boost the hardware makers: https://x.com/bookwormengr/status/2057909493250539891
mxschumacher
·2 mesi fa·discuss
I'm still not entirely clear on the problem <-> capability matching. E.g. it seems like Kimi K2.6 with good context would already be able to solve a huge chunk of problems. What share of prompts require frontier models?
mxschumacher
·2 mesi fa·discuss
not just renewables, also massive nuclear capacity and huge modern coal plants. They can really crank up capacity if they want to. How long will it take to get a new nuclear power plant operational in the US?
mxschumacher
·5 mesi fa·discuss
if the unit economics are broken (strong competition from other proprietary model providers + open weight models; LLM token race to the bottom) it's not clear how high revenue growth translates to high profits. These companies are valued like monopolists, but the competitive dynamics make them more akin to tomato sauce makers. I understand that the technology is pretty amazing and can lead to significant productivity gains, but from a business perspective, the question is how much of that value Antrophic and others can capture over time.
mxschumacher
·6 mesi fa·discuss
that's a very impressive demo, I have never seen a robot move so smoothly before.
mxschumacher
·6 mesi fa·discuss
My copy of Breakneck arrived a few days ago and I'm rushing through the book, hard to put down, highly recommended
mxschumacher
·6 mesi fa·discuss
there are around 140 EV companies in china competing very aggressively, they have excess capacity and are flooding the world market with cheap EVs, tough for Tesla to have a healthy margin in that environment
mxschumacher
·6 mesi fa·discuss
and SpaceX has been a major buyer of Cybertrucks
mxschumacher
·6 mesi fa·discuss
and Tesla is valued at over 21x more than GM
mxschumacher
·6 mesi fa·discuss
there was a rush to buy electric cars in the US for as long as the $7500 incentive was in place, so the Q3 2025 number if inflated; it's a pull forward effect.

Sales have been flat for 3 years and the delivery numbers in Europe are catastrophic

on a fully diluted basis, the market cap is above $1.6tn, so at a PE of 20, they'd have to generate something like $80bn in profit per year - hard to do in an industry that is as brutally competitive and low margin as passenger cars.
mxschumacher
·7 mesi fa·discuss
what are some historical examples of bubbles that didn't pop?
mxschumacher
·7 mesi fa·discuss
Originally submitted here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=46212259
mxschumacher
·8 mesi fa·discuss
you are giving a new meaning to the term "PR stunt"