Southwest Airlines: a case study in brittleness(surfingcomplexity.blog)
surfingcomplexity.blog
Southwest Airlines: a case study in brittleness
https://surfingcomplexity.blog/2022/12/28/southwest-airlines-a-case-study-in-brittleness/
9 コメント
The problem is that IT investment is like buying insurance. You are paying now to avoid trouble later.
As an executive, I don't give one iota of damn about cost later past 36 months but I care a lot about cost in my budget now. Therefore, I will schedule any IT "upgrades" well past my 36 month point and leave it on somebody else's balance sheet.
Many people at Southwest knew this was coming. Southwest had various meltdowns before Covid that were flagging this. Covid gave them a reprieve. However, now that travel is ticking up, the problems came home to roost with a vengeance.
As an executive, I don't give one iota of damn about cost later past 36 months but I care a lot about cost in my budget now. Therefore, I will schedule any IT "upgrades" well past my 36 month point and leave it on somebody else's balance sheet.
Many people at Southwest knew this was coming. Southwest had various meltdowns before Covid that were flagging this. Covid gave them a reprieve. However, now that travel is ticking up, the problems came home to roost with a vengeance.
It's a good perspective for sure. I also understand that the non-hub p2p model exposes LUV in ways it doesn't for other airline carriers.
I gotta say tho - it is extremely tiring to keep seeing "shit happened because bean-counting C-level decided to over-prioritize profits over product and the company rots from within" motif.
Happened with Boeing, GE, and now Southwest I guess.
https://archive.is/5vXIZ https://www.reddit.com/r/SouthwestAirlines/comments/zxg6op/t...
I gotta say tho - it is extremely tiring to keep seeing "shit happened because bean-counting C-level decided to over-prioritize profits over product and the company rots from within" motif.
Happened with Boeing, GE, and now Southwest I guess.
https://archive.is/5vXIZ https://www.reddit.com/r/SouthwestAirlines/comments/zxg6op/t...
As long as Southwest continues to allow not just one, but two free checked bags per person, I can't entirely buy into the "bean-counters maximizing profits" theme. They could EASILY start charging per bag, or at least for the second bag. Or for Wanna Get Away fares. But they don't. Ever. For anyone.
I think what the other commenter meant by bean counting CEO, is that they don't prioritize resilience and quality in their operations. In Boeing's case, they deprioritized the engineering culture with intense timelines and punished people who would want to take the time to ensure quality. This led to meeting targets, higher profits and reduced costs, but increased risk.
In Southwest's case, it seems (from what I've read) that over the past two decades of CEO's, they didn't prioritize improving their backend software systems. Which seems similar to Boeing: improve profits, but increase risk.
In Southwest's case, it seems (from what I've read) that over the past two decades of CEO's, they didn't prioritize improving their backend software systems. Which seems similar to Boeing: improve profits, but increase risk.
Southwest executives understood that they were running on borrowed time with their crew scheduling software. At the very least an alternate or secondary process should have been in place.
The US air traffic control network is a good example. In case of a primary failure, there exist secondary procedures adopted from before air traffic control radar was common.
The US air traffic control network is a good example. In case of a primary failure, there exist secondary procedures adopted from before air traffic control radar was common.
Case study? Where? This "analysis" is closer to: it broke therefore it was brittle.
What we'll eventually find out this: based on some investment / return, the system did what it was designed to do based on some set of profit-deliverable assumptions.
Then there was a black swan.
What we'll eventually find out this: based on some investment / return, the system did what it was designed to do based on some set of profit-deliverable assumptions.
Then there was a black swan.
I don't think the blog article was really meant to be a topic for discussion -- it wasn't really a case study in brittleness per se: it was just some off the cuff opinions and musings that I don't think the author meant to be submitted as an HN article.
If we really want to analyze the Southwest failure from a complex systems perspective, Richard Cook's principles lend themselves to more substantive discussions.
https://how.complexsystems.fail/
If we really want to analyze the Southwest failure from a complex systems perspective, Richard Cook's principles lend themselves to more substantive discussions.
https://how.complexsystems.fail/
Of course LUV should spend some money and modernize their systems but a) there's probably not a single software developer who understands the full scope and difficulty of such a project (meaning you should dismiss any comment that sounds like "why don't they just...") and b) without hubs, what they are already executing every single normal day is likely a lot more complicated than what the majors ever attempt.
This isn't an excuse, or a waving off of LUV's serious issues. It's perspective, I guess.