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AnimalMuppet

28,653 カルマ登録 13 年前

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Ask HN: How long do running shoes last?

2 ポイント·投稿者 AnimalMuppet·3 日前·2 コメント

Ask HN: What Is the Big-O Order of a Jigsaw Puzzle?

1 ポイント·投稿者 AnimalMuppet·3 か月前·0 コメント

Judge's Remarks on Anthropic vs. Pentagon

businessinsider.com
32 ポイント·投稿者 AnimalMuppet·4 か月前·4 コメント

Ask HN: LLMs and Information Theory?

1 ポイント·投稿者 AnimalMuppet·5 か月前·0 コメント

Ask HN: Acceleration of a Drop Falling Through Mist?

3 ポイント·投稿者 AnimalMuppet·7 か月前·0 コメント

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1 ポイント·投稿者 AnimalMuppet·10 か月前·0 コメント

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1 ポイント·投稿者 AnimalMuppet·10 か月前·0 コメント

コメント

AnimalMuppet
·3 時間前·議論
> They were literally arguing that the fact that these claims were written in the Bible was evidence of their veracity.

If you're referring to my post, that is not what I argued. I argued that a claim of supernatural events could not be dismissed as "cannot have happened", but must be evaluated on the quality of the evidence for that event.

I did not apply that to events in the Bible, but that is how claims of supernatural events in the Bible must be evaluated. Sure, they're eyewitness claims. All history from that era is eyewitness or derived from it, or archaeology or derived from it. The point is to not say "can't have happened", but rather to actually evaluate how good the evidence is for any claim.
AnimalMuppet
·6 時間前·議論
No, it's not a skill issue. It's a taste issue. You have some.

More seriously, you triggered a thought with your point 4. In prose, "editor" is a different skill from "author". It's a different career track.

AI is, essentially, taking coders from "author" to "editor". We don't feel nearly as comfortable there. It isn't what we do, or at least what we've been doing for our whole careers.
AnimalMuppet
·7 時間前·議論
I think that this arises from one of two presuppositions: Either 1) the physical universe is all that exists, or 2) science is the only way to learn truth. (These two presuppositions are not strictly independent of each other.)

These are presuppositions. They are assumptions that you make at the start of the game, that you build your interpretation of the world on. They are not empirically proven in any way. (For #2, show me the scientific experiment that proved it.)

But people have built these presuppositions so deeply into their thinking that they don't even realize that they're making them. Within the silo of those presuppositions, of course miracles don't ever happen!

But, if that's you (not Brindinooo, but you the reader), try to step outside that for a moment, just as a thought experiment. For this experiment, let us hypothesize that God actually exists - not just the word or the idea, but that someone is actually there. And let us hypothesize that he can actually do things, things that change physical reality. (You could think of it as breakpointing a running program with a debugger, and changing the value of a variable, and then resuming. The value actually changes, with no antecedent that the program can see.) And let us hypothesize that God actually does this - he actually changes something.

(Digression: A typical way of thinking about the scientific method is four steps: Systematic observation, search for regularity among the observations, forming a hypothesis to explain the regularity, and testing the hypothesis.)

For our thought experiment, let us suppose that science observes God doing something at step 1 (systematic observation). Now, what is science going to do with it? It's going to throw it out at step 2 (search for a regularity), because there is no regularity - unless God does the same miracle repeatedly.

But if it makes it past that step, the next problem comes at step 3 (forming a hypothesis). Under current thinking, God will never be the hypothesis. But in our thought experiment, God is actually the cause!

And even if God were to be the hypothesis, the next problem comes at step 4 (testing). How could you test the hypothesis? "Uh, God, could you do that again, and please sign it this time"? I don't see how you could do the experiment, even in principle.

So there is no direct scientific evidence that God exists, because science is not a tool that is capable of investigating that question.

But if God exists, and if he actually does something, even if we don't see it with science, we might see it with history. Somebody might have observed it and recorded it.

And when you read such a thing, how do you react? Do you say "That's impossible?" You're right; it is. But what is your next statement? "Therefore it didn't happen"? If that's your response, it indicates that you're in the silo of the material-universe-is-all-that-exists presupposition, and can't or won't think outside of it. Instead, I think you're reaction should be "That's impossible, but did it happen?" Because the impossible happening is exactly the signature that we would expect if God exists and actually did something.

So the fundamental question is not whether these events have a supernatural element or not. The fundamental question is whether they happened.
AnimalMuppet
·7 時間前·議論
You send 200 fighters and 60 get killed. In the same situation, if you send 20, what do you expect would happen? (I mean, you won't lose 60...)
AnimalMuppet
·9 時間前·議論
Well, probably Greek-speaking rather than Latin-speaking, right? And with that, would there also be some cultural differences?
AnimalMuppet
·11 時間前·議論
And, in fact, corporations are why AIs produce what they do - because they were trained on the output of corporations.
AnimalMuppet
·12 時間前·議論
Yeah... in at least some circumstances, "maintainable" means, like, 20 years. 8 months is not an adequate test.
AnimalMuppet
·12 時間前·議論
I like to be able to look out the window, especially when we hit rough air. Seeing the fixed external reference helps me, for whatever reason.
AnimalMuppet
·12 時間前·議論
Serious question: Which seats are the ones that are in range? Just in front of the wing, or just behind it?
AnimalMuppet
·12 時間前·議論
I worked with this guy. He'd write the code, and comment where needed, and then he would ask "How can I make this comment unnecessary?" The answer was usually to rename something, so that what he was doing was obvious.
AnimalMuppet
·昨日·議論
Not with my money. No way.
AnimalMuppet
·昨日·議論
But is it? Is there any realistic world where we need ASI for human survival?
AnimalMuppet
·昨日·議論
Booleans? I think some guy named Boole might have prior art...

(Yeah, OK, he didn't have a programming language...)
AnimalMuppet
·昨日·議論
Wait a minute. If the claim is that we're going to destroy privacy to protect children, asking first for proof that it will actually help children doesn't seem like an unreasonable request.

I can admit that your concern is perfectly valid, even share your concern, and still oppose your solution if your solution won't actually work. In fact, I would argue that I have a greater concern for the problem, because I care enough to worry about actually solving it, instead of just doing some ineffective measure that looks good.

That's at the level of reality, though. At the level of how this gets spun in media and politics, it doesn't often work that way. Performative action too often rules the day. Recognize it for what it is, though - performative. Asking if the solution actually works is a valid real-world response, even if it doesn't play politically.
AnimalMuppet
·一昨日·議論
Side benefit: They get public humiliation for the problems in what they sent around. It could create some social pressure to not send out garbage.
AnimalMuppet
·一昨日·議論
> If AI didn't exist, he would've had to do the research to generate the content and it would be 99% correct and I could just give a few notes of feedback in 5 minutes. But with the asymmetric AI workload, he can generate it in 5 minutes and I get to spend 3 hours correcting.

Maybe, depending on the boss. Some would have spent five minutes describing what they wanted, and someone else would have spent three hours creating the deck.
AnimalMuppet
·一昨日·議論
If tokenmaxxing wins in your company, your company is going to lose. There's an external reality out there, outside your company, and your company has to produce things that actually work out there. Hallucinated AI slop does not help you do that. It leads you to unworkable plans, and if the plans produce, they produce unsellable products.

If you're an employee in that situation, push back if you can. If you can't, put your resume on the street. (But that may not work, these days. If it doesn't, all I can say is ride it out as best you can, and try to maintain both your job and your sanity. How? I don't know.)
AnimalMuppet
·一昨日·議論
Hmm. When you put it that way, it sounds like LLMs and social media trigger the same "I have to see what's going on now" pattern (and therefore can wind up at the same kind of addiction, with the same problems).
AnimalMuppet
·一昨日·議論
California has a tradition of being car-friendly. Probably not the first time someone did something like this, and they might have some idea of how to handle it by now.
AnimalMuppet
·一昨日·議論
In the absence of any legally-valid proof to the contrary in 60 court cases, then yes, I do buy that explanation.

Those who want to claim election fraud had every chance to prove it. They failed spectacularly.