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NunoSempere

146 カルマ登録 6 年前

投稿

Dangers of Recommender Systems – Ivan Vendrov

blog.sentinel-team.org
7 ポイント·投稿者 NunoSempere·10 か月前·5 コメント

Global Risks Weekly Roundup #22/2025

blog.sentinel-team.org
8 ポイント·投稿者 NunoSempere·昨年·6 コメント

コメント

NunoSempere
·一昨日·議論
Well that's certainly a vibe.
NunoSempere
·21 日前·議論
If you want all your bad news once a week, you might be interested in: https://blog.sentinel-team.org/, which my team writes.
NunoSempere
·2 か月前·議論
I have something somewhat similar at <https://blog.sentinel-team.org/>, tracking events that could kill over a million people.
NunoSempere
·2 か月前·議論
> such a high price

For the target audience this is about 5-10% of a month's income, and so is more like a reasonable optimization.

> to meet me

To improve the distribution of dates, which is more valuable than any single one.
NunoSempere
·3 か月前·議論
Perhaps look into Shapley values as well?
NunoSempere
·8 か月前·議論
I have a regular reminder to use this every now and then because it lifts my mood consistenly :)
NunoSempere
·8 か月前·議論
How do I get access to this?
NunoSempere
·10 か月前·議論
Thanks!
NunoSempere
·10 か月前·議論
I think it's a good argument to say that we don't know for sure. But people who are addicted to youtube today would probably have done something more meaningful in the 1990s, 2000s, 2010s...?
NunoSempere
·10 か月前·議論
We speak with Ivan Vendrov about recommender systems and their impact on human attention and society & how these algorithms shape billions of hours of human time daily.
NunoSempere
·昨年·議論
> not destroyed - the main fuselage is there, and the other wing is attached - but it's in need of a major rebuild

> months to years before they're operation again

Good point!
NunoSempere
·昨年·議論
I did briefly look into how much the estimated $7B was as a proportion of GDP: 7B/2T = 0.35% of GDP, which feels like a lot. For 41 planes it'd be $170M per plane, which seems reasonable when compared to US bombers, but unclear for Russian ones, but my guess is it's not too far off. This source (https://www.france24.com/en/europe/20250601-ukraine-says-it-...) says $2B for the planes alone, but then you also had the airbases &c, and maybe a submarine base <https://newsukraine.rbc.ua/news/major-explosion-hits-russian...>. I'd still expect it to be a bit exaggerated for propaganda effects, but it does seem reasonable all in all.
NunoSempere
·昨年·議論
This is a weekly brief looking at what the most important risks and precursors of global catastrophic risks are each week. To do this, we parse millions of news pieces a week and discuss the most urgent ones with elite forecasters to find out.
NunoSempere
·昨年·議論
That seems like the kind of problem that would be easily done through monte-carlo approximation? How hard is it to get 1M random rows in a postgres database?
NunoSempere
·昨年·議論
As a meta-answer, https://manifund.org was created by some cool people I know, and has some cool projects, e.g., https://manifund.org/projects/building-tooling-to-map-how-id..., https://manifund.org/projects/orexin-pilot-experiment-for-re...
NunoSempere
·昨年·議論
> Can a board member be reasonably responsible for the actions of tens of thousands of employees if they have not explicitly enabled or condoned criminal behaviour?

Not sure what the answer is, but if the answer is yes, then that incentivizes them to build the oversight and reporting capabilities to be able to steer away from crime, and to hire noncriminal subordinates &c.

One way this could look in practice is board members having to post a large bond that gets taken away if the commpany is found to commit crimes during their tenure.

Anecdotically, the Real Madrid requires a large bond (57M) posted by the president. http://news.bbc.co.uk/sport1/hi/football/europe/8076515.stm
NunoSempere
·昨年·議論
I've seen this before, thought it was super interesting, kudos to the author. Leaving this comment for contrast with some other negative comments.
NunoSempere
·昨年·議論
> Any event or series of events that removes mankind's ability to produce modern computers is a global extinction-level event and rather than dicking around with computers one should really be considering suicide to avoid a slow, painful, inevitable death in a hostile world surrounded by misery.

To give some color, here: https://blog.sentinel-team.org/p/how-likely-are-various-prec... is a list of a few things that could kill over 1M people in one year. Maybe your statement is not the case for solar storms in particular.
NunoSempere
·昨年·議論
Anecdote mostly checks out, https://stackoverflow.com/questions/42876061/c-single-quotes...