Companies like OpenAI and Anthropic are particularly sneaky about reporting numbers, but there's good reason to believe it is: https://www.wheresyoured.at/oai_docs/
You're right. I did a fair amount of hand-waving, and I'm leaning pretty heavily on Ed Zitron's investigative reporting to make the case instead: https://www.wheresyoured.at/oai_docs/
Sorry, I realize the headline perhaps implies something with more rigour than it actually delivers. I'm pretty new to writing blog posts! But if you want some actual factual data, you seriously should read Ed Zitron's blog: https://www.wheresyoured.at/
You're right about that. It's something I should have addressed in the original article, but I don't really have a solution for those who aren't self-employed. Maybe just use up a bunch of tokens on junk tasks while continuing to secretly write the code yourself? It's super wasteful, but do what you have to do to survive until the bubble pops.
I once worked at a company like that without meaning to. It seemed great at first; seemingly limitless private funding and no expectations meant we could basically dither about on whatever we wanted. But it drove me crazy eventually because I actually enjoy getting stuff done, but trying to accomplish anything there was impossible. I ended up quitting two months before the company shut down completely (coincidentally). Turns out the funding _wasn't_ without limit after all.
One time I actually came in on the Saturday after my last day to put the finishing touches on my final deliverable. I don't think you should follow my example to that extreme, but it's advisable to try to wrap up everything before you go to leave a good impression on your co-workers; they won't be too happy if you leave a mess for them to clean up. For me, personally, those contacts led to multiple later employment opportunities.
As a developer that has worked almost exclusively in startups for the past 16 years, I have not once had to create or even look at a Gantt chart. Most organizations I encounter follow the Agile principles (at least in a loose sense), which emphasizes getting things done over upfront planning. That's not to say that no planning is done, but it's more and more common to see Kanban-inspired processes where work is prioritized into a backlog and then pulled by a developer when they have capacity to work on it.
Like I said, my experience is mostly in startups. YMMV.
I've been using Fastmail for my side business for a year now and am happy with it. Pretty straightforward to set up with your own domain. Trivial to set up a number of aliases for a single inbox.
The sanctions don't directly threaten the lives of Russian citizens and soldiers (arguably they may indirectly threaten lives in some cases, though); whereas a no-fly zone that is actively enforced by NATO would almost certainly lead to war with Russia (you can't expect to shoot down Russian planes without military retaliation from them). IMHO, Putin doesn't want a war with NATO any more than NATO members want a war with Russia, so the distinction between perceived direct and indirect threats is important.