I was thinking through all of the different possible AI futures people have forecasted (technology plateaus, job loss, economy automation, AI alignment failure and AI causes causes civilizational harm, ....) and thought it would be interesting to have some kind of choose-your-own-adventure for exploring these possibilities.
I tried to cover the possibilities that show up most persistently in the AI dialogue online, resulting in 28 different outcomes, and ~50 questions (though not all show up in all runs).
Curious what kinds of paths people are thinking are most likely, or if there are different conceptions people have of where the tech could go. There are definitely limitations to the multiple-choice question aspect of the tool, but hopefully helpful for thinking through some of the possible directions the technology could take.
The challenge I've always felt, is shared services -- if I'm running infra myself, I can depend upon it, but if someone else is running it, I'm never really sure if I can, which makes external services really hard to rely on and invest into.
Maybe you can get further than expected with individual services? But shared services at some point seem really useful.
I think web2 solved that in an unfortunate way, where you know the corporations operating the services / networks are aligned in some ways but not in others.
But would be great to have shared services that do have better guarantees. Disclaimer, we're working on something in that direction, but really curious what others have seen or thinking in this area.
I tried to cover the possibilities that show up most persistently in the AI dialogue online, resulting in 28 different outcomes, and ~50 questions (though not all show up in all runs).
Curious what kinds of paths people are thinking are most likely, or if there are different conceptions people have of where the tech could go. There are definitely limitations to the multiple-choice question aspect of the tool, but hopefully helpful for thinking through some of the possible directions the technology could take.