HackerTrans
トップ新着トレンドコメント過去質問紹介求人

jonathannat

no profile record

投稿

Chinese tech billionaire Jack Ma has not been seen in public for two months

dailymail.co.uk
13 ポイント·投稿者 jonathannat·6 年前·1 コメント

コメント

jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
> They're even here downvoting you

Nah, if I had to guess, it's some of those patriotic Mainland Chinese living in beautiful democratic countries like US and Canada.
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
The discussion is a bit all over the place. The main points are that EU failed vaccination, and US failed covid testing (Statista disagrees https://www.statista.com/statistics/1104645/covid19-testing-...) , as well as having a decline of innovation and movement (disagrees here, people moved everywhere during covid, and US came up with tons of effective vaccines)

It's pretty hilarious both ignored discussing the current failing government: China.

- Came up with a 50% effective vaccine sinovac, and forces its citizens to take it

- Wolf warrior politics has infuriated almost every democratic countries on Earth, and alienated China. When Merkel steps down in Sept, the Green party candidate is most likely to succeed. And the newcomer will act tough against China and Russia

- Ballooning debt (they don't own global currency, unlike US), declining marriage/birth rate, middle income trap, unrest in many provinces

- The CCP is so insecure that they banned broadcast of oscars because of Chloe Zhao, because she mentioned CCP as failing one time in 2013
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
Actually no, this marks the beginning the decline of power for Alibaba and the rest of the Chinese megatech companies like tencent and baidu.

The chinese government goal for the next 5-10 years is stability, control and state companies, not innovation nor private sector growth. They fear the end of CCP. That's why the recently 5 year plan stresses stability, and doesn't set a growth goal

That's why they cracked down on Hong Kong and basically gave up a conduit of western capital/talents as well as letting Hong Kong citizen's wealth escape abroad.

That's why they are becoming alarmingly nationalistic and lashes out on US/EU politicians and encourages its citizens to boycott foreign brands like H&M.

That's why they are building artificial islands in the south asia sea despite Vietnam/Phillipine's angry protests, to shore up their maritime power.
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
first link is "The World in 2050 report was published in February 2017"

second link is only regarding goods. goods + services, US is EU top trade partner

third link: there are now Japan/Australian/US/UK/France/German warships patrolling in the indo-pacific region.

fourth link: costly to maintain, uncertainty post covid
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
This seems like a very US-centric response. As I wrote

> China sanctioned US/Canadian/UK/EU individuals and entities

> erased H&M (swedish company) in all major Chinese platforms
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
From your posting history, it seems you're ethnically mainland Chinese. I'm sorry to hurt the fragile feelings.
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
> Europe's num 1 trading partner

if you only count goods. if you count goods + services, US is still the biggest trading partner
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/yes-china-lying-about...

Yes China Is Lying About the Size of Their Economy

https://fortune.com/2021/03/11/stimulus-package-covid-relief...

The $1.9 trillion stimulus package could see the U.S. economy outpace China’s for the first time in 45 years

https://seekingalpha.com/article/4414648-chinas-shifting-dem...

China's Shifting Demographics Suggest Slower Economic growth

https://foreignpolicy.com/2021/03/05/china-economic-growth-p...

China Signals Economic Caution at People’s Congress
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
https://www.scmp.com/economy/china-economy/article/3015206/c...

China’s economic census uncovers more fake data as officials promise ‘zero tolerance’ to data manipulation

https://www.heritage.org/international-economies/commentary/...

The Problem of False Chinese Economic Data

https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/yes-china-lying-about...

Yes China Is Lying About the Size of Their Economy
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
> Hasn’t China’s economy been growing steadily for decades?

Fake GDP #s, especially since 2010. CCP does NOT have a growth goal in the recent five year plan, meaning they can't fake increasing defaults and can't increase construction spendings anymore due to ballooning debt.

> Hasn’t China formed new trading partnerships with many countries in Europe?

First time in 30 years EU has sanctioned China. The CAI deal (Europe-China trade deal) is now being put on hold since various members of EU being sanctioned. Potentially a dead trade deal going forward.

> China is not a dictatorship.

It is. Please read up on Xi Jing Ping's personality, his success on removing most of his enemies and secure his power, and changing the law for unlimited terms
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
With regards to Xinjiang sanctions, China has also

- sanctioned US/Canadian/UK/EU individuals and entities

- erased H&M in all major Chinese platforms https://wwd.com/business-news/retail/hm-face-new-boycott-chi...

While that's happening, China has also

- signed a 25-year cooperation agreement with Iran

- censored 'stock market' term from social media searches after stocks posted longest losing streak https://markets.businessinsider.com/news/stocks/china-banned...

- attacked US in the high-level Alaska talks, saying "black Americans are being slaughtered" while adding 'We will always stand up for our principles for our people' https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-56452471

- parked hundreds of ships near a reef in order to possibly build more artificial islands https://www.npr.org/2021/03/26/981668318/chinese-ship-deploy...

My take: a dictatorship running scared on a declining economy, with enemies surrouding it and around the world, needs to bark loud and ramp up its military. it will either fade away into isolation, or it will do something stupid like attack Taiwan, whose missile capabilities can hit Beijing and three gorges and basically collapse China, and get sanctioned by countries worldwide, and fade away into oblivion
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
Not if most of us keep claiming laziness and buy stuff that clearly say "made in China", when there are alternatives readily available either online or next to it in the aisle.
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
Difference:

US riot - citizens who enjoy democratic freedom protested against republic/democratic government. protest got violent, government handled it.

Hong Kong riot - citizens who enjoy(ed) democratic freedom protested against encroaching dictatorship. protest was peaceful, but then turned violent when police faking as protestors started violence. protest got violent, government handled it (openly and in secret). The dictatorship increased its power at the end.
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/aug/18/hong-kong-huge...

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-48656471

At many different times in 2019, 1.7M-2M Hong Kong citizens, or 25% of the population, proudly protested in the streets and requested for their freedom. If only something good had came out of it.

Now it's sunk to what China's best at:

false arrests: https://www.reddit.com/r/HongKong/comments/mc5bah/young_man_...,

arrest for accessing online information https://restofworld.org/2021/hong-kong-journalist-on-trial-f...

brainwashing https://hongkongfp.com/2021/03/23/hong-kong-will-distribute-...

removal of religious freedom https://hk.appledaily.com/news/20210322/ZUYEZROAIFB4NK2274RB...

fake democratic system https://hongkongfp.com/2021/03/16/why-and-how-i-ended-my-par...

Imagine if you were a proud free parisian, and all of a sudden, you now live under nazi regime with concentration camps. That's probably what it feels like.
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
I find it odd that I've had to click through a few times on both hacker news and reddit to get the info for the person in question.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aimee_Challenor

> Aimee Challenor, who currently works at reddit, is, at best, sympathetic to pedophilia. She has hired her father after he raped and tortured a 10 year old girl, a fact I find it hard to believe that she wasn't aware of, due to her living with him at the time of the crime, which happened in their house over several days. Her boyfriend also posted clearly pedophilic tweets, and he is now her husband.

https://www.reddit.com/r/ModSupport/comments/mbqgx2/a_clarif...
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
[flagged]
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
Incomplete list of companies moving out of China.

Adidas & Lacoste: https://www.glossy.co/fashion/lacoste-and-adidas-pledge-to-c...

Nike: https://www.gq.com/story/nike-adidas-shifting-production-asi...

Hasbro: https://www.cnbc.com/2019/07/23/hasbro-to-cut-china-producti...

Samsung: https://www.reuters.com/article/us-samsung-elec-china/samsun...

GoPro: https://www.cnbc.com/2018/12/10/gopro-is-moving-camera-produ...

LG Electronics: http://www.businesskorea.co.kr/news/articleView.html?idxno=5...

Sharp: https://9to5mac.com/2019/08/02/out-of-china/

Hyundai: https://tfipost.com/2020/04/big-hyundai-steel-and-several-ot...

Nintendo: https://www.usatoday.com/story/tech/gaming/2019/07/09/ninten...
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
US has started to, with sanctions on xinjiang related companies, with sanctions on chinese officials over hong kong.

It's just a matter of time before more sanctions arrive. Because dictatorships are short-sighted and incapable of change. So let's say China tries to prod Taiwan with some military approach and fails. Or escalation of border war with India or Vietnam or Japan. Or increasing purchases or Iranian goods.

When there's a mini-war started by China in Asia, you will see a full worldwide sanction on China.
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
> The western world can't.

I'm not sure if you've been paying attention, but supply chains have been moving to Vietnam/Malaysia/Indonesia/India/Mexico for the last few years, and the trend is only increasing.

There's literally a growing military alliance (US, India, Australia, Japan) against China right now. Also not to mention other countries (Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, US) actively incentivizing their companies to onshore or move out of China. And because South China Sea is crucial to the growth of SE Asian economies, now France/UK/Germany along with Japan/US have warships sailing there to stop China's expansion.

So yes, the western world can.
jonathannat
·5 年前·議論
For those who wants to stop supporting China, don't lose hope. Supply chains are migrating, due to tariffs, sanctions, and hatred towards CCP. Don't let naysayers who may have a vested interest in China talk you down. Just keep checking where the product you are buying is coming from.

- check https://chinalawblog.com and you will see that companies are indeed moving out of China at a quick pace. In fact, the site advocates that you do not think of China as the default manufacturing...

- most citizens in other countries hates China now. https://www.pewresearch.org/global/2020/10/06/unfavorable-vi.... this dictates shifting consumer behavior (more and more people will choose items made not in China). US citizens has a 20% favorable view of China. https://thehill.com/homenews/news/543354-view-of-china-as-gr...

- No one wants to go to China right now. If you want to go, you are subjected to an anal swab covid test, mandatory spyware on your phone, plus visa incentive that requires you to use their state covid vaccine (50% efficacy!). Not to mention foreigner kidnappings and disbar from leaving the country. No company in their right mind would send their staff to China to increase footprint there

- from footwear https://footwearnews.com/2021/business/trade/us-footwear-imp..., to furniture https://www.furnituretoday.com/opinion/sourcing-strategies/b... to electronics https://www.wsj.com/articles/samsungs-shift-away-from-china-..., there's a steady pace of companies (big and small) moving out of china