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pas

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pas
·15 日前·議論
9/11 was just a bloody blip compared to the decades of spiraling indoctrination with varying focal points.

the same way that now "progressive leftists" are completely working themselves into an anticapitalist frenzy, and before them the (performative) woke and the reactive antiwoke mania spread like wildfire, before that it was the homophobia and islamophobia (triggered by 9/11), and before that the red scare, and the reefer madness, and whatnot.

https://www.npr.org/2004/12/15/4229442/from-direct-mail-to-a...

https://thebaffler.com/salvos/the-long-con (2012 by Rick Perlstein)

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Anti-intellectualism_in_the_Un... (Richard Hofstadter, 1964)

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/j.1475-682x.... (Three Kinds of Anti-Intellectualism: Rethinking Hofstadter, 1991 by Daniel Rigney)

https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.1080/00131857.2018.1... (Anti-intellectualism is a virus, 2018 by Michael A. Peters)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=teqkK0RLNkI (Conspiracy, 2025 by ContraPoints)
pas
·17 日前·議論
people flag things that are obvious and boring, or that are very incendiary, technically dense, and not easily argued (and thus it's not the place and time to discuss it) topics. eg. migration politics and economics (and crime and so on)

and some of those comments are just incorrect (like the last one about Loomer. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Association_of_German_National... )
pas
·17 日前·議論
incompetence is everpresent in large hierarchical power structures.

just as the UK the US is also full of career politicians sitting in very powerful (sub)committees
pas
·20 日前·議論
we don't know.

https://lorienpsych.com/2021/11/02/ketamine/#11_How_does_ket...

the opiate receptor interaction might be important, but it seems that the antidepressant effect persists even if the opiate pathway is blocked (via naltrexone)

https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC6439824/ (though it's an open-label super small study ... n=4)
pas
·25 日前·議論
they can try it

simply this stuff was not even at that stage. it's a lab report. there's no company making it. though there's a version of this copper complex that targets ALS, and that is already available
pas
·25 日前·議論
Tens of thousands of dollars? So ... nothing compared to real estate prices?

Not to mention how nothing it is compared to the cost of certain child care activities that one might have to pay for if one has a child with any health, neurological, developmental issues.

People are rightfully risk averse nowadays. Fuck the species if it just wants to bully its young into breeding.
pas
·26 日前·議論
(for anyone else wondering, it's a book, 1Q84 by Haruki Murakami, from 2009-2010)
pas
·27 日前·議論
what's the flex? what's the message? how does it relate to the IPO?
pas
·28 日前·議論
headcount doesn't have to be granular, it has to be accurate. this is about the very useful street- and block-level data.

also, if how would anyone know how accurate the "transparent" number is? if Trump or Thiel can fuck with the fuzzing they can just as do so with the base data.
pas
·先月·議論
it sounds like USCIS should do auctions too. is that not an option, or just nobody bothered with it so far?
pas
·先月·議論
people are doing this for ME/CFS patients, and trying stuff, and ... it's not easy at all. But the signs at least are pointing toward something coherent.

Yes, it's many variants from a disease, but still, like cancer we can tackle them one by one.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ldg2AdVnlOs

https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-026-46965-1

If it would be easy already data from 2016 would have "solved" it, right?

https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.1607571113
pas
·先月·議論
you mean that if average Retail Ronnie directly buys the new hot stock at IPO versus getting exposure to it through whatever ETF they have?

yes, directly buying a stock at IPO sounds really strange for me. (because either you know it's undervalued, but then it's insider trading. if not, then why compete with irrational fanatics?)
pas
·先月·議論
sure, but does that risk have good returns to go along? if IPOs are known to be very bad bets why do institutions (supposedly savvy professional investors) participate?
pas
·先月·議論
but also, getting IPOs included captures the upside.

of course, public markets nowadays are definitely paying a pretty serious "agent-principal premium". (since public exits are usually very good for the C-suite and for all those vested stocks.)

but that's the cost of access to equity (compared to PE - which nowadays underperforms public markets https://www.hamiltonlane.com/2026-market-overview/performanc... )

so yeah, it seems it would make sense to buy the post-IPO dip, but then you would need to have some kind of formula for that, and ... that seems ripe for gaming by speculators ... so all in all, it's just more efficient to do what the rule of the index says. (and of course there's already speculation at the discontinuity.)
pas
·先月·議論
(at least in Budapest, many moons ago) highly technical programs had some really infamous classes. but people had a lot of chances to pass the exams. each semester about 3. and it was possible to take the class 3 times (the 3rd required a permission, but it was formality, it was granted almost to everyone)

so in the end if someone was unprepared, they had at least a year to get their shit together. (but the exams rarely required real maths mastery, mostly rote memorization of proofs and a few typical problem types with really mechanical solutions.)

it's so strange to read about a professor getting suspended for being too strict.
pas
·先月·議論
... still, "on average" IPOs tend to make money, no? that's why people (fight to be able) to buy them.

this gives a nice comfy exit to many late-stage investors, etc.

and, of course, it's hard to say that it's great that these companies are mere shadows of themselves post-IPO, but also it's impossible to non-misleadingly assess each IPO as if they were in a vacuum.

obviously Coinbase is/was a stupid venture, but at the same time it was a pretty good bet at the time. and the same stands for a lot of these.
pas
·先月·議論
https://github.com/JuliusBrussee/caveman
pas
·先月·議論
We should expect to see the process slowing down first. Until then we should expect it to continue with pretty high likelihood.

https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_ZW2!,f_auto,q_auto:...
pas
·先月·議論
Based on how much money is chasing returns, and how steep the slope is, it's almost certain that we are still not at the end of this sigmoid cycle.

Sure, it might start to slow down, but even then we will likely see a doubling in the next 10-15 years.

https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!_ZW2!,f_auto,q_auto:...
pas
·先月·議論
Does Stripe have any published stats on the ratios? Did any merchant ever won such a Stripe dispute?