트럼프가 아닌 이란이 이 전쟁의 주도권을 쥐고 있다(theatlantic.com)
theatlantic.com
Iran, Not Trump, Is in Control of This War
https://www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/07/iran-controls-war-trump/687848/
13 comments
https://archive.is/q6SQa
Do people not understand that the US can level Iran tomorrow? Really?
Congratulations, you are one of the people who do not understand.
> Do people not understand that the US can level Iran tomorrow? Really?
Short of using nuclear weapons, no, the US cannot "level Iran tomorrow". And the threat of nuclear weapons has become much weaker over the decades, it would be political, and potentially national, suicide to use them at this point.
Short of using nuclear weapons, no, the US cannot "level Iran tomorrow". And the threat of nuclear weapons has become much weaker over the decades, it would be political, and potentially national, suicide to use them at this point.
Do you not understand Iran would destroy ARAMCO, not to mention Israeli desalination and nuke sites? They've been pretty measured in their escalation strategy, they haven't gone to their "nuclear" option yet.
Also, sure the US can kill lots of civilians in Tehran with a nuke. But then what does China think? What about Russia? It starts a huge shit show that will not end well for anyone on this planet.
Also, sure the US can kill lots of civilians in Tehran with a nuke. But then what does China think? What about Russia? It starts a huge shit show that will not end well for anyone on this planet.
How is the school nowadays, is math tough?
I suppose if getting bombed by the US, no deal, and more oil exports from the US in history, means 'in control of the war'
Bombing them won’t open the strait of Hormuz which is what trump needs. It’s a classic asymmetrical warfare situation. It takes minimal command infrastructure to keep it closed. (Iran has already been decapitated)
He very much wants to open it and they can demand anything they want.
Exports from the US is not a win. It’s like looting our piggybank to subsidize the deficit.
They can certainly endure it until November. Can Trump?
Prior to the temporary blockade cessation, oil execs were saying we could hit tank/operational bottoms in mid/late July. The reprieve has probably pushed that out a few weeks, but oil supply will vanish before November.
And Trump would badly lose the mid-term elections.