HackerTrans
TopNewTrendsCommentsPastAskShowJobs

addisonl

no profile record

comments

addisonl
·3개월 전·discuss
> Question: A fair die rolling a 6 twice in a row is more likely than rolling 1-2-3-4-5-6 in sequence

Two 6s in a row is 1/36 chance (1/6)^2

1-2-3-4-5-6 is a 1/46656 chance (1/6)^6

Website is claiming they are the same probability:

> Same probability: 1/46,656 — Both outcomes have exactly the same probability: (1/6)^6 = 1/46,656. This illustrates the representativeness heuristic — random-looking sequences feel more probable than ordered ones.

Website's "answer" is wrong: was the question supposed to be rolling a 6 six times in a row?
addisonl
·6개월 전·discuss
Its actually not "pretty clear"—about 25-30% of people are hyper responders who are impacted by dietary cholesterol.
addisonl
·3년 전·discuss
> HN discussion did not particlarly have "reasonable skepticism".

That’s definitely not true despite your attempts to gaslight us.