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namelessoracle

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namelessoracle
·3년 전·discuss
this is how document review works now basically. It used to be lots of lawyers got hired to go through the documents, now AI does it, and flags things for actual lawyer to review (along with suggestions), so what was the work of a couple of dozen lawyers is like maybe 2.

this is one of the huge issues for the unemployed lawyer problem, as those jobs were the entry level for straight of school lawyers. I expect similar problems with dev roles coming soon.
namelessoracle
·3년 전·discuss
> In about half the US

So there isn't one.
namelessoracle
·3년 전·discuss
This already happens to an extent though?

Replace LLM with "clerk" and "generated case notes" with "copy pasted from my standard legally approved phrasing" playbook. Government workers who fill out standard reports already have standard forms pre filled with the results they know they are landing out, with certain sections that differ ready to be edited while the rest stays the same, look at things like warrants as an example. When I worked a government job i was literally handed templates by my supervisor of "pre approved ways to phrase things", that they percieved would help avoid lawsuits or any contest.
namelessoracle
·3년 전·discuss
Try setting up a business for something relatively minor like helping people contest a traffic ticket (no representing them in court) and see what happens. You dont need a full legal education to do basic contestation of traffic tickets, but the legal system requires it.

There is a plethora of things that are minor, don't require going to court, and can be handled via bog standard forms and documents that are just "replace the names" and that lawyers have their paralegals do for them in their entirety. But the paralegal cant go into business on their own can they?

What is the equivalent of the nurse who can get you antibiotics in the US legal system?
namelessoracle
·3년 전·discuss
For all the consternation about Copilot and AI coding tools, its looking like legal work is as much if not more setup for disruption.

Document review is already being done by AI, lawyers are using AI to beef up closing arguments and review arguments, AI researchers to go through the relevant cases for citations have been worked on for awhile.

Lawyers being lawyers have immediately reached to "make it illegal" and setting up protections for their trade like they always done. Roberts is commenting that they are going to be disappointed if they think they can get legal protections that X or Y must always be done by a human.
namelessoracle
·3년 전·discuss
A lot of them can't step down. They have debts that to repay that require them to stay in that position (both financial debts, and political ones), or family members who can only continue doing what they are doing if they stay in that position. Say a small family business that consistently gets works, but only to curry favor with the Senator. They quit, their grandchildren's business takes a dive, so the family begs them to stay on.

In Feinstein's case, its pretty clear she was forced to stay on by her party while they made arrangements for her successor, there is a lot of people and factions in California who want her seat in the Democratic party.

Also the competency crisis is real, alot of them dont have successors. Often by their own actions in an attempt to consolidate power, but they've left the field barren now thats its time for them to leave.
namelessoracle
·4년 전·discuss
And then the commander goes all in on that strategy, enemies knock out communication networks / find a drone counter measure, and now enemies have a decided advantages because they kept bayonets on their machine guns.
namelessoracle
·4년 전·discuss
You should if the general came up during the flintlock era and now everybody is using machine guns. Plenty of people in World War 1 would have benefited anyways.

I could throw a bunch of examples further. For instance how the changes made to rifles because of what Generals thought their engagement ranges would be hampered the western forces who had to fight in Afghanistan.

You should also be skeptical of a General who suggests we go all in on Drone Warfare and not worry about rifles at all.

TLDR, person in a strategic role is rarely the best to assess tactical tools, and will often attribute strategic failures on their tactical tools.