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steveBK123

14,705 karmajoined 6년 전

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steveBK123
·5일 전·discuss
Right, these are actual physical real world problems that aren't going away just because it would be easier for agentic workflows.

Another example - agentic food ordering. How much more convenient would this make your life vs how much of an error rate would you tolerate if the cost/repercussions are on you?

Would a customer be happy if 2% of the time it sends 20 pizzas to a random address in their contacts list instead of 2 pizzas to their own home? Or 5% of the time it completely ignores your dietary restrictions/allergies and orders an entire meal of food you explicitly told it you cannot eat?

Real world problems don't go away just because it would make the tech neater & tidier.
steveBK123
·5일 전·discuss
To reply to myself here..

I can STILL replicate this behavior in Google AI summaries 10% of the time:

"is <SOMEPLANT> ok for cats"

to which it replies: "Yes, <SOMEPLANT LONG SCIENTIFIC NAME VERBOSE PHRASING> is toxic for cats"

The other one going around this weekend: "how long hot dogs on grill"

Summary: "The hot dogs on your grill are likely around 5-6 inches long .. "

So scale this category of error to unsupervised agents with access to your credit card.
steveBK123
·5일 전·discuss
This to me is the big leap from being good at coding to being good at many other tasks.

Coding could be treated as a low stakes (time & money consequences for retries) closed loop system where most other tasks cannot.

If it screws up booking your flight/hotel room, how does the agent verify this, and even if it verifies.. there is an actual cost to changes/cancellations.

Similar with agentic e-commerce, lots of ability to screw that up and just seems ripe for fraud / being picked off by bad actors.
steveBK123
·6일 전·discuss
Yes we are living in a kleptocracy / kakistocracy hybrid
steveBK123
·9일 전·discuss
Correct - they sub it out to a sub who subs it out to a sub who...

Therefore the responsibility is always 5 steps removed
steveBK123
·9일 전·discuss
It'll be about a week before the first reported incident of some operator sending it into bathroom/bedroom while occupied to watch.
steveBK123
·9일 전·discuss
Rights management in a physical media world = I have the media in my hand (caveats for some DRM systems)

Rights management for digital media = companies remotely deleting paid content from my account & keeping my money / songs disappearing out of my streaming playlist / etc
steveBK123
·9일 전·discuss
Right, a steady low level of inflation is a driver for risk taking, which drives investment cycle, hiring, etc. This cascades thru economy from firm to firm, in a virtuous cycle of growth.

Zero inflation even as a target would be hard to hit, as it would imply some absolute perfect match of supply/demand for goods.

Deflation leads to the opposite behavior - hoard your resources, don't invest, don't lend, don't hire. This then cascades through economy in a downward spiral.
steveBK123
·9일 전·discuss
In Japan, giving your employees a raise is very rare and a sign of great respect.
steveBK123
·10일 전·discuss
Incredible timing with the news they are discontinuing disks in 2028.

You will own nothing.
steveBK123
·10일 전·discuss
Iced mugicha on a warm day is fantastic
steveBK123
·10일 전·discuss
Anecdotally was discussing with friend circle recently how our Macs have "you must restart now" updates far more often than 1/2/5 years ago.

Not sure how much is that quality of dev went down vs quantity of threats went up.
steveBK123
·11일 전·discuss
> Which is the problem when that's what's happening, and why we should maybe change the law to infer the collusion from the outcome in cases where prices are high yet nobody is responding by increasing their market share.

No one has a crystal ball. Soviet planners figured that out eventually. You cannot punish people for lack of crystal ball outcome foresight.

Are we going to punish Micron for not planning a new fab 3 year ago when they had no margin and Apple was squeezing them to the bone? Do we co-indict Tim Apple?

Or wait, they were already trying to build one in Upstate NY that is stuck in NIMBY red tape. Do we co-indict Kathy Hochul?
steveBK123
·11일 전·discuss
This is probably the one moment in time there really doesn't need to be any price fixing / collusion.

If demand for your product has temporarily spiked so high you can have 80% margins, then its not like your competitor has any reason to price compete.

Particularly in an industry where spinning up new capacity is a multi-year $10s of billions investment.
steveBK123
·11일 전·discuss
My new startup, SPECTRE.

It's a new SaaS play - Satellites As A Service. That is, your satellite gets to stay in orbit as long as you pay me.

Otherwise my satellite killer eats them.
steveBK123
·15일 전·discuss
I wonder if this is a bigger risk/more widespread in the AI era? Could a bad actor with a copy of someone else's proprietary source code train an LLM on it and come out with code that does not show enough evidence of theft?
steveBK123
·15일 전·discuss
Very sad to hear.

He had a great creative spirit between business ventures, writing and photography.. a man of many talents.
steveBK123
·15일 전·discuss
> You can't put an AI in a flow which requires reliable results. I don't think people who are used to determinism have coped with that.

The problem is .. what flows don't need determinism? Search results / recommendation engine / ad targeting ?

Arguably the majority of companies & corporate users are using these tools in cases they expect determinism. Email inbox summaries. Search summaries. What is the value of x queries. You'd be shocked.

My favorite Google AI summary bug/quirk that seems to persist (I just tested it again) - "are Lillies OK for cats". The summary starts with "Yes, lilies are extremely toxic to cats. "

I first hit this with another plant (lavender) where the response was much longer and on an iPhone looked like this:

Yes, lavender (both the plant and its essential oils) [line break]

is considered toxic to cats.
steveBK123
·15일 전·discuss
Well it remains both I think.

The science part is that the outcomes are scientifically verifiable, hence tests.

The art part is that unlike the physical world with the laws of physics, there are nearly limitless ways in code to accomplish those outcomes.
steveBK123
·15일 전·discuss
> Software quality assurance can be automated in a way that artistic and textual quality can't.

A lot of companies are creating AI assistants which take otherwise deterministic processes and makes them nondeterministic.

For example, I work in financial services and deal with a lot of data vendors. One of the big ones very recently added a chatbot to their UI, which on the second question I asked, provided entirely incorrect numerical but with confidence and 3-decimal place precision.

So the chatbot makes it "easier" to ask things, because you don't need to know which tab in the UI to use / or code to write in their scripting interface / or function to call in their Excel interface / or parameters to pass to get the correct answer.

Unfortunately the chatbot also may completely mistranslate your question, call the wrong function/pass wrong parameters and feed you back nonsense confidently.

Who is this helping?