Very good question! These models are trained on ~40 years of ERA5 data –you can think of past forecasts from numerical models integrated with real observational data to have a continuous distribution of weather parameters (temperature, wind etc.) Therefore model resolution is 0.25 degrees (28km x 28km at the equator).
The way accuracy is measured is through picking targets (say temperature at 2 meters, at x,y lat & lon and forecasted 24h ago) and comparing them on RMSE and ACC (anomaly correlation co-efficient). For instance, in Google Graphcast paper they pick 1380 targets and the model out performs NWPs in 90% of them.
OK so feels like this needs some explanation. It is in an entirely unrelated field, just like Palantir (also directly from LOTR). Not to distract the discussion, but Skyrim trademark is registered at USPTO in the field of computer game related anything.
Old school advice but worked really well in my previous startup –(i) conferences and (ii) snow-ball interviewing.
(i) In your case you need to somehow find this high density potential early user in-person gatherings. You can for instance hang out in a non-generic co-working space where you know it is the choice for digital nomads etc. in your city.
(ii) This is somewhat under-rated but you really can crawl the network of people you know ad infinitum. You only need few people you know who are productivity obsessed to start with. And then always ask them "who should I chat for 15 mins. to get feedback on this etc. (I would suggest crafting this ask really well so that it doesn't come off as demanding. Try to genuinely give value at every interaction, that's how I enjoyed the process as a hardcore introvert.). I spoke to about 5-10 people every week and ended up with a decent community of early users in <3 months.
"The more actively you try to learn the better you learn" category conclusion.
Any tools/frontends for ultimate youtube-based learning? Some things I miss:
- highlight code screencasts (so I can copy and paste)
- 3x (not all have 2x in youtube)
- transcript extract and keyword search and jump to that location in the video => there must be someone doing this
PS: Not trying to promote any project by asking this, genuinely curious.
There are lots of points in the article challenging smart contracts because they need a social contract. Ethereum community also understands that social contract > smart contract. See below:
"...What's going on here is a pattern of a similar type to what we saw with the not-yet-issued Bitcoin and Ethereum coin rewards: the coins were ultimately owned not by a cryptographic key, but by some kind of social contract."
"...Once again, millions of dollars of value are being controlled and allocated, not by individuals or cryptographic keys, but by social conceptions of legitimacy."
So the point is a bit moot, money is not flowing to web3 because of immutability per se. For most venture capital, mainly it is an effort to create a levelled playing field for startups –"decentralized x" etc. For retail investors, highly volatile, information symmetric (perceived) assets.
Cool, but this is one data point. Would be good research how autocratic type of coordination convergence (e.g. functional oligarchy in this case) is the case compared to open source? If more then that means DAOs are failing to be a better coordination technology.