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Legend2440

2,652 karmajoined 3 jaar geleden

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Legend2440
·7 uur geleden·discuss
Honestly this sounds so outlandish that it makes me skeptical of the whole thing.

They didn't stop after the first guy died? Or the tenth? Guy #11 just looked at the pile of corpses and was like, hell yeah I'm gonna try next?

And where's the video? Terrorist groups love propaganda footage, if they were doing motorcycle stunts like Evel Knievel they'd be bragging about it everywhere.
Legend2440
·gisteren·discuss
DRAM prices have been highly cyclical for a long time. They'll come down again.
Legend2440
·gisteren·discuss
If you extrapolate that to the logical conclusion, in the future will we buy software at all? Maybe your computer will just build whatever you need, whenever you need it.
Legend2440
·4 dagen geleden·discuss
Your health insurance or employer may already offer a similar program. Mine does. I get up to $500 added to my HSA every year if I hit step count goals on their app.

That said, looking around my office, I don't think it's very effective. It's hard to get people to exercise and a few hundred bucks doesn't change that.
Legend2440
·4 dagen geleden·discuss
A lot of Americans genuinely like their cars and low-density single family neighborhoods.

This would also be a massive and expensive undertaking that would require rebuilding the majority of city infrastructure.
Legend2440
·4 dagen geleden·discuss
>None of what we've seen in the past few years is new tech.

Well that's just wrong. Reasoning models are new and very powerful. LLMs can complete open-ended tasks that require many complex steps.

We're just beginning. The bubble will pop and investors will lose a lot of money, but we're not going back into a winter. It actually works this time.
Legend2440
·4 dagen geleden·discuss
If you need immediate ROI (say, because you just invested a trillion dollars into datacenters) you may be out of luck.

And I don't think this is unusual. It took decades for previous technologies to be fully integrated into existing businesses. In the 80s you could see the IT revolution everywhere... except the productivity statistics, which didn't catch up until the 90s.

LLMs are still very new and have significant limitations (like prompt injection and high token costs) that are very likely solveable but will take time.
Legend2440
·4 dagen geleden·discuss
If you are in this situation, you should see a physical therapist.

Exercise is even more important if you have a disability, because your muscles will atrophy from disuse and cause even greater disability.

E.g. if you stop moving your leg because you have a bad knee, you will now have a bad knee and a weak leg. If you go to PT and do exercises to strengthen the muscles around the knee, it can take load off the joint and improve function.
Legend2440
·4 dagen geleden·discuss
Somewhere between 70 and 90% of Kalshi event contracts are sports betting. This is obviously gambling.

Much of the remainder is silly stuff like 'how many times will Elon Musk tweet this week' with no predictive value. Again, gambling.

Ironically they've banned a bunch of the genuinely predictive stuff like 'will this town in Ukraine be attacked this week' on public policy grounds.
Legend2440
·4 dagen geleden·discuss
TL;DR: prompt injection is still an unsolved problem.
Legend2440
·4 dagen geleden·discuss
>You can see this for example in the absurd discrepancy between paper and physical crude prices.

This was a temporary discrepancy that has gone away now that physical prices have fallen.

This means the future traders were right; the $150+ prices for a physical barrel of oil were a short-term situation that would resolve in a few months. It was correct for futures to be priced substantially lower.

What's absurd is internet commentators thinking the market is broken because they see something they don't immediately understand.
Legend2440
·5 dagen geleden·discuss
Because it tells people something they desperately want to be true: AI will not take their jobs and CEOs will regret trying to do so.
Legend2440
·6 dagen geleden·discuss
No they don't. It's more of an issue for long-exposure galaxies and nebula.

And asteroids are an extremely rare threat in the first place. It's literally a once-in-a-million-years kind of event.
Legend2440
·6 dagen geleden·discuss
>the constant threat of big enough objects showing up on a collision course with earth

I don't really think this is a serious risk. This is a once-in-a-million-years kind of event.

Also, asteroid detection is not seriously affected by satellites. We can easily tell the difference between a moving satellite and a moving asteroid because of their speed.
Legend2440
·6 dagen geleden·discuss
This is a tradeoff we have to make with infrastructure and development in general. How do you balance human needs with pristine nature?

Do we put up long-distance power lines and wind farms even though they ruin the views? Do you tear down a forest to put up farmlands and suburbs? Do you build a dam to provide water for irrigation, even though it kills the fish and floods a valley?

Satellites are actually easier than most of those tradeoffs, because nothing lives in space and there's no nature to destroy. It only affects us.
Legend2440
·10 dagen geleden·discuss
Man, I am so tired of the cynicism around here.

Anytime you do something interesting or useful someone accuses you of trying to build the apocalypse.
Legend2440
·10 dagen geleden·discuss
Yeah, it's kinda silly to block development on a patch of ground forever because someone fought over it two centuries ago.
Legend2440
·10 dagen geleden·discuss
Also not true. The factory worker is paid more than the worker making widgets by hand.

GDP per capita has a strong correlation with average wages. The more productive your economy, the more money the average person makes.
Legend2440
·10 dagen geleden·discuss
Most people in my generation didn't know the fundamentals of computing either. That's why I get paid the big bucks to make computers work for them.
Legend2440
·10 dagen geleden·discuss
There are 50 million consumers with paid ChatGPT subscriptions as of Feb 2026.

This is already significantly greater than the number of paid subscribers to search engines. AFAIK that's just Kagi, and they only have ~100k subscriptions.