You are confusing market access and distribution. If I wanted alot of eyes on my app and I saw a benefit from the appstore then I would pay the 30%.
All I want is being able to give to MY customers, who I paid MY money to acquire, a native app. Apple is refusing to allow this, unless I pay protection money. Textbook rent seeking
so for a subscription based app, I have to partner with Apple (30% of income is partnering) for the privilege of allowing me to offer my customers a native app? I do the marketing, content creation, app development and customer support and every year I pay the ̶𝚖̶𝚘̶𝚋̶ their cut so they won't burn down my store?
As a consumer I mostly agree BUT no one forces me to pay for anything, so I avoid dodgy sites.
As a developer of an app that is in IAP hell right now I disagree. I don't care for the app store, nor does it provide me with any benefit. All I want is for my existing customers, for who I spent MY marketing money to acquire, to be able to install my app on a device THEY paid money for.
that's what I am trying to tell him. comparing his prediction a week ago with measures to a prediction a month or more ago without measure is pointless.
at what multiplier would you consider being skeptical about what he says.
your comparison of the 2 mil which was the worst case scenario months ago, and now irrelevant, with 40k which was his prediction from 10 days ago is wrong.
If I were to make an informed estimate based on the limited testing data we have, I would say that covid-19 will result in fewer than 40,000 deaths this season in the USA,