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wavegeek

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wavegeek
·4 jaar geleden·discuss
Last time I looked the stats for a lifetime were

1% die in a car accident

10% serious injury in a car accident

Accidents 1 / 500,000 miles.

https://www.torquenews.com/14335/how-safe-are-tesla-vehicles...

I have been in a few accidents, none that serious so far.
wavegeek
·4 jaar geleden·discuss
But I don't want to driving a vehicle on the same road I am on. Well, not exactly you but, you know, those idiots.
wavegeek
·4 jaar geleden·discuss
Having driven a tractor on my parents' farm, I can confirm this. It is so mindless it is not boring, because you can think of other things.
wavegeek
·4 jaar geleden·discuss
It is interesting but I had the opposite experience.

I think two things led to this.

1. In ante-natal classes the person took us through child development and what children are capable of at different ages. In particular, newborns to about 6-8 months do not even have a concept of themselves as separate people. All they can learn at that time is whether the world is a good place where their needs have a chance of being met. They are incapable of e.g. deliberately crying in order to get picked up. If you do not respond to their suffering you are just going to create a needy and insecure child. So we dodged that bullet.

2. The book "Parent Effectiveness Training" which was a revelation to me. The basic idea is that children own their lives and the consequences of their decisions. Of course there is a limit - you don't let a 3 year old run into traffic. But as far as possible let children make their own decisions. They learn really fast that way. If you micro-manage their lives you end up with 18 year old children.

This does not mean you do not have rules in your house. You are not allowed to play drums at 3am, but that would apply to everyone.

So many parents impose their own choices and preferences on their children for no good reason, and it creates resentment and stops children from learning from their own decisions.

As one example, I have lactose intolerance but I was forced to drink milk, with resulting stomach aches, etc, for many years. I literally knew better than my parents and school in this matter. Similarly if you think you know better than your children in every matter, may I suggest contemplating the spectacle of a 15 year old dressed for a party by Mom.

After our daughter turned 12 we only overrode her on two things - becoming a vegatarian (not allowed until she completed her growth) and a change of school. In both cases we carefully listened to her point of view and considered it, and explained why on these rare occasions we overruled her. Because this was so rare, and handled in a respectful manner, she accepted the decisions.

My own mother waited with great anticipation for the teen rebellion that she had forced her own children into, but it never came with my daughter. Why rebel when there is no need? She never lost the love of learning and ended up with a PhD in a hard science.

One other comment on the OP. There seems to be a wider issue here. If you let children not work, and fail, then the first time there will be a commotion. But if teachers did this consistently, word would get around and it would be accepted. Students whose life goals required passing the test would do the work. But in fact many school subjects are useless to many people and not studying is a rational response to being taught irrelevant nonsense.
wavegeek
·4 jaar geleden·discuss
> 155 met inclusion criteria as smoking 20 or more days per month.

That is insane.
wavegeek
·4 jaar geleden·discuss
Just how internet stocks fell 90% in 2000-2003, thus demonstrating the "Nobel" economist Paul Krugman's was right. His insight was that the internet was just a fad and would have no more impact than the fax machine.

I notice a number of smart investors are starting to accumulate cannibis stocks. The trigger might be a repeal of the federal ban, which seems to be on the cards, even though (sic) Joe Biden promised to do it.

https://www.forbes.com/sites/willyakowicz/2021/07/14/senator...
wavegeek
·4 jaar geleden·discuss
These symptoms can also he a manifestation of histamine intolerance. If your enzymes that break down histamines (diamine oxidase - DAO or histamine methyltransferase - HMT) are faulty it will be a problem.

High histamines give me the opposite of the effect of taking anti-histamines, which normally make you drowsy.

You would be amazed how many foods are high in histamines. Basically anything that is really flavoursome. And many additives either inhibit histamine breakdown or promote release from the mast cells.

Not to mention MCAS mast cell activation syndrome.
wavegeek
·4 jaar geleden·discuss
I don't know much about the situation in Texas but where I live (Australia) the typical situation - it differs from one state to another - is that you have a semi-deregulated market but with ceilings on rates "to avoid price gouging".

This means that it is basically illegal to provide a capacity for backup power that is only used intermittently. This is because the backup power needs to be priced high to justify having it sitting there all year doing mostly nothing.

Having banned a market solution, governments then stepped in to overcome the "market failure" by running and funding their own backup power supplies.

Source a friend who trades electricity for a living.
wavegeek
·5 jaar geleden·discuss
Back in Roman times Cicero pointed out that democracy leads to chaos, which leads to tyranny, which leads to monarchy which leads to Aristocracy which leads to democracy.

There seem to be a few democracies sliding increasingly into chaos.
wavegeek
·5 jaar geleden·discuss
> allistics are the exception?

Actually this seems unlikely given the sequence of evolution. But...

Here is a spoof of Allistic Spectrum Disorder imagined as if it affected a small minority of people (trigger warning for those obsessed with status).

From [nonexistent] DSM-VI: Hyper-Social (Allistic) Spectrum Disorder

HSSD is a syndrome in which there is an over-focus on social phenomena at the expense of other aspects of the world. Contrast with Autistic Spectrum Disorder, which is in many ways the opposite.

Diagnosis: Any 5 of the following are present:

Inability to express self clearly; use of ambiguous and vague language; discomfort with clear language

Obsessive interest in knowing personal details of acquaintances or strangers e.g. celebrities, or even fictional characters

Unfounded belief in being able to read other people's minds, in particular to know if someone is lying or not.

Difficulty in thinking in a systematic logical way, e.g. to do math or program computers

Tendency to try to bend and stretch rules for no obvious reason. Discomfort with accurately following instructions and processes.

Forms beliefs based on the opinions of others rather than on facts and evidence Tendency to affiliate with groups and to align all opinions to the group

Frequently lies, mostly for social convenience (studies suggest 3-5 times a day)

Preoccupied with social status and “looking the part”

Focus on status symbols, and symbols of virtue and group affiliation

Focus on appearances more than underlying reality

Intolerance of diversity of opinion

Intolerance towards people who do not have HSSD

Spends large amounts of time on shallow “social” activities with little actual content. May lead to destructive activities such as substance abuse e.g. alcohol, and over-eating.

Lack of interest in mastering difficult, especially technical, subjects in depth Tendency to stare into people's eyes, and to believe that this gives great insight into the other person's mind. Usually unaware that this can create discomfort in the other person.

Tendency to think that staring into people's eyes demonstrates trustworthiness.
wavegeek
·5 jaar geleden·discuss
> actual German Nazi

Asperger was Austrian. Asperger was never a member of the Nazi party.

Impressive to make 2 errors in 3 words.
wavegeek
·5 jaar geleden·discuss
> the term is literally named after a Nazi

Asperger was literally never a member of the Nazi party. So what you said it literally a lie.
wavegeek
·5 jaar geleden·discuss
> created by a literal Nazi

This is a literal lie.

See the wikipedia article for example.

The fact someone on the internet claimed he was german and a literal nazi is no evidence at all.
wavegeek
·5 jaar geleden·discuss
> Nazi doctor

Asperger was never a member of the Nazi party.

I invite everyone here who has stood up against a murderous totalitarian dictatorship at the likely cost of their life to tell us how Asperger should have done better.

> now everything falls under the Autism Spectrum

This is only true in the US. And people who were previously diagnosed as Aspergers retain that diagnosis, even in the US.
wavegeek
·5 jaar geleden·discuss
> biases might help

You might like the book "Simple Heuristics that make us smart" which explores this idea

https://www.amazon.com/Simple-Heuristics-That-Make-Smart/dp/...
wavegeek
·5 jaar geleden·discuss
Exactly - the overwhelming nature of these signals (e.g. the searing brightness of eye contact) pushes people away from them. This then produces difficulties as a result of not seeing these signals (and not learning about them). The result is a lack of Cognitive Empathy - inability to read signals - which is often confused with a lack of Affective Empathy as seen in sociopaths.
wavegeek
·5 jaar geleden·discuss
I notice over the years SA has become more and more influenced by fashion. The pressures to appeal to the popular crowd have only intensified over the years.

Why would you subscribe to SA when the internet has more good material than you can possibly digest? That is their problem in a nutshell.

Another once mightly magazine The Economist, whose founder was praised by Nietzsche as "an objective journalist", has also gone downhill IMHO.

I cancelled my subscriptions to both a while back.
wavegeek
·5 jaar geleden·discuss
Meltdowns are a common feature of the lives of Autistic people.

There are vast resources available from books to many good youtube videos.

Getting a formal assessment is fairly expensive but screening tests are free.

https://novopsych.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2020/11/Autism-S...

https://novopsych.com.au/assessments/diagnosis/autism-spectr...

https://www.aspietests.org/userdetails.php?target=raads/inde...

Mostly it is about managing your levels of stress and knowing your limits. And lots of good strategies rather than therapy. One thing I realized is I need a lot more sleep than I had been getting. And I need to ration social 'work' (that's how it feels - hard work).

Autistic people are very prone to trauma - basically they are hyperspensitive to many stiumuli and emotions - so there may be residual trauma to deal with. But there are multiple ways to do that.
wavegeek
·5 jaar geleden·discuss
> over that 10-20 year cycle the market is always net up

This is simply not true especially if you take inflation into account.

And even more so if you look outside the US (one of the top 1% of market performers over the last 100 years - hindsight bias).

For example Japan total return index had a 30 year drawdown post 1989 even in nominal terms. The US market from 1966-1992 total inflation adjusted return (26 years) was zero. http://www.simplestockinvesting.com/SP500-historical-real-to...
wavegeek
·5 jaar geleden·discuss
> uranium would only last 80 years

Thank you for pointing this out. People blithely assume that U235 is available in unlimited supply when it is not.

My own view is that it is a useful partial interim solution that buys us some time. That is worth quite a lot.