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wikiwawa·7 jaar geleden·discussThe mean of a Beta Distribution (2, 348) (https://www.wolframalpha.com/input/?i=beta+distribution+(2,+...) is roughly half a percent, much higher than the 1 in 11 million across all flights (https://www.quora.com/What-is-the-probability-for-an-airplan...).(You can pretty much always make statistical inference, with uncertainty going up with the lack of data)